沙田 · 2022-05-29 · 15:41
第 6場
2022-05-29沙田第6場，Class 4，途程1200米，跑道評為GOOD。由Z Purton策騎、C H Yip訓練的PHOENIX LIGHT勝出，贏出NOSE。BEAUTY TYCOON獲得亞軍；FALCON TURBO獲得季軍。4.9倍大熱門CALIFORNIA VANES跑獲第7名。
賽果
| 名次 | No. | 馬名 | 騎師 | 練馬師 | 檔位 | 獨贏賠率 | 馬距 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 2 | PHOENIX LIGHT H 1.09.17 ▶ 重播 （在新分頁開啟） Z Purton · C H Yip | Z Purton | C H Yip | 9 | 12.0 | NOSE |
| 2 | 8 | BEAUTY TYCOON J Moreira · J Size | J Moreira | J Size | 11 | 5.4 | NOSE |
| 3 | 4 | FALCON TURBO B/TT L Hewitson · D J Whyte | L Hewitson | D J Whyte | 3 | 8.7 | 1-3/4 |
| 4 | 1 | ENCHANTING IBIS A Hamelin · A T Millard | A Hamelin | A T Millard | 2 | 5.7 | 2 |
| 5 | 10 | E RAINBOW B Shinn · D A Hayes | B Shinn | D A Hayes | 4 | 6.6 | 2-1/4 |
| 6 | 14 | DRAGON KINGDOM A Badel · Y S Tsui | A Badel | Y S Tsui | 6 | 13.0 | 2-1/2 |
| 7 | 9 | CALIFORNIA VANES B/TT K Teetan · A S Cruz | K Teetan | A S Cruz | 1 | 4.9 | 4-1/4 |
| 8 | 12 | PERFETTO L Ferraris · D J Hall | L Ferraris | D J Hall | 8 | 48.0 | 5 |
| 9 | 3 | UNTOLD RICHES H M Chadwick · K H Ting | M Chadwick | K H Ting | 7 | 9.1 | 5 |
| 10 | 7 | CHICKEN DANCE B K C Leung · P O'Sullivan | K C Leung | P O'Sullivan | 5 | 40.0 | 5-1/4 |
| 11 | 13 | SPICY SKEWER CP R Maia · K L Man | R Maia | K L Man | 12 | 162.0 | 5-3/4 |
| 12 | 5 | COLONEL M F Poon · P F Yiu | M F Poon | P F Yiu | 10 | 25.0 | 7 |
| 13 | 6 | SOARING TOWER P C Y Ho · W Y So | C Y Ho | W Y So | 13 | 43.0 | 9-3/4 |
| 14 | 11 | FORTUNE TURBO B1/TT1 C L Chau · T P Yung | C L Chau | T P Yung | 14 | 149.0 | 11-1/4 |
賽果形勢
模型評分
| 排名 | No. | 馬名 | 勝出概率 | 評估賠率 | 名次 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 9 | CALIFORNIA VANES | 18.0% | 5.57 | 7 |
| 2 | 8 | BEAUTY TYCOON | 16.7% | 5.98 | 2 |
| 3 | 2 | PHOENIX LIGHT | 14.0% | 7.12 | 1 |
| 4 | 1 | ENCHANTING IBIS | 9.0% | 11.14 | 4 |
| 5 | 3 | UNTOLD RICHES | 8.2% | 12.22 | 9 |
| 6 | 14 | DRAGON KINGDOM | 7.1% | 14.13 | 6 |
| 7 | 10 | E RAINBOW | 6.4% | 15.50 | 5 |
| 8 | 4 | FALCON TURBO | 5.9% | 16.86 | 3 |
| 9 | 5 | COLONEL | 4.1% | 24.34 | 12 |
| 10 | 11 | FORTUNE TURBO | 3.7% | 27.06 | 14 |
| 11 | 6 | SOARING TOWER | 2.5% | 40.13 | 13 |
| 12 | 7 | CHICKEN DANCE | 2.3% | 44.38 | 10 |
| 13 | 12 | PERFETTO | 1.4% | 71.83 | 8 |
| 14 | 13 | SPICY SKEWER | 0.7% | 137.65 | 11 |
模型對市場
每點代表一匹馬：橫軸為模型概率，縱軸為市場隱含概率。點落在虛線上代表兩者一致；金圈為實際頭馬。
評分僅為統計分析估算，並非投注建議——回測顯示模型對香港獨贏市場並無盈利優勢。 模型原理 →
派彩
WIN
2 121.5
PLACE
2 37.5
4 29.5
8 27
QUINELLA
2,8 377
QUINELLA PLACE
2,4 188
2,8 131
4,8 115
FORECAST
2,8 1,125
TIERCE
2,8,4 6,904
TRIO
2,4,8 975
FIRST 4
1,2,4,8 2,029
QUARTET
2,8,4,1 57,688
全部彩池（另 3 項）
3 PICK 1
A2 —
A3 26
A1 —
5TH DOUBLE
7/2 493.5
7/8 56
TRIPLE TRIO (CONSOLATION)
2,5,14/3,7,10/Any Combination 130,683