沙田 · 2022-05-22 · 14:31
第 5場
2022-05-22沙田第5場，Class 3，途程1200米，跑道評為GOOD。由B Shinn策騎、K W Lui訓練的STAR BRITE勝出，贏出1/2。CLASSIC POSH獲得亞軍；READY TO WIN獲得季軍。4.1倍大熱門POWER KOEPP跑獲第6名。
賽果
| 名次 | No. | 馬名 | 騎師 | 練馬師 | 檔位 | 獨贏賠率 | 馬距 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 5 | STAR BRITE CP/TT 1.09.47 ▶ 重播 （在新分頁開啟） B Shinn · K W Lui | B Shinn | K W Lui | 3 | 7.9 | 1/2 |
| 2 | 6 | CLASSIC POSH L Currie · D J Hall | L Currie | D J Hall | 10 | 52.0 | 1/2 |
| 3 | 4 | READY TO WIN CP/XB/TT K C Leung · F C Lor | K C Leung | F C Lor | 9 | 4.7 | 3/4 |
| 4 | 1 | IGNITING TT M F Poon · K W Lui | M F Poon | K W Lui | 8 | 14.0 | 2-1/4 |
| 5 | 2 | TEAM SPIRIT B/TT K H Chan · W Y So | K H Chan | W Y So | 12 | 34.0 | 2-1/2 |
| 6 | 7 | POWER KOEPP E J Moreira · J Size | J Moreira | J Size | 13 | 4.1 | 2-1/2 |
| 7 | 3 | KASA PAPA Z Purton · T P Yung | Z Purton | T P Yung | 7 | 9.9 | 2-1/2 |
| 8 | 10 | EIGHT TRIGRAMS B/TT M Chadwick · D J Hall | M Chadwick | D J Hall | 11 | 14.0 | 3 |
| 9 | 12 | HIGH CLOUD XB1 L Hewitson · D J Whyte | L Hewitson | D J Whyte | 5 | 61.0 | 3 |
| 10 | 8 | SUPER DOBBIN B A Hamelin · A T Millard | A Hamelin | A T Millard | 4 | 23.0 | 3-1/4 |
| 11 | 9 | FLYING DRAGON K Teetan · C H Yip | K Teetan | C H Yip | 1 | 5.3 | 4-1/4 |
| 12 | 13 | YOUNG LIFE FOREVER TT A Badel · C Fownes | A Badel | C Fownes | 2 | 10.0 | 7-1/2 |
| 13 | 11 | GREAT BRILLIANT L Ferraris · Y S Tsui | L Ferraris | Y S Tsui | 6 | 161.0 | 11-1/4 |
賽果形勢
模型評分
| 排名 | No. | 馬名 | 勝出概率 | 評估賠率 | 名次 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 9 | FLYING DRAGON | 20.2% | 4.95 | 11 |
| 2 | 7 | POWER KOEPP | 18.1% | 5.54 | 6 |
| 3 | 5 | STAR BRITE | 17.2% | 5.81 | 1 |
| 4 | 3 | KASA PAPA | 14.5% | 6.88 | 7 |
| 5 | 4 | READY TO WIN | 6.5% | 15.35 | 3 |
| 6 | 10 | EIGHT TRIGRAMS | 5.6% | 17.86 | 8 |
| 7 | 13 | YOUNG LIFE FOREVER | 3.8% | 26.10 | 12 |
| 8 | 1 | IGNITING | 3.1% | 31.81 | 4 |
| 9 | 6 | CLASSIC POSH | 2.7% | 36.54 | 2 |
| 10 | 8 | SUPER DOBBIN | 2.7% | 36.68 | 10 |
| 11 | 12 | HIGH CLOUD | 2.5% | 39.22 | 9 |
| 12 | 2 | TEAM SPIRIT | 1.7% | 57.24 | 5 |
| 13 | 11 | GREAT BRILLIANT | 1.1% | 87.93 | 13 |
模型對市場
每點代表一匹馬：橫軸為模型概率，縱軸為市場隱含概率。點落在虛線上代表兩者一致；金圈為實際頭馬。
評分僅為統計分析估算，並非投注建議——回測顯示模型對香港獨贏市場並無盈利優勢。 模型原理 →
派彩
WIN
5 79
PLACE
4 16.5
5 25
6 112.5
QUINELLA
5,6 1,650
QUINELLA PLACE
4,5 94.5
4,6 406
5,6 422
FORECAST
5,6 3,748
TIERCE
5,6,4 18,374
TRIO
4,5,6 3,222
FIRST 4
1,4,5,6 6,283
QUARTET
5,6,4,1 191,066
全部彩池（另 3 項）
1ST DOUBLE TRIO
1,3,6/4,5,6 119,754
3 PICK 1
A2 —
A3 24.5
A1 —
4TH DOUBLE
6/5 570
6/6 542