沙田 · 2022-05-22 · 13:33
第 3場
2022-05-22沙田第3場，Class 4，途程1000米，跑道評為GOOD。由H T Mo策騎、Y S Tsui訓練的SUPER AXIOM勝出，贏出1-1/2。TIMESTORM獲得亞軍；AMAZING ROCKY獲得季軍。2.3倍大熱門SUPER SUNNY SING跑獲第11名。
賽果
| 名次 | No. | 馬名 | 騎師 | 練馬師 | 檔位 | 獨贏賠率 | 馬距 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 12 | SUPER AXIOM H/P/TT 0.57.17 ▶ 重播 （在新分頁開啟） H T Mo · Y S Tsui | H T Mo | Y S Tsui | 14 | 9.6 | 1-1/2 |
| 2 | 9 | TIMESTORM XB1/TT1 L Ferraris · D J Hall | L Ferraris | D J Hall | 8 | 101.0 | 1-1/2 |
| 3 | 3 | AMAZING ROCKY H M F Poon · T P Yung | M F Poon | T P Yung | 3 | 24.0 | 2-1/2 |
| 4 | 14 | EL JEFE XB-/B/TT2 K C Leung · C H Yip | K C Leung | C H Yip | 12 | 9.6 | 2-3/4 |
| 5 | 11 | JUMBO LEGEND H/TT B Shinn · C Fownes | B Shinn | C Fownes | 10 | 12.0 | 4 |
| 6 | 2 | UNITED WE STAND B/TT C Wong · P O'Sullivan | C Wong | P O'Sullivan | 9 | 80.0 | 4-1/2 |
| 7 | 1 | FABULOUS EIGHT TT M Chadwick · P F Yiu | M Chadwick | P F Yiu | 11 | 7.4 | 6-1/4 |
| 8 | 10 | YOUNG HORIZON SB L Currie · D A Hayes | L Currie | D A Hayes | 2 | 31.0 | 6-1/4 |
| 9 | 6 | COMPASSION SUPER K Teetan · K L Man | K Teetan | K L Man | 1 | 44.0 | 6-1/2 |
| 10 | 5 | COLOURFUL PRINCE SR/XB/TT L Hewitson · D J Whyte | L Hewitson | D J Whyte | 4 | 17.0 | 6-1/2 |
| 11 | 8 | SUPER SUNNY SING J Moreira · W Y So | J Moreira | W Y So | 13 | 2.3 | 6-3/4 |
| 12 | 13 | DIAMOND SOARS C L Chau · A T Millard | C L Chau | A T Millard | 6 | 131.0 | 7-3/4 |
| 13 | 7 | ONE FOR ALL TT1 A Badel · R Gibson | A Badel | R Gibson | 7 | 60.0 | 11-1/2 |
| 14 | 4 | NOBLE ONE H Z Purton · K W Lui | Z Purton | K W Lui | 5 | 6.4 | 14 |
賽果形勢
模型評分
| 排名 | No. | 馬名 | 勝出概率 | 評估賠率 | 名次 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 8 | SUPER SUNNY SING | 23.2% | 4.31 | 11 |
| 2 | 4 | NOBLE ONE | 20.8% | 4.80 | 14 |
| 3 | 6 | COMPASSION SUPER | 9.0% | 11.13 | 9 |
| 4 | 10 | YOUNG HORIZON | 8.8% | 11.43 | 8 |
| 5 | 12 | SUPER AXIOM | 5.8% | 17.24 | 1 |
| 6 | 7 | ONE FOR ALL | 5.6% | 17.99 | 13 |
| 7 | 1 | FABULOUS EIGHT | 5.0% | 20.16 | 7 |
| 8 | 11 | JUMBO LEGEND | 4.9% | 20.31 | 5 |
| 9 | 5 | COLOURFUL PRINCE | 4.7% | 21.39 | 10 |
| 10 | 14 | EL JEFE | 4.0% | 24.89 | 4 |
| 11 | 3 | AMAZING ROCKY | 3.7% | 27.32 | 3 |
| 12 | 2 | UNITED WE STAND | 2.0% | 49.11 | 6 |
| 13 | 9 | TIMESTORM | 1.5% | 68.73 | 2 |
| 14 | 13 | DIAMOND SOARS | 1.1% | 87.22 | 12 |
模型對市場
每點代表一匹馬：橫軸為模型概率，縱軸為市場隱含概率。點落在虛線上代表兩者一致；金圈為實際頭馬。
評分僅為統計分析估算，並非投注建議——回測顯示模型對香港獨贏市場並無盈利優勢。 模型原理 →
派彩
WIN
12 96.5
PLACE
3 62
9 193.5
12 28.5
QUINELLA
9,12 5,738
QUINELLA PLACE
3,9 1,903.5
3,12 342.5
9,12 1,264.5
FORECAST
12,9 8,691
TIERCE
12,9,3 125,158
TRIO
3,9,12 28,131
FIRST 4
3,9,12,14 50,818
QUARTET
12,9,3,14 2,100,496
全部彩池（另 2 項）
2ND DOUBLE
6/9 924
6/12 946.5
3 PICK 1
A3 —
A1 —
A2 29