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Sha Tin · 2022-05-29 · 13:16

Race 2

Class 4 GOOD 2000m Course B 14 runners

Race 2 at Sha Tin on 2022-05-29 was Class 4 over 2000m, run on GOOD going. ROBOT WARRIOR, ridden by C Y Ho and trained by P F Yiu, won by SH, with RIGHT AS RAIN second and RED ELYSEES third. The winner closed strongly from off the pace. The 3.1 favourite RIGHT AS RAIN finished 2nd.

Result

Official · 2.03.36
Pos No. Horse Draw Odds Margin
1 5 ROBOT WARRIOR Closed strongly B 2.03.36 ▶ Replay (opens in new tab) C Y Ho · P F Yiu 3 8.1 SH
2 9 RIGHT AS RAIN Closed strongly CP Z Purton · C W Chang 4 3.1 SH
3 8 RED ELYSEES Closed strongly B/TT J Moreira · K L Man 1 6.0 2-1/2
4 10 VUKAN B/XB K C Leung · P O'Sullivan 12 24.0 2-1/2
5 4 CHEVALIER PRINCE Closed strongly CP K Teetan · F C Lor 6 10.0 2-3/4
6 3 VINCY Closed strongly SR/TT H Bentley · C H Yip 7 36.0 4
7 7 STIMULATION Closed strongly B/TT L Ferraris · A S Cruz 11 39.0 4-1/2
8 6 HAPPY ANGEL CP-/B1 A Hamelin · D A Hayes 8 31.0 5-1/4
9 11 WONDER YEARS Closed strongly B/XB/TT M Chadwick · D J Whyte 10 9.2 7
9 14 GO BALLISTIC SR/TT V Borges · R Gibson 14 87.0 7
11 12 DAILY CHARM Led early B/TT L Hewitson · C S Shum 9 18.0 8-3/4
12 2 KYRUS UNICORN V L Currie · D J Hall 2 8.5 9-3/4
13 1 BORN THE SAME DAY H B Shinn · K W Lui 13 11.0 10-1/2
14 13 DRAGON COMMANDER B H T Mo · Y S Tsui 5 105.0 24-1/4

Race shape

Beaten lengths
1. ROBOT WARRIOR2. RIGHT AS RAIN+0.1L3. RED ELYSEES+2.5L4. VUKAN+2.5L5. CHEVALIER PRINCE+2.75L6. VINCY+4L7. STIMULATION+4.5L8. HAPPY ANGEL+5.25L9. WONDER YEARS+7L9. GO BALLISTIC+7L

Model ratings

Backtest · wf-2021-22
The model's top pick RED ELYSEES (22.2%) finished 3rd — the winner ROBOT WARRIOR was rated #6. Out-of-sample backtest: this board was produced by a model trained only on seasons before this race — it never saw this result.
Rank No. Horse Win % Rated price Pos
1 8 RED ELYSEES 22.2% 4.50 3
2 9 RIGHT AS RAIN 20.6% 4.86 2
3 11 WONDER YEARS 11.0% 9.09 9
4 2 KYRUS UNICORN 8.0% 12.55 12
5 10 VUKAN 7.6% 13.18 4
6 5 ROBOT WARRIOR 5.3% 18.70 1
7 4 CHEVALIER PRINCE 5.3% 18.88 5
8 1 BORN THE SAME DAY 5.1% 19.54 13
9 12 DAILY CHARM 4.9% 20.54 11
10 14 GO BALLISTIC 3.4% 29.02 9
11 3 VINCY 2.2% 44.56 6
12 7 STIMULATION 1.9% 53.62 7
13 6 HAPPY ANGEL 1.2% 80.53 8
14 13 DRAGON COMMANDER 1.2% 83.80 14
RED ELYSEESRIGHT AS RAINWONDER YEARSKYRUS UNICORNVUKANROBOT WARRIOR — wonCHEVALIER PRINCEBORN THE SAME DAYDAILY CHARMGO BALLISTICVINCYSTIMULATIONHAPPY ANGELDRAGON COMMANDER

Model vs market

Each dot is a runner: model probability across, market-implied probability up. Dots on the dashed line mean the two agreed; the gold ring is the actual winner.

Ratings are statistical estimates for analysis, not betting advice — the backtest shows no profitable edge against the Hong Kong win market. How the model works →

Dividends

Per $10 unit

WIN

5 81.5

PLACE

5 27

8 21.5

9 16

QUINELLA

5,9 146

QUINELLA PLACE

5,8 92.5

5,9 61

8,9 45

FORECAST

5,9 367

TIERCE

5,9,8 1,507

TRIO

5,8,9 277

FIRST 4

5,8,9,10 1,528

QUARTET

5,9,8,10 24,653

All pools (2 more)

1ST DOUBLE

1/5 647.5

1/9 22.5

3 PICK 1

A1

A3 17

A2