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Sha Tin · 2022-05-29 · 15:11

Race 5

Class 3 WET FAST 1800m 14 runners

Result

Official · 1.46.95
Pos No. Horse Draw Odds Margin
1 0 ROMANTIC COMBO Closed strongly B/TT 1.46.95 ▶ Replay (opens in new tab) J Moreira · C S Shum 4 5.3 1-1/2
2 0 AMAZING TEENS Closed strongly H/P/TT L Currie · J Size 8 7.0 1-1/2
3 0 SO WE JOY Closed strongly H/XB/TT2 C Y Ho · C W Chang 1 7.9 1-3/4
4 0 KING'S CAPITAL Closed strongly C L Chau · D A Hayes 6 11.0 4-1/4
5 0 DELIGHTFUL LAOS Closed strongly CP/TT K Teetan · A S Cruz 13 19.0 5-1/4
6 0 ROCKET SPADE Closed strongly B-/XB/PC1/TT B Shinn · C Fownes 5 6.5 6
7 0 SKYEY SUPREME Led early B/TT C Wong · K W Lui 3 34.0 6-1/2
8 0 EMERGING Closed strongly H/TT A Badel · R Gibson 11 29.0 7
9 0 EXCEPTIONAL NICE B/E/TT V Borges · W Y So 10 12.0 8-3/4
10 0 CHANCHENG PRINCE XB/TT Z Purton · K W Lui 7 7.9 9-1/2
11 0 PARTY EVERYDAY Closed strongly H/TT M Chadwick · A S Cruz 9 12.0 10-1/4
12 0 DARCI JOY Closed strongly B L Hewitson · P F Yiu 12 12.0 15-1/2
13 0 FUNCTION PATCH H/P1/TT H Bentley · K W Lui 2 66.0 24-1/4
14 0 INFINITE POWER CP M F Poon · F C Lor 14 52.0 31-1/4

This site does not show odds as they change: the odds here are final prices after a race, or overnight prices before it.

Race 5 at Sha Tin on 2022-05-29 was Class 3 over 1800m, run on WET FAST going. ROMANTIC COMBO, ridden by J Moreira and trained by C S Shum, won by 1-1/2, with AMAZING TEENS second and SO WE JOY third. The winner closed strongly from off the pace. Victory came as the 5.3 favourite.

Race shape

Beaten lengths
1. ROMANTIC COMBO—2. AMAZING TEENS+1.5L3. SO WE JOY+1.75L4. KING'S CAPITAL+4.25L5. DELIGHTFUL LAOS+5.25L6. ROCKET SPADE+6L7. SKYEY SUPREME+6.5L8. EMERGING+7L9. EXCEPTIONAL NICE+8.75L10. CHANCHENG PRINCE+9.5L

Model ratings

Backtest · wf-2021-22
The model's top pick ROMANTIC COMBO (27.6%) won this race. Out-of-sample backtest: this board was produced by a model trained only on seasons before this race — it never saw this result.
Rank No. Horse Win % Rated price Pos
1 0 ROMANTIC COMBO 27.6% 3.62 1
2 0 CHANCHENG PRINCE 10.2% 9.81 10
3 0 SO WE JOY 9.4% 10.62 3
4 0 AMAZING TEENS 7.7% 12.91 2
5 0 INFINITE POWER 7.2% 13.96 14
6 0 KING'S CAPITAL 6.7% 14.93 4
7 0 DARCI JOY 5.8% 17.28 12
8 0 DELIGHTFUL LAOS 5.8% 17.29 5
9 0 PARTY EVERYDAY 5.5% 18.18 11
10 0 ROCKET SPADE 5.2% 19.17 6
11 0 SKYEY SUPREME 2.7% 36.91 7
12 0 EMERGING 2.6% 38.61 8
13 0 EXCEPTIONAL NICE 2.2% 45.87 9
14 0 FUNCTION PATCH 1.4% 72.45 13
ROMANTIC COMBO — wonCHANCHENG PRINCESO WE JOYAMAZING TEENSINFINITE POWERKING'S CAPITALDARCI JOYDELIGHTFUL LAOSPARTY EVERYDAYROCKET SPADESKYEY SUPREMEEMERGINGEXCEPTIONAL NICEFUNCTION PATCH

Model vs market

Each dot is a runner: model probability across, market-implied probability up. Dots on the dashed line mean the two agreed; the gold ring is the actual winner.

Ratings are statistical estimates for analysis, not betting advice — the backtest shows no profitable edge against the Hong Kong win market. How the model works →

Dividends

Per $10 unit

WIN

7 53

PLACE

3 26

7 19

10 28

QUINELLA

7,10 202.5

QUINELLA PLACE

3,7 70.5

3,10 100

7,10 76

FORECAST

7,10 277

TIERCE

7,10,3 1,421

TRIO

3,7,10 323

FIRST 4

3,5,7,10 633

QUARTET

7,10,3,5 9,593

All pools (2 more)

3 PICK 1

A1 29.5

A3 —

A2 —

4TH DOUBLE

5/7 884.5

5/10 175