沙田 · 2022-05-22 · 16:38
第 9場
2022-05-22沙田第9場，Group 3，途程1200米，跑道評為GOOD。由A Badel策騎、R Gibson訓練的CORDYCEPS SIX勝出，贏出N。NERVOUS WITNESS獲得亞軍；LUCKY PATCH獲得季軍。頭馬以2.5倍大熱姿態勝出。
賽果
| 名次 | No. | 馬名 | 騎師 | 練馬師 | 檔位 | 獨贏賠率 | 馬距 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 10 | CORDYCEPS SIX B 1.08.40 ▶ 重播 （在新分頁開啟） A Badel · R Gibson | A Badel | R Gibson | 6 | 2.5 | N |
| 2 | 11 | NERVOUS WITNESS XB V Borges · D A Hayes | V Borges | D A Hayes | 8 | 9.1 | N |
| 3 | 2 | LUCKY PATCH H/V C L Chau · K W Lui | C L Chau | K W Lui | 1 | 7.6 | 2-1/4 |
| 4 | 7 | LUCKY EXPRESS B/E/TT A Hamelin · J Size | A Hamelin | J Size | 5 | 41.0 | 2-1/4 |
| 5 | 5 | SUPER WEALTHY H Z Purton · D A Hayes | Z Purton | D A Hayes | 9 | 8.7 | 2-3/4 |
| 6 | 3 | COMPUTER PATCH CP/TT M Chadwick · K H Ting | M Chadwick | K H Ting | 3 | 15.0 | 3 |
| 7 | 1 | SKY FIELD H1/TT B Shinn · C Fownes | B Shinn | C Fownes | 2 | 8.2 | 3 |
| 8 | 6 | SIGHT SUCCESS E K Teetan · J Size | K Teetan | J Size | 10 | 10.0 | 3-1/2 |
| 9 | 9 | CALIFORNIADEEPSHOT CP/TT M F Poon · A S Cruz | M F Poon | A S Cruz | 7 | 22.0 | 4-1/4 |
| 10 | 8 | DUKE WAI B/H C Y Ho · P O'Sullivan | C Y Ho | P O'Sullivan | 4 | 15.0 | 4-3/4 |
| 11 | 4 | HOT KING PRAWN J Moreira · J Size | J Moreira | J Size | 11 | 18.0 | 6-1/2 |
賽果形勢
模型評分
| 排名 | No. | 馬名 | 勝出概率 | 評估賠率 | 名次 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 6 | SIGHT SUCCESS | 14.2% | 7.05 | 8 |
| 2 | 1 | SKY FIELD | 12.2% | 8.21 | 7 |
| 3 | 10 | CORDYCEPS SIX | 12.2% | 8.22 | 1 |
| 4 | 11 | NERVOUS WITNESS | 11.5% | 8.72 | 2 |
| 5 | 5 | SUPER WEALTHY | 11.1% | 9.04 | 5 |
| 6 | 4 | HOT KING PRAWN | 8.9% | 11.19 | 11 |
| 7 | 2 | LUCKY PATCH | 8.1% | 12.30 | 3 |
| 8 | 3 | COMPUTER PATCH | 7.8% | 12.86 | 6 |
| 9 | 9 | CALIFORNIADEEPSHOT | 6.5% | 15.35 | 9 |
| 10 | 8 | DUKE WAI | 3.9% | 25.49 | 10 |
| 11 | 7 | LUCKY EXPRESS | 3.7% | 27.37 | 4 |
模型對市場
每點代表一匹馬：橫軸為模型概率，縱軸為市場隱含概率。點落在虛線上代表兩者一致；金圈為實際頭馬。
評分僅為統計分析估算，並非投注建議——回測顯示模型對香港獨贏市場並無盈利優勢。 模型原理 →
派彩
WIN
10 25.5
PLACE
2 28.5
10 13.5
11 32.5
QUINELLA
10,11 123.5
QUINELLA PLACE
2,10 50
2,11 133
10,11 53.5
FORECAST
10,11 220
TIERCE
10,11,2 1,410
TRIO
2,10,11 399
FIRST 4
2,7,10,11 3,181
QUARTET
10,11,2,7 27,264
全部彩池（另 3 項）
3 PICK 1
A1 20
A3 —
A2 —
8TH DOUBLE
3/10 99
3/11 117.5
WINNING TRAINER
B2 —
B3 25.5
B1 —
B4 —