Sha Tin · 2022-05-29 · 14:18
Race 4
Race 4 at Sha Tin on 2022-05-29 was Class 4 over 1400m, run on GOOD going. GRACYLOVE, ridden by L Ferraris and trained by D J Hall, won by 1-1/4, with CHIRON second and MILLENNIUM FALCON third. The winner closed strongly from off the pace. The 4.5 favourite SUPER HIGHWAY finished 4th.
Result
| Pos | No. | Horse | Jockey | Trainer | Draw | Odds | Margin |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 5 | GRACYLOVE Closed strongly V1 1.22.64 ▶ Replay (opens in new tab) L Ferraris · D J Hall | L Ferraris | D J Hall | 1 | 15.0 | 1-1/4 |
| 2 | 14 | CHIRON Closed strongly CP/TT V Borges · D A Hayes | V Borges | D A Hayes | 10 | 33.0 | 1-1/4 |
| 3 | 2 | MILLENNIUM FALCON H C L Chau · T P Yung | C L Chau | T P Yung | 7 | 7.1 | 1-1/4 |
| 4 | 11 | SUPER HIGHWAY Closed strongly CP/TT K Teetan · F C Lor | K Teetan | F C Lor | 5 | 4.5 | 2 |
| 5 | 9 | INDIGENOUS REALM Closed strongly H1/TT K C Leung · K L Man | K C Leung | K L Man | 13 | 62.0 | 2 |
| 6 | 8 | NATURAL GOLD Led early SR/XB L Hewitson · D J Whyte | L Hewitson | D J Whyte | 9 | 6.0 | 3-1/4 |
| 7 | 1 | LIGHT OF WANSHI Closed strongly TT M Chadwick · W Y So | M Chadwick | W Y So | 6 | 6.8 | 3-1/2 |
| 8 | 3 | MARADO B R Maia · P O'Sullivan | R Maia | P O'Sullivan | 4 | 13.0 | 3-3/4 |
| 9 | 12 | MOERAKI B/TT C Y Ho · C W Chang | C Y Ho | C W Chang | 2 | 6.1 | 4-1/4 |
| 10 | 7 | FOREVER GLORIOUS TT H Bentley · K W Lui | H Bentley | K W Lui | 3 | 39.0 | 4-1/2 |
| 11 | 4 | BEAUTY NOVA B J Moreira · J Size | J Moreira | J Size | 8 | 18.0 | 5 |
| 12 | 6 | MAXIMIZE HEART B- A Badel · C H Yip | A Badel | C H Yip | 12 | 14.0 | 6 |
| 13 | 13 | MR ALDAN B/TT H W Lai · A S Cruz | H W Lai | A S Cruz | 14 | 59.0 | 12-1/4 |
| 14 | 10 | ALL IS READY B/XB1 M F Poon · P F Yiu | M F Poon | P F Yiu | 11 | 40.0 | 12-1/4 |
Race shape
Model ratings
| Rank | No. | Horse | Win % | Rated price | Pos |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 8 | NATURAL GOLD | 15.9% | 6.30 | 6 |
| 2 | 1 | LIGHT OF WANSHI | 15.1% | 6.61 | 7 |
| 3 | 12 | MOERAKI | 12.5% | 8.02 | 9 |
| 4 | 11 | SUPER HIGHWAY | 11.6% | 8.60 | 4 |
| 5 | 3 | MARADO | 8.5% | 11.80 | 8 |
| 6 | 2 | MILLENNIUM FALCON | 7.2% | 13.94 | 3 |
| 7 | 14 | CHIRON | 5.5% | 18.05 | 2 |
| 8 | 6 | MAXIMIZE HEART | 5.4% | 18.48 | 12 |
| 9 | 10 | ALL IS READY | 3.6% | 27.47 | 14 |
| 10 | 4 | BEAUTY NOVA | 3.6% | 27.86 | 11 |
| 11 | 9 | INDIGENOUS REALM | 3.5% | 28.49 | 5 |
| 12 | 5 | GRACYLOVE | 2.7% | 36.37 | 1 |
| 13 | 7 | FOREVER GLORIOUS | 2.5% | 39.45 | 10 |
| 14 | 13 | MR ALDAN | 2.3% | 43.77 | 13 |
Model vs market
Each dot is a runner: model probability across, market-implied probability up. Dots on the dashed line mean the two agreed; the gold ring is the actual winner.
Ratings are statistical estimates for analysis, not betting advice — the backtest shows no profitable edge against the Hong Kong win market. How the model works →
Dividends
WIN
5 150
PLACE
2 27
5 45.5
14 78
QUINELLA
5,14 2,041.5
QUINELLA PLACE
2,5 167.5
2,14 317.5
5,14 606
FORECAST
5,14 4,136
TIERCE
5,14,2 34,066
TRIO
2,5,14 4,276
FIRST 4
2,5,11,14 6,411
QUARTET
5,14,2,11 287,759
All pools (3 more)
1ST DOUBLE TRIO
2,8,10/2,5,14 213,593
3 PICK 1
A3 22.5
A1 —
A2 —
3RD DOUBLE
8/5 691
8/14 256.5