Skip to content

HKJC Guru is an independent statistics service and is not affiliated with, endorsed by, or connected to The Hong Kong Jockey Club.

Sha Tin · 2022-05-29 · 17:19

Race 9

Class 3 GOOD 1400m Course B 14 runners

Race 9 at Sha Tin on 2022-05-29 was Class 3 over 1400m, run on GOOD going. SHINING GEM, ridden by K C Leung and trained by P F Yiu, won by 1-1/4, with ERIMO second and MASSIVE ACTION third. The winner closed strongly from off the pace. The 2.8 favourite MASSIVE ACTION finished 3rd.

Result

Official · 1.21.72
Pos No. Horse Draw Odds Margin
1 2 SHINING GEM Closed strongly B 1.21.72 ▶ Replay (opens in new tab) K C Leung · P F Yiu 9 16.0 1-1/4
2 14 ERIMO Closed strongly B/H M Chadwick · J Size 1 3.9 1-1/4
3 8 MASSIVE ACTION Led early V Z Purton · F C Lor 7 2.8 1-3/4
4 9 KA YING EXCELLENT CP/TT M F Poon · T P Yung 3 19.0 3
5 1 COPARTNER AMBITION Closed strongly CP/TT C Y Ho · A S Cruz 5 14.0 3-1/4
6 3 ARMOUR EAGLE B1/TT A Badel · Y S Tsui 8 23.0 4-1/2
7 4 SETANTA B2/TT L Currie · D A Hayes 2 5.5 6-3/4
8 13 RIGHT HONOURABLE Closed strongly H/PC/TT V Borges · R Gibson 14 156.0 7-1/4
9 10 OUR LUCKY GLORY SR L Hewitson · D J Whyte 4 30.0 7-1/2
10 12 HELENE ALLIBOR Closed strongly CP-/B2/TT- C L Chau · D A Hayes 10 52.0 8-1/2
11 6 HERE COMES TED Closed strongly B/TT B Shinn · D J Hall 13 20.0 9
12 11 COMMANDING MISSILE B H Bentley · K W Lui 6 211.0 9-1/4
13 7 SINGAPORE SUNSHINE L Ferraris · A T Millard 11 78.0 9-3/4
14 5 DRAGON FORTUNE TT K Teetan · F C Lor 12 13.0 10
0 DEAR SIBLING R Maia · K L Man

Race shape

Beaten lengths
1. SHINING GEM2. ERIMO+1.25L3. MASSIVE ACTION+1.75L4. KA YING EXCELLENT+3L5. COPARTNER AMBITION+3.25L6. ARMOUR EAGLE+4.5L7. SETANTA+6.75L8. RIGHT HONOURABLE+7.25L9. OUR LUCKY GLORY+7.5L10. HELENE ALLIBOR+8.5L

Model ratings

Backtest · wf-2021-22
The model's top pick ERIMO (34.3%) finished 2nd — the winner SHINING GEM was rated #9. Out-of-sample backtest: this board was produced by a model trained only on seasons before this race — it never saw this result.
Rank No. Horse Win % Rated price Pos
1 14 ERIMO 34.3% 2.92 2
2 8 MASSIVE ACTION 20.7% 4.83 3
3 5 DRAGON FORTUNE 8.0% 12.48 14
4 1 COPARTNER AMBITION 7.8% 12.82 5
5 4 SETANTA 6.1% 16.39 7
6 9 KA YING EXCELLENT 4.2% 23.90 4
7 12 HELENE ALLIBOR 4.1% 24.30 10
8 6 HERE COMES TED 4.0% 24.79 11
9 2 SHINING GEM 3.3% 30.67 1
10 3 ARMOUR EAGLE 3.3% 30.69 6
11 10 OUR LUCKY GLORY 1.9% 52.84 9
12 13 RIGHT HONOURABLE 1.0% 95.47 8
13 7 SINGAPORE SUNSHINE 0.9% 113.57 13
14 11 COMMANDING MISSILE 0.4% 238.89 12
ERIMOMASSIVE ACTIONDRAGON FORTUNECOPARTNER AMBITIONSETANTAKA YING EXCELLENTHELENE ALLIBORHERE COMES TEDSHINING GEM — wonARMOUR EAGLEOUR LUCKY GLORYRIGHT HONOURABLESINGAPORE SUNSHINECOMMANDING MISSILE

Model vs market

Each dot is a runner: model probability across, market-implied probability up. Dots on the dashed line mean the two agreed; the gold ring is the actual winner.

Ratings are statistical estimates for analysis, not betting advice — the backtest shows no profitable edge against the Hong Kong win market. How the model works →

Dividends

Per $10 unit

WIN

2 163.5

PLACE

2 46

8 14

14 17

QUINELLA

2,14 347.5

QUINELLA PLACE

2,8 84

2,14 106

8,14 30.5

FORECAST

2,14 1,112

TIERCE

2,14,8 3,486

TRIO

2,8,14 299

FIRST 4

2,8,9,14 608

QUARTET

2,14,8,9 23,371

All pools (2 more)

3 PICK 1

A2 34

A1

A3

8TH DOUBLE

6/2 1,755

6/14 74