沙田 · 2022-05-29 · 13:16
第 2場
2022-05-29沙田第2場，Class 4，途程2000米，跑道評為GOOD。由C Y Ho策騎、P F Yiu訓練的ROBOT WARRIOR勝出，贏出SH。RIGHT AS RAIN獲得亞軍；RED ELYSEES獲得季軍。頭馬後上力強。3.1倍大熱門RIGHT AS RAIN跑獲第2名。
賽果
| 名次 | No. | 馬名 | 騎師 | 練馬師 | 檔位 | 獨贏賠率 | 馬距 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 5 | ROBOT WARRIOR 後段發力 B 2.03.36 ▶ 重播 （在新分頁開啟） C Y Ho · P F Yiu | C Y Ho | P F Yiu | 3 | 8.1 | SH |
| 2 | 9 | RIGHT AS RAIN 後段發力 CP Z Purton · C W Chang | Z Purton | C W Chang | 4 | 3.1 | SH |
| 3 | 8 | RED ELYSEES 後段發力 B/TT J Moreira · K L Man | J Moreira | K L Man | 1 | 6.0 | 2-1/2 |
| 4 | 10 | VUKAN B/XB K C Leung · P O'Sullivan | K C Leung | P O'Sullivan | 12 | 24.0 | 2-1/2 |
| 5 | 4 | CHEVALIER PRINCE 後段發力 CP K Teetan · F C Lor | K Teetan | F C Lor | 6 | 10.0 | 2-3/4 |
| 6 | 3 | VINCY 後段發力 SR/TT H Bentley · C H Yip | H Bentley | C H Yip | 7 | 36.0 | 4 |
| 7 | 7 | STIMULATION 後段發力 B/TT L Ferraris · A S Cruz | L Ferraris | A S Cruz | 11 | 39.0 | 4-1/2 |
| 8 | 6 | HAPPY ANGEL CP-/B1 A Hamelin · D A Hayes | A Hamelin | D A Hayes | 8 | 31.0 | 5-1/4 |
| 9 | 11 | WONDER YEARS 後段發力 B/XB/TT M Chadwick · D J Whyte | M Chadwick | D J Whyte | 10 | 9.2 | 7 |
| 9 | 14 | GO BALLISTIC SR/TT V Borges · R Gibson | V Borges | R Gibson | 14 | 87.0 | 7 |
| 11 | 12 | DAILY CHARM 早段領放 B/TT L Hewitson · C S Shum | L Hewitson | C S Shum | 9 | 18.0 | 8-3/4 |
| 12 | 2 | KYRUS UNICORN V L Currie · D J Hall | L Currie | D J Hall | 2 | 8.5 | 9-3/4 |
| 13 | 1 | BORN THE SAME DAY H B Shinn · K W Lui | B Shinn | K W Lui | 13 | 11.0 | 10-1/2 |
| 14 | 13 | DRAGON COMMANDER B H T Mo · Y S Tsui | H T Mo | Y S Tsui | 5 | 105.0 | 24-1/4 |
賽果形勢
模型評分
| 排名 | No. | 馬名 | 勝出概率 | 評估賠率 | 名次 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 8 | RED ELYSEES | 22.2% | 4.50 | 3 |
| 2 | 9 | RIGHT AS RAIN | 20.6% | 4.86 | 2 |
| 3 | 11 | WONDER YEARS | 11.0% | 9.09 | 9 |
| 4 | 2 | KYRUS UNICORN | 8.0% | 12.55 | 12 |
| 5 | 10 | VUKAN | 7.6% | 13.18 | 4 |
| 6 | 5 | ROBOT WARRIOR | 5.3% | 18.70 | 1 |
| 7 | 4 | CHEVALIER PRINCE | 5.3% | 18.88 | 5 |
| 8 | 1 | BORN THE SAME DAY | 5.1% | 19.54 | 13 |
| 9 | 12 | DAILY CHARM | 4.9% | 20.54 | 11 |
| 10 | 14 | GO BALLISTIC | 3.4% | 29.02 | 9 |
| 11 | 3 | VINCY | 2.2% | 44.56 | 6 |
| 12 | 7 | STIMULATION | 1.9% | 53.62 | 7 |
| 13 | 6 | HAPPY ANGEL | 1.2% | 80.53 | 8 |
| 14 | 13 | DRAGON COMMANDER | 1.2% | 83.80 | 14 |
模型對市場
每點代表一匹馬：橫軸為模型概率，縱軸為市場隱含概率。點落在虛線上代表兩者一致；金圈為實際頭馬。
評分僅為統計分析估算，並非投注建議——回測顯示模型對香港獨贏市場並無盈利優勢。 模型原理 →
派彩
WIN
5 81.5
PLACE
5 27
8 21.5
9 16
QUINELLA
5,9 146
QUINELLA PLACE
5,8 92.5
5,9 61
8,9 45
FORECAST
5,9 367
TIERCE
5,9,8 1,507
TRIO
5,8,9 277
FIRST 4
5,8,9,10 1,528
QUARTET
5,9,8,10 24,653
全部彩池（另 2 項）
1ST DOUBLE
1/5 647.5
1/9 22.5
3 PICK 1
A1 —
A3 17
A2 —