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Sha Tin · 2022-05-29 · 13:16

Race 2

Class 4 GOOD 2000m Course B 14 runners

Result

Official · 2.03.36
Pos No. Horse Draw Odds Margin
1 0 ROBOT WARRIOR Closed strongly B 2.03.36 ▶ Replay (opens in new tab) C Y Ho · P F Yiu 3 8.1 SH
2 0 RIGHT AS RAIN Closed strongly CP Z Purton · C W Chang 4 3.1 SH
3 0 RED ELYSEES Closed strongly B/TT J Moreira · K L Man 1 6.0 2-1/2
4 0 VUKAN B/XB K C Leung · P O'Sullivan 12 24.0 2-1/2
5 0 CHEVALIER PRINCE Closed strongly CP K Teetan · F C Lor 6 10.0 2-3/4
6 0 VINCY Closed strongly SR/TT H Bentley · C H Yip 7 36.0 4
7 0 STIMULATION Closed strongly B/TT L Ferraris · A S Cruz 11 39.0 4-1/2
8 0 HAPPY ANGEL CP-/B1 A Hamelin · D A Hayes 8 31.0 5-1/4
9 0 GO BALLISTIC SR/TT V Borges · R Gibson 14 87.0 7
9 0 WONDER YEARS Closed strongly B/XB/TT M Chadwick · D J Whyte 10 9.2 7
11 0 DAILY CHARM Led early B/TT L Hewitson · C S Shum 9 18.0 8-3/4
12 0 KYRUS UNICORN V L Currie · D J Hall 2 8.5 9-3/4
13 0 BORN THE SAME DAY H B Shinn · K W Lui 13 11.0 10-1/2
14 0 DRAGON COMMANDER B H T Mo · Y S Tsui 5 105.0 24-1/4

This site does not show odds as they change: the odds here are final prices after a race, or overnight prices before it.

Race 2 at Sha Tin on 2022-05-29 was Class 4 over 2000m, run on GOOD going. ROBOT WARRIOR, ridden by C Y Ho and trained by P F Yiu, won by SH, with RIGHT AS RAIN second and RED ELYSEES third. The winner closed strongly from off the pace. The 3.1 favourite RIGHT AS RAIN finished 2nd.

Race shape

Beaten lengths
1. ROBOT WARRIOR—2. RIGHT AS RAIN+0.1L3. RED ELYSEES+2.5L4. VUKAN+2.5L5. CHEVALIER PRINCE+2.75L6. VINCY+4L7. STIMULATION+4.5L8. HAPPY ANGEL+5.25L9. GO BALLISTIC+7L9. WONDER YEARS+7L

Model ratings

Backtest · wf-2021-22
The model's top pick RED ELYSEES (22.2%) finished 3rd — the winner ROBOT WARRIOR was rated #6. Out-of-sample backtest: this board was produced by a model trained only on seasons before this race — it never saw this result.
Rank No. Horse Win % Rated price Pos
1 0 RED ELYSEES 22.2% 4.50 3
2 0 RIGHT AS RAIN 20.6% 4.86 2
3 0 WONDER YEARS 11.0% 9.09 9
4 0 KYRUS UNICORN 8.0% 12.55 12
5 0 VUKAN 7.6% 13.18 4
6 0 ROBOT WARRIOR 5.3% 18.70 1
7 0 CHEVALIER PRINCE 5.3% 18.88 5
8 0 BORN THE SAME DAY 5.1% 19.54 13
9 0 DAILY CHARM 4.9% 20.54 11
10 0 GO BALLISTIC 3.4% 29.02 9
11 0 VINCY 2.2% 44.56 6
12 0 STIMULATION 1.9% 53.62 7
13 0 HAPPY ANGEL 1.2% 80.53 8
14 0 DRAGON COMMANDER 1.2% 83.80 14
RED ELYSEESRIGHT AS RAINWONDER YEARSKYRUS UNICORNVUKANROBOT WARRIOR — wonCHEVALIER PRINCEBORN THE SAME DAYDAILY CHARMGO BALLISTICVINCYSTIMULATIONHAPPY ANGELDRAGON COMMANDER

Model vs market

Each dot is a runner: model probability across, market-implied probability up. Dots on the dashed line mean the two agreed; the gold ring is the actual winner.

Ratings are statistical estimates for analysis, not betting advice — the backtest shows no profitable edge against the Hong Kong win market. How the model works →

Dividends

Per $10 unit

WIN

5 81.5

PLACE

5 27

8 21.5

9 16

QUINELLA

5,9 146

QUINELLA PLACE

5,8 92.5

5,9 61

8,9 45

FORECAST

5,9 367

TIERCE

5,9,8 1,507

TRIO

5,8,9 277

FIRST 4

5,8,9,10 1,528

QUARTET

5,9,8,10 24,653

All pools (2 more)

1ST DOUBLE

1/5 647.5

1/9 22.5

3 PICK 1

A3 17

A2 —

A1 —