Sha Tin · 2022-05-29 · 12:46
Race 1
Result
| Pos | No. | Horse | Jockey | Trainer | Draw | Odds | Margin |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 0 | HANDSOME TWELVE Closed strongly 1.38.63 ▶ Replay (opens in new tab) Z Purton · T P Yung | Z Purton | T P Yung | 12 | 5.1 | 2-1/4 |
| 2 | 0 | SMART PATCH Closed strongly B K Teetan · P O'Sullivan | K Teetan | P O'Sullivan | 9 | 7.3 | 2-1/4 |
| 3 | 0 | BLOTTING PAPER TT B Shinn · R Gibson | B Shinn | R Gibson | 7 | 5.7 | 2-1/2 |
| 4 | 0 | EL VALIENTE Closed strongly TT J Moreira · C Fownes | J Moreira | C Fownes | 2 | 5.7 | 4-1/2 |
| 5 | 0 | RIGHTEOUS DOCTRINE Closed strongly B/XB L Currie · C W Chang | L Currie | C W Chang | 10 | 7.9 | 5 |
| 6 | 0 | ROYAL CAMPBELL Closed strongly V L Hewitson · P F Yiu | L Hewitson | P F Yiu | 13 | 19.0 | 8-1/2 |
| 7 | 0 | LAPUTA Closed strongly PC1/TT C Wong · K W Lui | C Wong | K W Lui | 6 | 64.0 | 8-1/2 |
| 8 | 0 | LUCKY VICTOR B/TT A Badel · K H Ting | A Badel | K H Ting | 14 | 9.5 | 9-3/4 |
| 9 | 0 | YEE CHEONG BRAVE Closed strongly H/TT A Hamelin · A T Millard | A Hamelin | A T Millard | 11 | 84.0 | 11-3/4 |
| 10 | 0 | CROWN AVENUE Closed strongly V2 M F Poon · C H Yip | M F Poon | C H Yip | 8 | 22.0 | 13-1/2 |
| 11 | 0 | GOOD BEAUTY Led early CP/TT V Borges · K L Man | V Borges | K L Man | 1 | 35.0 | 15-3/4 |
| 12 | 0 | TEAM GOODLUCK CP/TT C Y Ho · W Y So | C Y Ho | W Y So | 3 | 10.0 | 17-1/2 |
| 13 | 0 | NOBODY KNOWS M Chadwick · L Ho | M Chadwick | L Ho | 4 | 24.0 | 19-3/4 |
| 14 | 0 | FANTASY SPRING B H T Mo · Y S Tsui | H T Mo | Y S Tsui | 5 | 85.0 | 33-1/2 |
This site does not show odds as they change: the odds here are final prices after a race, or overnight prices before it.
Race 1 at Sha Tin on 2022-05-29 was Class 4 over 1650m, run on WET SLOW going. HANDSOME TWELVE, ridden by Z Purton and trained by T P Yung, won by 2-1/4, with SMART PATCH second and BLOTTING PAPER third. The winner closed strongly from off the pace. Victory came as the 5.1 favourite.
Race shape
Model ratings
| Rank | No. | Horse | Win % | Rated price | Pos |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 0 | EL VALIENTE | 27.3% | 3.66 | 4 |
| 2 | 0 | HANDSOME TWELVE | 17.6% | 5.68 | 1 |
| 3 | 0 | BLOTTING PAPER | 13.9% | 7.19 | 3 |
| 4 | 0 | CROWN AVENUE | 6.4% | 15.60 | 10 |
| 5 | 0 | RIGHTEOUS DOCTRINE | 6.0% | 16.60 | 5 |
| 6 | 0 | TEAM GOODLUCK | 5.4% | 18.49 | 12 |
| 7 | 0 | SMART PATCH | 4.1% | 24.10 | 2 |
| 8 | 0 | ROYAL CAMPBELL | 3.8% | 26.52 | 6 |
| 9 | 0 | LAPUTA | 3.7% | 27.30 | 7 |
| 10 | 0 | LUCKY VICTOR | 3.5% | 28.55 | 8 |
| 11 | 0 | NOBODY KNOWS | 3.2% | 31.68 | 13 |
| 12 | 0 | GOOD BEAUTY | 3.1% | 32.46 | 11 |
| 13 | 0 | FANTASY SPRING | 1.5% | 66.05 | 14 |
| 14 | 0 | YEE CHEONG BRAVE | 0.5% | 216.55 | 9 |
Model vs market
Each dot is a runner: model probability across, market-implied probability up. Dots on the dashed line mean the two agreed; the gold ring is the actual winner.
Ratings are statistical estimates for analysis, not betting advice — the backtest shows no profitable edge against the Hong Kong win market. How the model works →
Dividends
WIN
1 51.5
PLACE
1 21
4 19
9 27
QUINELLA
1,9 205
QUINELLA PLACE
1,4 54.5
1,9 78
4,9 70.5
FORECAST
1,9 444
TIERCE
1,9,4 1,263
TRIO
1,4,9 253
FIRST 4
1,4,9,10 314
QUARTET
1,9,4,10 6,815
All pools (1 more)
3 PICK 1
A1 31
A3 —
A2 —