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Sha Tin · 2022-05-29 · 16:11

Race 7

Group 3 GOOD 1600m Course B 8 runners

Result

Pos No. Horse Draw Odds Margin
2 0 CHEERFUL DAYS Closed strongly B2 A Badel · K W Lui 8 16.0 1-1/4
3 0 MY SUGAR CP C L Chau · K H Ting 6 15.0 1-3/4
4 0 SILVER EXPRESS B L Currie · J Size 3 9.3 3
5 0 EXCELLENT PROPOSAL Closed strongly B/E J Moreira · J Size 7 4.9 3
6 0 CHAMPION'S WAY P/TT A Hamelin · J Size 4 17.0 3-1/4
7 0 SAVVY NINE B/XB M Chadwick · D J Whyte 5 22.0 3-3/4
8 0 HEALTHY HAPPY Led early V/TT K Teetan · F C Lor 1 40.0 3-3/4
9 0 MIGHTY GIANT B K C Leung · P F Yiu 9 75.0 5-3/4
— 0 BEAUTY JOY Closed strongly H/TT Z Purton · A S Cruz — 1.6 1-1/4

This site does not show odds as they change: the odds here are final prices after a race, or overnight prices before it.

Race 7 at Sha Tin on 2022-05-29 was Group 3 over 1600m, run on GOOD going. CHEERFUL DAYS, ridden by A Badel and trained by K W Lui, won by 1-1/4, with MY SUGAR second and SILVER EXPRESS third. The winner closed strongly from off the pace. The 1.6 favourite BEAUTY JOY did not finish.

Race shape

Beaten lengths
2. CHEERFUL DAYS+1.25L3. MY SUGAR+1.75L4. SILVER EXPRESS+3L5. EXCELLENT PROPOSAL+3L6. CHAMPION'S WAY+3.25L7. SAVVY NINE+3.75L8. HEALTHY HAPPY+3.75L9. MIGHTY GIANT+5.75L

Model ratings

Backtest · wf-2021-22
Rank No. Horse Win % Rated price Pos
1 0 BEAUTY JOY 53.9% 1.86 —
2 0 EXCELLENT PROPOSAL 12.8% 7.80 5
3 0 MY SUGAR 6.6% 15.09 3
4 0 CHAMPION'S WAY 6.3% 15.78 6
5 0 SILVER EXPRESS 6.0% 16.70 4
6 0 CHEERFUL DAYS 5.2% 19.35 2
7 0 SAVVY NINE 4.1% 24.56 7
8 0 HEALTHY HAPPY 3.8% 26.15 8
9 0 MIGHTY GIANT 1.3% 79.40 9
BEAUTY JOYEXCELLENT PROPOSALMY SUGARCHAMPION'S WAYSILVER EXPRESSCHEERFUL DAYSSAVVY NINEHEALTHY HAPPYMIGHTY GIANT

Model vs market

Each dot is a runner: model probability across, market-implied probability up. Dots on the dashed line mean the two agreed; the gold ring is the actual winner.

Ratings are statistical estimates for analysis, not betting advice — the backtest shows no profitable edge against the Hong Kong win market. How the model works →

Dividends

Per $10 unit

WIN

6 16

PLACE

6 10.1

7 27.5

9 38

QUINELLA

6,7 114.5

QUINELLA PLACE

6,7 41.5

6,9 41.5

7,9 203

FORECAST

6,7 144

TIERCE

6,7,9 883

TRIO

6,7,9 323

FIRST 4

6,7,8,9 353

QUARTET

6,7,9,8 4,954

All pools (3 more)

2ND DOUBLE TRIO

2,4,8/6,7,9 95,892

3 PICK 1

A1 12

A3 —

A2 —

6TH DOUBLE

2/6 294

2/7 334.5