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Sha Tin · 2022-05-29 · 13:46

Race 3

Class 2 GOOD 2000m Course B 10 runners

Result

Official · 2.01.90
Pos No. Horse Draw Odds Margin
1 0 RUNNING GLORY Closed strongly 2.01.90 ▶ Replay (opens in new tab) A Hamelin · J Size 6 6.7 1/2
2 0 BOURBONAIRE Closed strongly H V Borges · J Size 3 6.4 1/2
3 0 TURIN REDSUN Closed strongly B/TT A Badel · D J Whyte 2 4.2 1-3/4
4 0 FLYING QUEST Closed strongly B L Currie · D J Hall 1 11.0 4-1/4
5 0 MONEY CATCHER CP Z Purton · F C Lor 5 3.0 5
6 0 BERLIN TANGO Closed strongly B/H/TT K Teetan · A S Cruz 7 10.0 5-3/4
7 0 ABOVE Closed strongly B/TT L Hewitson · A T Millard 9 42.0 6-3/4
8 0 LOOKING GREAT TT J Moreira · F C Lor 8 16.0 8-3/4
9 0 CHARITY GO Closed strongly SR M F Poon · C S Shum 10 36.0 9
10 0 ENJOYING Led early B/TT M Chadwick · W Y So 4 21.0 11-1/2

This site does not show odds as they change: the odds here are final prices after a race, or overnight prices before it.

Race 3 at Sha Tin on 2022-05-29 was Class 2 over 2000m, run on GOOD going. RUNNING GLORY, ridden by A Hamelin and trained by J Size, won by 1/2, with BOURBONAIRE second and TURIN REDSUN third. The winner closed strongly from off the pace. The 3.0 favourite MONEY CATCHER finished 5th.

Race shape

Beaten lengths
1. RUNNING GLORY—2. BOURBONAIRE+0.5L3. TURIN REDSUN+1.75L4. FLYING QUEST+4.25L5. MONEY CATCHER+5L6. BERLIN TANGO+5.75L7. ABOVE+6.75L8. LOOKING GREAT+8.75L9. CHARITY GO+9L10. ENJOYING+11.5L

Model ratings

Backtest · wf-2021-22
The model's top pick MONEY CATCHER (31.4%) finished 5th — the winner RUNNING GLORY was rated #2. Out-of-sample backtest: this board was produced by a model trained only on seasons before this race — it never saw this result.
Rank No. Horse Win % Rated price Pos
1 0 MONEY CATCHER 31.4% 3.19 5
2 0 RUNNING GLORY 14.1% 7.08 1
3 0 TURIN REDSUN 13.8% 7.27 3
4 0 BERLIN TANGO 10.0% 10.04 6
5 0 LOOKING GREAT 8.2% 12.14 8
6 0 BOURBONAIRE 7.6% 13.24 2
7 0 ENJOYING 4.9% 20.51 10
8 0 FLYING QUEST 4.5% 22.06 4
9 0 CHARITY GO 3.5% 28.69 9
10 0 ABOVE 2.1% 47.47 7
MONEY CATCHERRUNNING GLORY — wonTURIN REDSUNBERLIN TANGOLOOKING GREATBOURBONAIREENJOYINGFLYING QUESTCHARITY GOABOVE

Model vs market

Each dot is a runner: model probability across, market-implied probability up. Dots on the dashed line mean the two agreed; the gold ring is the actual winner.

Ratings are statistical estimates for analysis, not betting advice — the backtest shows no profitable edge against the Hong Kong win market. How the model works →

Dividends

Per $10 unit

WIN

8 67

PLACE

2 17

8 19

10 22.5

QUINELLA

8,10 233.5

QUINELLA PLACE

2,8 63.5

2,10 49.5

8,10 73.5

FORECAST

8,10 423

TIERCE

8,10,2 1,880

TRIO

2,8,10 345

FIRST 4

2,6,8,10 723

QUARTET

8,10,2,6 16,439

All pools (2 more)

2ND DOUBLE

5/8 486.5

5/10 101.5

3 PICK 1

A2 33

A1 —

A3 —