沙田 · 2022-05-29 · 14:18
第 4場
2022-05-29沙田第4場，Class 4，途程1400米，跑道評為GOOD。由L Ferraris策騎、D J Hall訓練的GRACYLOVE勝出，贏出1-1/4。CHIRON獲得亞軍；MILLENNIUM FALCON獲得季軍。頭馬後上力強。4.5倍大熱門SUPER HIGHWAY跑獲第4名。
賽果
| 名次 | No. | 馬名 | 騎師 | 練馬師 | 檔位 | 獨贏賠率 | 馬距 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 5 | GRACYLOVE 後段發力 V1 1.22.64 ▶ 重播 （在新分頁開啟） L Ferraris · D J Hall | L Ferraris | D J Hall | 1 | 15.0 | 1-1/4 |
| 2 | 14 | CHIRON 後段發力 CP/TT V Borges · D A Hayes | V Borges | D A Hayes | 10 | 33.0 | 1-1/4 |
| 3 | 2 | MILLENNIUM FALCON H C L Chau · T P Yung | C L Chau | T P Yung | 7 | 7.1 | 1-1/4 |
| 4 | 11 | SUPER HIGHWAY 後段發力 CP/TT K Teetan · F C Lor | K Teetan | F C Lor | 5 | 4.5 | 2 |
| 5 | 9 | INDIGENOUS REALM 後段發力 H1/TT K C Leung · K L Man | K C Leung | K L Man | 13 | 62.0 | 2 |
| 6 | 8 | NATURAL GOLD 早段領放 SR/XB L Hewitson · D J Whyte | L Hewitson | D J Whyte | 9 | 6.0 | 3-1/4 |
| 7 | 1 | LIGHT OF WANSHI 後段發力 TT M Chadwick · W Y So | M Chadwick | W Y So | 6 | 6.8 | 3-1/2 |
| 8 | 3 | MARADO B R Maia · P O'Sullivan | R Maia | P O'Sullivan | 4 | 13.0 | 3-3/4 |
| 9 | 12 | MOERAKI B/TT C Y Ho · C W Chang | C Y Ho | C W Chang | 2 | 6.1 | 4-1/4 |
| 10 | 7 | FOREVER GLORIOUS TT H Bentley · K W Lui | H Bentley | K W Lui | 3 | 39.0 | 4-1/2 |
| 11 | 4 | BEAUTY NOVA B J Moreira · J Size | J Moreira | J Size | 8 | 18.0 | 5 |
| 12 | 6 | MAXIMIZE HEART B- A Badel · C H Yip | A Badel | C H Yip | 12 | 14.0 | 6 |
| 13 | 13 | MR ALDAN B/TT H W Lai · A S Cruz | H W Lai | A S Cruz | 14 | 59.0 | 12-1/4 |
| 14 | 10 | ALL IS READY B/XB1 M F Poon · P F Yiu | M F Poon | P F Yiu | 11 | 40.0 | 12-1/4 |
賽果形勢
模型評分
| 排名 | No. | 馬名 | 勝出概率 | 評估賠率 | 名次 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 8 | NATURAL GOLD | 15.9% | 6.30 | 6 |
| 2 | 1 | LIGHT OF WANSHI | 15.1% | 6.61 | 7 |
| 3 | 12 | MOERAKI | 12.5% | 8.02 | 9 |
| 4 | 11 | SUPER HIGHWAY | 11.6% | 8.60 | 4 |
| 5 | 3 | MARADO | 8.5% | 11.80 | 8 |
| 6 | 2 | MILLENNIUM FALCON | 7.2% | 13.94 | 3 |
| 7 | 14 | CHIRON | 5.5% | 18.05 | 2 |
| 8 | 6 | MAXIMIZE HEART | 5.4% | 18.48 | 12 |
| 9 | 10 | ALL IS READY | 3.6% | 27.47 | 14 |
| 10 | 4 | BEAUTY NOVA | 3.6% | 27.86 | 11 |
| 11 | 9 | INDIGENOUS REALM | 3.5% | 28.49 | 5 |
| 12 | 5 | GRACYLOVE | 2.7% | 36.37 | 1 |
| 13 | 7 | FOREVER GLORIOUS | 2.5% | 39.45 | 10 |
| 14 | 13 | MR ALDAN | 2.3% | 43.77 | 13 |
模型對市場
每點代表一匹馬：橫軸為模型概率，縱軸為市場隱含概率。點落在虛線上代表兩者一致；金圈為實際頭馬。
評分僅為統計分析估算，並非投注建議——回測顯示模型對香港獨贏市場並無盈利優勢。 模型原理 →
派彩
WIN
5 150
PLACE
2 27
5 45.5
14 78
QUINELLA
5,14 2,041.5
QUINELLA PLACE
2,5 167.5
2,14 317.5
5,14 606
FORECAST
5,14 4,136
TIERCE
5,14,2 34,066
TRIO
2,5,14 4,276
FIRST 4
2,5,11,14 6,411
QUARTET
5,14,2,11 287,759
全部彩池（另 3 項）
1ST DOUBLE TRIO
2,8,10/2,5,14 213,593
3 PICK 1
A3 22.5
A1 —
A2 —
3RD DOUBLE
8/5 691
8/14 256.5