Sha Tin · 2022-05-29 · 16:43
Race 8
Race 8 at Sha Tin on 2022-05-29 was Class 3 over 1200m, run on GOOD going. BRILLIANT WAY, ridden by A Badel and trained by J Size, won by N, with BUZZINGA second and KAI XIN DRAGON third. The 2.4 favourite SAKEWIN finished 4th.
Result
| Pos | No. | Horse | Jockey | Trainer | Draw | Odds | Margin |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 6 | BRILLIANT WAY H/P/TT 1.08.98 ▶ Replay (opens in new tab) A Badel · J Size | A Badel | J Size | 6 | 10.0 | N |
| 2 | 1 | BUZZINGA TT K Teetan · A S Cruz | K Teetan | A S Cruz | 1 | 2.7 | N |
| 3 | 11 | KAI XIN DRAGON TT M F Poon · D A Hayes | M F Poon | D A Hayes | 5 | 36.0 | 1-1/4 |
| 4 | 4 | SAKEWIN J Moreira · F C Lor | J Moreira | F C Lor | 4 | 2.4 | 1-1/2 |
| 5 | 3 | PACKING TREADMILL SR Z Purton · K W Lui | Z Purton | K W Lui | 11 | 8.3 | 2-1/4 |
| 6 | 5 | GLUCK RACER V M Chadwick · K H Ting | M Chadwick | K H Ting | 9 | 53.0 | 4-1/4 |
| 7 | 8 | JAZZ ANGEL L Currie · C Fownes | L Currie | C Fownes | 10 | 124.0 | 5-3/4 |
| 8 | 2 | LUCKY FUN TT- C L Chau · L Ho | C L Chau | L Ho | 2 | 25.0 | 7-1/4 |
| 9 | 9 | MAGIC SUPREME B/TT R Maia · K L Man | R Maia | K L Man | 7 | 112.0 | 8-1/2 |
| 10 | 10 | WILD WEST WING V Borges · J Size | V Borges | J Size | 8 | 104.0 | 11-1/2 |
| 11 | 7 | MAJESTIC KNIGHT B L Hewitson · D J Whyte | L Hewitson | D J Whyte | 3 | 9.8 | 12-1/2 |
Race shape
Model ratings
| Rank | No. | Horse | Win % | Rated price | Pos |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 4 | SAKEWIN | 29.6% | 3.38 | 4 |
| 2 | 1 | BUZZINGA | 21.9% | 4.58 | 2 |
| 3 | 3 | PACKING TREADMILL | 18.2% | 5.50 | 5 |
| 4 | 2 | LUCKY FUN | 8.6% | 11.65 | 8 |
| 5 | 6 | BRILLIANT WAY | 6.0% | 16.65 | 1 |
| 6 | 7 | MAJESTIC KNIGHT | 4.6% | 21.81 | 11 |
| 7 | 8 | JAZZ ANGEL | 3.3% | 30.46 | 7 |
| 8 | 5 | GLUCK RACER | 2.9% | 34.76 | 6 |
| 9 | 9 | MAGIC SUPREME | 2.3% | 44.24 | 9 |
| 10 | 11 | KAI XIN DRAGON | 1.8% | 56.11 | 3 |
| 11 | 10 | WILD WEST WING | 1.0% | 101.02 | 10 |
Model vs market
Each dot is a runner: model probability across, market-implied probability up. Dots on the dashed line mean the two agreed; the gold ring is the actual winner.
Ratings are statistical estimates for analysis, not betting advice — the backtest shows no profitable edge against the Hong Kong win market. How the model works →
Dividends
WIN
6 109.5
PLACE
1 12.5
6 24
11 56.5
QUINELLA
1,6 131.5
QUINELLA PLACE
1,6 41
1,11 120.5
6,11 293
FORECAST
6,1 441
TIERCE
6,1,11 5,148
TRIO
1,6,11 1,003
FIRST 4
1,4,6,11 446
QUARTET
6,1,11,4 18,049
All pools (2 more)
3 PICK 1
A2 32
A3 —
A1 —
7TH DOUBLE
6/1 10.5
6/6 209