Sha Tin · 2022-05-29 · 13:46
Race 3
Race 3 at Sha Tin on 2022-05-29 was Class 2 over 2000m, run on GOOD going. RUNNING GLORY, ridden by A Hamelin and trained by J Size, won by 1/2, with BOURBONAIRE second and TURIN REDSUN third. The winner closed strongly from off the pace. The 3.0 favourite MONEY CATCHER finished 5th.
Result
| Pos | No. | Horse | Jockey | Trainer | Draw | Odds | Margin |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 8 | RUNNING GLORY Closed strongly 2.01.90 ▶ Replay (opens in new tab) A Hamelin · J Size | A Hamelin | J Size | 6 | 6.7 | 1/2 |
| 2 | 10 | BOURBONAIRE Closed strongly H V Borges · J Size | V Borges | J Size | 3 | 6.4 | 1/2 |
| 3 | 2 | TURIN REDSUN Closed strongly B/TT A Badel · D J Whyte | A Badel | D J Whyte | 2 | 4.2 | 1-3/4 |
| 4 | 6 | FLYING QUEST Closed strongly B L Currie · D J Hall | L Currie | D J Hall | 1 | 11.0 | 4-1/4 |
| 5 | 1 | MONEY CATCHER CP Z Purton · F C Lor | Z Purton | F C Lor | 5 | 3.0 | 5 |
| 6 | 4 | BERLIN TANGO Closed strongly B/H/TT K Teetan · A S Cruz | K Teetan | A S Cruz | 7 | 10.0 | 5-3/4 |
| 7 | 9 | ABOVE Closed strongly B/TT L Hewitson · A T Millard | L Hewitson | A T Millard | 9 | 42.0 | 6-3/4 |
| 8 | 7 | LOOKING GREAT TT J Moreira · F C Lor | J Moreira | F C Lor | 8 | 16.0 | 8-3/4 |
| 9 | 3 | CHARITY GO Closed strongly SR M F Poon · C S Shum | M F Poon | C S Shum | 10 | 36.0 | 9 |
| 10 | 5 | ENJOYING Led early B/TT M Chadwick · W Y So | M Chadwick | W Y So | 4 | 21.0 | 11-1/2 |
Race shape
Model ratings
| Rank | No. | Horse | Win % | Rated price | Pos |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1 | MONEY CATCHER | 31.4% | 3.19 | 5 |
| 2 | 8 | RUNNING GLORY | 14.1% | 7.08 | 1 |
| 3 | 2 | TURIN REDSUN | 13.8% | 7.27 | 3 |
| 4 | 4 | BERLIN TANGO | 10.0% | 10.04 | 6 |
| 5 | 7 | LOOKING GREAT | 8.2% | 12.14 | 8 |
| 6 | 10 | BOURBONAIRE | 7.6% | 13.24 | 2 |
| 7 | 5 | ENJOYING | 4.9% | 20.51 | 10 |
| 8 | 6 | FLYING QUEST | 4.5% | 22.06 | 4 |
| 9 | 3 | CHARITY GO | 3.5% | 28.69 | 9 |
| 10 | 9 | ABOVE | 2.1% | 47.47 | 7 |
Model vs market
Each dot is a runner: model probability across, market-implied probability up. Dots on the dashed line mean the two agreed; the gold ring is the actual winner.
Ratings are statistical estimates for analysis, not betting advice — the backtest shows no profitable edge against the Hong Kong win market. How the model works →
Dividends
WIN
8 67
PLACE
2 17
8 19
10 22.5
QUINELLA
8,10 233.5
QUINELLA PLACE
2,8 63.5
2,10 49.5
8,10 73.5
FORECAST
8,10 423
TIERCE
8,10,2 1,880
TRIO
2,8,10 345
FIRST 4
2,6,8,10 723
QUARTET
8,10,2,6 16,439
All pools (2 more)
2ND DOUBLE
5/8 486.5
5/10 101.5
3 PICK 1
A1 —
A3 —
A2 33