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Sha Tin · 2022-05-29 · 15:11

Race 5

Class 3 WET FAST 1800m 14 runners

Race 5 at Sha Tin on 2022-05-29 was Class 3 over 1800m, run on WET FAST going. ROMANTIC COMBO, ridden by J Moreira and trained by C S Shum, won by 1-1/2, with AMAZING TEENS second and SO WE JOY third. The winner closed strongly from off the pace. Victory came as the 5.3 favourite.

Result

Official · 1.46.95
Pos No. Horse Draw Odds Margin
1 7 ROMANTIC COMBO Closed strongly B/TT 1.46.95 ▶ Replay (opens in new tab) J Moreira · C S Shum 4 5.3 1-1/2
2 10 AMAZING TEENS Closed strongly H/P/TT L Currie · J Size 8 7.0 1-1/2
3 3 SO WE JOY Closed strongly H/XB/TT2 C Y Ho · C W Chang 1 7.9 1-3/4
4 5 KING'S CAPITAL Closed strongly C L Chau · D A Hayes 6 11.0 4-1/4
5 2 DELIGHTFUL LAOS Closed strongly CP/TT K Teetan · A S Cruz 13 19.0 5-1/4
6 4 ROCKET SPADE Closed strongly B-/XB/PC1/TT B Shinn · C Fownes 5 6.5 6
7 11 SKYEY SUPREME Led early B/TT C Wong · K W Lui 3 34.0 6-1/2
8 14 EMERGING Closed strongly H/TT A Badel · R Gibson 11 29.0 7
9 13 EXCEPTIONAL NICE B/E/TT V Borges · W Y So 10 12.0 8-3/4
10 1 CHANCHENG PRINCE XB/TT Z Purton · K W Lui 7 7.9 9-1/2
11 6 PARTY EVERYDAY Closed strongly H/TT M Chadwick · A S Cruz 9 12.0 10-1/4
12 12 DARCI JOY Closed strongly B L Hewitson · P F Yiu 12 12.0 15-1/2
13 9 FUNCTION PATCH H/P1/TT H Bentley · K W Lui 2 66.0 24-1/4
14 8 INFINITE POWER CP M F Poon · F C Lor 14 52.0 31-1/4

Race shape

Beaten lengths
1. ROMANTIC COMBO—2. AMAZING TEENS+1.5L3. SO WE JOY+1.75L4. KING'S CAPITAL+4.25L5. DELIGHTFUL LAOS+5.25L6. ROCKET SPADE+6L7. SKYEY SUPREME+6.5L8. EMERGING+7L9. EXCEPTIONAL NICE+8.75L10. CHANCHENG PRINCE+9.5L

Model ratings

Backtest · wf-2021-22
The model's top pick ROMANTIC COMBO (27.6%) won this race. Out-of-sample backtest: this board was produced by a model trained only on seasons before this race — it never saw this result.
Rank No. Horse Win % Rated price Pos
1 7 ROMANTIC COMBO 27.6% 3.62 1
2 1 CHANCHENG PRINCE 10.2% 9.81 10
3 3 SO WE JOY 9.4% 10.62 3
4 10 AMAZING TEENS 7.7% 12.91 2
5 8 INFINITE POWER 7.2% 13.96 14
6 5 KING'S CAPITAL 6.7% 14.93 4
7 12 DARCI JOY 5.8% 17.28 12
8 2 DELIGHTFUL LAOS 5.8% 17.29 5
9 6 PARTY EVERYDAY 5.5% 18.18 11
10 4 ROCKET SPADE 5.2% 19.17 6
11 11 SKYEY SUPREME 2.7% 36.91 7
12 14 EMERGING 2.6% 38.61 8
13 13 EXCEPTIONAL NICE 2.2% 45.87 9
14 9 FUNCTION PATCH 1.4% 72.45 13
ROMANTIC COMBO — wonCHANCHENG PRINCESO WE JOYAMAZING TEENSINFINITE POWERKING'S CAPITALDARCI JOYDELIGHTFUL LAOSPARTY EVERYDAYROCKET SPADESKYEY SUPREMEEMERGINGEXCEPTIONAL NICEFUNCTION PATCH

Model vs market

Each dot is a runner: model probability across, market-implied probability up. Dots on the dashed line mean the two agreed; the gold ring is the actual winner.

Ratings are statistical estimates for analysis, not betting advice — the backtest shows no profitable edge against the Hong Kong win market. How the model works →

Dividends

Per $10 unit

WIN

7 53

PLACE

3 26

7 19

10 28

QUINELLA

7,10 202.5

QUINELLA PLACE

3,7 70.5

3,10 100

7,10 76

FORECAST

7,10 277

TIERCE

7,10,3 1,421

TRIO

3,7,10 323

FIRST 4

3,5,7,10 633

QUARTET

7,10,3,5 9,593

All pools (2 more)

3 PICK 1

A3 —

A2 —

A1 29.5

4TH DOUBLE

5/7 884.5

5/10 175

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