沙田 · 2022-05-22 · 17:13
第 10場
2022-05-22沙田第10場，Class 3，途程1600米，跑道評為GOOD。由K C Leung策騎、P F Yiu訓練的PRECISE EXPRESS勝出，贏出1/2。ALL FOR ST PAUL'S獲得亞軍；POWERFUL WINGS獲得季軍。頭馬後上力強。3.8倍大熱門ROYAL BOMB跑獲第5名。
賽果
| 名次 | No. | 馬名 | 騎師 | 練馬師 | 檔位 | 獨贏賠率 | 馬距 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 10 | PRECISE EXPRESS 後段發力 H/P1/TT- 1.35.72 ▶ 重播 （在新分頁開啟） K C Leung · P F Yiu | K C Leung | P F Yiu | 3 | 10.0 | 1/2 |
| 2 | 1 | ALL FOR ST PAUL'S 早段領放 B M F Poon · F C Lor | M F Poon | F C Lor | 11 | 12.0 | 1/2 |
| 3 | 12 | POWERFUL WINGS 後段發力 B1 C Y Ho · P F Yiu | C Y Ho | P F Yiu | 9 | 10.0 | 1/2 |
| 4 | 3 | BOURBONAIRE 後段發力 H Z Purton · J Size | Z Purton | J Size | 8 | 5.0 | 1-1/2 |
| 5 | 5 | ROYAL BOMB CP/TT J Moreira · C Fownes | J Moreira | C Fownes | 6 | 3.8 | 3-1/4 |
| 6 | 2 | MALDIVES 後段發力 XB B Shinn · D J Hall | B Shinn | D J Hall | 12 | 5.5 | 3-1/2 |
| 7 | 8 | CLASSIC ARCHI B L Hewitson · D J Whyte | L Hewitson | D J Whyte | 5 | 65.0 | 4-1/4 |
| 8 | 9 | HELENE WISDOM STAR CP/H/TT L Ferraris · A S Cruz | L Ferraris | A S Cruz | 2 | 40.0 | 5 |
| 9 | 6 | PEGASUS GENERAL 後段發力 CP H Bentley · K H Ting | H Bentley | K H Ting | 10 | 87.0 | 5 |
| 10 | 7 | LEADING FORTUNE B A Badel · J Size | A Badel | J Size | 1 | 7.3 | 6-1/2 |
| 11 | 4 | RISE BRETHREN TT K Teetan · C S Shum | K Teetan | C S Shum | 7 | 12.0 | 7-1/4 |
| 12 | 11 | SMOOTHIES B/TT K H Chan · C S Shum | K H Chan | C S Shum | 4 | 31.0 | 11 |
賽果形勢
模型評分
| 排名 | No. | 馬名 | 勝出概率 | 評估賠率 | 名次 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 5 | ROYAL BOMB | 25.1% | 3.99 | 5 |
| 2 | 3 | BOURBONAIRE | 16.9% | 5.90 | 4 |
| 3 | 7 | LEADING FORTUNE | 12.4% | 8.05 | 10 |
| 4 | 4 | RISE BRETHREN | 12.3% | 8.13 | 11 |
| 5 | 10 | PRECISE EXPRESS | 8.7% | 11.50 | 1 |
| 6 | 2 | MALDIVES | 8.1% | 12.42 | 6 |
| 7 | 1 | ALL FOR ST PAUL'S | 5.4% | 18.37 | 2 |
| 8 | 12 | POWERFUL WINGS | 3.2% | 31.68 | 3 |
| 9 | 11 | SMOOTHIES | 2.9% | 34.15 | 12 |
| 10 | 9 | HELENE WISDOM STAR | 2.1% | 46.53 | 8 |
| 11 | 6 | PEGASUS GENERAL | 1.5% | 66.63 | 9 |
| 12 | 8 | CLASSIC ARCHI | 1.3% | 74.30 | 7 |
模型對市場
每點代表一匹馬：橫軸為模型概率，縱軸為市場隱含概率。點落在虛線上代表兩者一致；金圈為實際頭馬。
評分僅為統計分析估算，並非投注建議——回測顯示模型對香港獨贏市場並無盈利優勢。 模型原理 →
派彩
WIN
10 101
PLACE
1 40.5
10 30
12 32
QUINELLA
1,10 826
QUINELLA PLACE
1,10 185.5
1,12 253.5
10,12 112
FORECAST
10,1 1,403
TIERCE
10,1,12 10,284
TRIO
1,10,12 2,482
FIRST 4
1,3,10,12 2,801
QUARTET
10,1,12,3 86,048
全部彩池（另 2 項）
3 PICK 1
A3 —
A2 23
A1 —
9TH DOUBLE
10/1 117
10/10 311.5