Sha Tin · 2022-05-29 · 16:11
Race 7
Race 7 at Sha Tin on 2022-05-29 was Group 3 over 1600m, run on GOOD going. BEAUTY JOY, ridden by Z Purton and trained by A S Cruz, won by 1-1/4, with CHEERFUL DAYS second and MY SUGAR third. The winner closed strongly from off the pace. Victory came as the 1.6 favourite.
Result
| Pos | No. | Horse | Jockey | Trainer | Draw | Odds | Margin |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 6 | BEAUTY JOY Closed strongly H/TT 1.34.71 ▶ Replay (opens in new tab) Z Purton · A S Cruz | Z Purton | A S Cruz | 2 | 1.6 | 1-1/4 |
| 2 | 7 | CHEERFUL DAYS Closed strongly B2 A Badel · K W Lui | A Badel | K W Lui | 8 | 16.0 | 1-1/4 |
| 3 | 9 | MY SUGAR CP C L Chau · K H Ting | C L Chau | K H Ting | 6 | 15.0 | 1-3/4 |
| 4 | 8 | SILVER EXPRESS B L Currie · J Size | L Currie | J Size | 3 | 9.3 | 3 |
| 5 | 4 | EXCELLENT PROPOSAL Closed strongly B/E J Moreira · J Size | J Moreira | J Size | 7 | 4.9 | 3 |
| 6 | 2 | CHAMPION'S WAY P/TT A Hamelin · J Size | A Hamelin | J Size | 4 | 17.0 | 3-1/4 |
| 7 | 3 | SAVVY NINE B/XB M Chadwick · D J Whyte | M Chadwick | D J Whyte | 5 | 22.0 | 3-3/4 |
| 8 | 5 | HEALTHY HAPPY Led early V/TT K Teetan · F C Lor | K Teetan | F C Lor | 1 | 40.0 | 3-3/4 |
| 9 | 1 | MIGHTY GIANT B K C Leung · P F Yiu | K C Leung | P F Yiu | 9 | 75.0 | 5-3/4 |
Race shape
Model ratings
| Rank | No. | Horse | Win % | Rated price | Pos |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 6 | BEAUTY JOY | 53.9% | 1.86 | 1 |
| 2 | 4 | EXCELLENT PROPOSAL | 12.8% | 7.80 | 5 |
| 3 | 9 | MY SUGAR | 6.6% | 15.09 | 3 |
| 4 | 2 | CHAMPION'S WAY | 6.3% | 15.78 | 6 |
| 5 | 8 | SILVER EXPRESS | 6.0% | 16.70 | 4 |
| 6 | 7 | CHEERFUL DAYS | 5.2% | 19.35 | 2 |
| 7 | 3 | SAVVY NINE | 4.1% | 24.56 | 7 |
| 8 | 5 | HEALTHY HAPPY | 3.8% | 26.15 | 8 |
| 9 | 1 | MIGHTY GIANT | 1.3% | 79.40 | 9 |
Model vs market
Each dot is a runner: model probability across, market-implied probability up. Dots on the dashed line mean the two agreed; the gold ring is the actual winner.
Ratings are statistical estimates for analysis, not betting advice — the backtest shows no profitable edge against the Hong Kong win market. How the model works →
Dividends
WIN
6 16
PLACE
6 10.1
7 27.5
9 38
QUINELLA
6,7 114.5
QUINELLA PLACE
6,7 41.5
6,9 41.5
7,9 203
FORECAST
6,7 144
TIERCE
6,7,9 883
TRIO
6,7,9 323
FIRST 4
6,7,8,9 353
QUARTET
6,7,9,8 4,954
All pools (3 more)
2ND DOUBLE TRIO
2,4,8/6,7,9 95,892
3 PICK 1
A1 12
A3 —
A2 —
6TH DOUBLE
2/6 294
2/7 334.5