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Sha Tin · 2022-05-29 · 15:41

Race 6

Class 4 GOOD 1200m Course B 13 runners

Result

Pos No. Horse Draw Odds Margin
2 0 BEAUTY TYCOON J Moreira · J Size 11 5.4 NOSE
3 0 FALCON TURBO B/TT L Hewitson · D J Whyte 3 8.7 1-3/4
4 0 ENCHANTING IBIS A Hamelin · A T Millard 2 5.7 2
5 0 E RAINBOW B Shinn · D A Hayes 4 6.6 2-1/4
6 0 DRAGON KINGDOM A Badel · Y S Tsui 6 13.0 2-1/2
7 0 CALIFORNIA VANES B/TT K Teetan · A S Cruz 1 4.9 4-1/4
8 0 PERFETTO L Ferraris · D J Hall 8 48.0 5
9 0 UNTOLD RICHES H M Chadwick · K H Ting 7 9.1 5
10 0 CHICKEN DANCE B K C Leung · P O'Sullivan 5 40.0 5-1/4
11 0 SPICY SKEWER CP R Maia · K L Man 12 162.0 5-3/4
12 0 COLONEL M F Poon · P F Yiu 10 25.0 7
13 0 SOARING TOWER P C Y Ho · W Y So 13 43.0 9-3/4
14 0 FORTUNE TURBO B1/TT1 C L Chau · T P Yung 14 149.0 11-1/4
— 0 PHOENIX LIGHT H Z Purton · C H Yip — 12.0 NOSE

This site does not show odds as they change: the odds here are final prices after a race, or overnight prices before it.

Race 6 at Sha Tin on 2022-05-29 was Class 4 over 1200m, run on GOOD going. BEAUTY TYCOON, ridden by J Moreira and trained by J Size, won by NOSE, with FALCON TURBO second and ENCHANTING IBIS third. The 4.9 favourite CALIFORNIA VANES finished 7th.

Race shape

Beaten lengths
2. BEAUTY TYCOON+0.05L3. FALCON TURBO+1.75L4. ENCHANTING IBIS+2L5. E RAINBOW+2.25L6. DRAGON KINGDOM+2.5L7. CALIFORNIA VANES+4.25L8. PERFETTO+5L9. UNTOLD RICHES+5L10. CHICKEN DANCE+5.25L11. SPICY SKEWER+5.75L

Model ratings

Backtest · wf-2021-22
Out-of-sample backtest: this board was produced by a model trained only on seasons before this race — it never saw this result.
Rank No. Horse Win % Rated price Pos
1 0 CALIFORNIA VANES 18.0% 5.57 7
2 0 BEAUTY TYCOON 16.7% 5.98 2
3 0 PHOENIX LIGHT 14.0% 7.12 —
4 0 ENCHANTING IBIS 9.0% 11.14 4
5 0 UNTOLD RICHES 8.2% 12.22 9
6 0 DRAGON KINGDOM 7.1% 14.13 6
7 0 E RAINBOW 6.4% 15.50 5
8 0 FALCON TURBO 5.9% 16.86 3
9 0 COLONEL 4.1% 24.34 12
10 0 FORTUNE TURBO 3.7% 27.06 14
11 0 SOARING TOWER 2.5% 40.13 13
12 0 CHICKEN DANCE 2.3% 44.38 10
13 0 PERFETTO 1.4% 71.83 8
14 0 SPICY SKEWER 0.7% 137.65 11
CALIFORNIA VANESBEAUTY TYCOONPHOENIX LIGHTENCHANTING IBISUNTOLD RICHESDRAGON KINGDOME RAINBOWFALCON TURBOCOLONELFORTUNE TURBOSOARING TOWERCHICKEN DANCEPERFETTOSPICY SKEWER

Model vs market

Each dot is a runner: model probability across, market-implied probability up. Dots on the dashed line mean the two agreed; the gold ring is the actual winner.

Ratings are statistical estimates for analysis, not betting advice — the backtest shows no profitable edge against the Hong Kong win market. How the model works →

Dividends

Per $10 unit

WIN

2 121.5

PLACE

2 37.5

4 29.5

8 27

QUINELLA

2,8 377

QUINELLA PLACE

2,4 188

2,8 131

4,8 115

FORECAST

2,8 1,125

TIERCE

2,8,4 6,904

TRIO

2,4,8 975

FIRST 4

1,2,4,8 2,029

QUARTET

2,8,4,1 57,688

All pools (3 more)

3 PICK 1

A3 26

A1 —

A2 —

5TH DOUBLE

7/2 493.5

7/8 56

TRIPLE TRIO (CONSOLATION)

2,5,14/3,7,10/Any Combination 130,683