沙田 · 2022-05-29 · 17:53
第 10場
2022-05-29沙田第10場，Class 2，途程1200米，跑道評為GOOD。由C Y Ho策騎、F C Lor訓練的WINNING DREAMER勝出，贏出SH。REWARDING TOGETHER獲得亞軍；TRILLION WIN獲得季軍。5.5倍大熱門FANTASTIC TREASURE跑獲第6名。
賽果
| 名次 | No. | 馬名 | 騎師 | 練馬師 | 檔位 | 獨贏賠率 | 馬距 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 5 | WINNING DREAMER 1.08.77 ▶ 重播 （在新分頁開啟） C Y Ho · F C Lor | C Y Ho | F C Lor | 12 | 50.0 | SH |
| 2 | 11 | REWARDING TOGETHER B/TT M Chadwick · F C Lor | M Chadwick | F C Lor | 6 | 6.5 | SH |
| 3 | 1 | TRILLION WIN B A Badel · K L Man | A Badel | K L Man | 8 | 8.7 | 1 |
| 4 | 12 | ROCK YA HEART TT K Teetan · K W Lui | K Teetan | K W Lui | 4 | 5.6 | 1-1/4 |
| 5 | 4 | VOYAGE WARRIOR L Hewitson · P F Yiu | L Hewitson | P F Yiu | 2 | 6.4 | 1-3/4 |
| 6 | 3 | FANTASTIC TREASURE TT B Shinn · D A Hayes | B Shinn | D A Hayes | 11 | 5.5 | 3-1/4 |
| 7 | 2 | BLAZE WARRIOR B/TT A Hamelin · J Size | A Hamelin | J Size | 5 | 7.5 | 3-1/2 |
| 8 | 8 | CALIFORNIA RAD B/TT M F Poon · A S Cruz | M F Poon | A S Cruz | 1 | 9.9 | 3-1/2 |
| 9 | 6 | SCORES OF FUN TT L Currie · J Size | L Currie | J Size | 3 | 63.0 | 3-3/4 |
| 9 | 10 | RED DESERT V Borges · J Size | V Borges | J Size | 13 | 89.0 | 3-3/4 |
| 11 | 13 | KING LAND TT H T Mo · T P Yung | H T Mo | T P Yung | 9 | 41.0 | 5-3/4 |
| 12 | 9 | CZARSON CP/TT H Bentley · P F Yiu | H Bentley | P F Yiu | 7 | 39.0 | 7 |
| 13 | 7 | PACKING VICTORY TT Z Purton · C S Shum | Z Purton | C S Shum | 10 | 9.7 | 7-1/4 |
賽果形勢
模型評分
| 排名 | No. | 馬名 | 勝出概率 | 評估賠率 | 名次 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 7 | PACKING VICTORY | 23.8% | 4.21 | 13 |
| 2 | 11 | REWARDING TOGETHER | 20.9% | 4.79 | 2 |
| 3 | 3 | FANTASTIC TREASURE | 11.9% | 8.44 | 6 |
| 4 | 12 | ROCK YA HEART | 11.8% | 8.44 | 4 |
| 5 | 2 | BLAZE WARRIOR | 7.6% | 13.15 | 7 |
| 6 | 5 | WINNING DREAMER | 4.2% | 23.61 | 1 |
| 7 | 1 | TRILLION WIN | 4.0% | 25.05 | 3 |
| 8 | 6 | SCORES OF FUN | 3.5% | 28.60 | 9 |
| 9 | 4 | VOYAGE WARRIOR | 3.4% | 29.36 | 5 |
| 10 | 8 | CALIFORNIA RAD | 3.2% | 31.52 | 8 |
| 11 | 9 | CZARSON | 2.3% | 43.48 | 12 |
| 12 | 10 | RED DESERT | 1.9% | 51.46 | 9 |
| 13 | 13 | KING LAND | 1.5% | 65.64 | 11 |
模型對市場
每點代表一匹馬：橫軸為模型概率，縱軸為市場隱含概率。點落在虛線上代表兩者一致；金圈為實際頭馬。
評分僅為統計分析估算，並非投注建議——回測顯示模型對香港獨贏市場並無盈利優勢。 模型原理 →
派彩
WIN
5 503.5
PLACE
1 27
5 112.5
11 25
QUINELLA
5,11 1,663
QUINELLA PLACE
1,5 573
1,11 104.5
5,11 486
FORECAST
5,11 3,936
TIERCE
5,11,1 32,067
TRIO
1,5,11 4,276
FIRST 4
1,5,11,12 5,025
QUARTET
5,11,1,12 142,256
全部彩池（另 5 項）
3 PICK 1
A2 —
A3 22
A1 —
3RD DOUBLE TRIO
2,8,14/1,5,11 259,771
9TH DOUBLE
2/5 7,697
2/11 269
SIX UP
7/2/6/6/2/5 3,150,758
7,10/2,8/6,7/1,6/2,14/5,11 6,368
2 [Z Purton] —
TREBLE
6/2/5 84,984
6/2/11 2,299