沙田 · 2022-05-29 · 17:19
第 9場
2022-05-29沙田第9場，Class 3，途程1400米，跑道評為GOOD。由K C Leung策騎、P F Yiu訓練的SHINING GEM勝出，贏出1-1/4。ERIMO獲得亞軍；MASSIVE ACTION獲得季軍。頭馬後上力強。2.8倍大熱門MASSIVE ACTION跑獲第3名。
賽果
| 名次 | No. | 馬名 | 騎師 | 練馬師 | 檔位 | 獨贏賠率 | 馬距 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 2 | SHINING GEM 後段發力 B 1.21.72 ▶ 重播 （在新分頁開啟） K C Leung · P F Yiu | K C Leung | P F Yiu | 9 | 16.0 | 1-1/4 |
| 2 | 14 | ERIMO 後段發力 B/H M Chadwick · J Size | M Chadwick | J Size | 1 | 3.9 | 1-1/4 |
| 3 | 8 | MASSIVE ACTION 早段領放 V Z Purton · F C Lor | Z Purton | F C Lor | 7 | 2.8 | 1-3/4 |
| 4 | 9 | KA YING EXCELLENT CP/TT M F Poon · T P Yung | M F Poon | T P Yung | 3 | 19.0 | 3 |
| 5 | 1 | COPARTNER AMBITION 後段發力 CP/TT C Y Ho · A S Cruz | C Y Ho | A S Cruz | 5 | 14.0 | 3-1/4 |
| 6 | 3 | ARMOUR EAGLE B1/TT A Badel · Y S Tsui | A Badel | Y S Tsui | 8 | 23.0 | 4-1/2 |
| 7 | 4 | SETANTA B2/TT L Currie · D A Hayes | L Currie | D A Hayes | 2 | 5.5 | 6-3/4 |
| 8 | 13 | RIGHT HONOURABLE 後段發力 H/PC/TT V Borges · R Gibson | V Borges | R Gibson | 14 | 156.0 | 7-1/4 |
| 9 | 10 | OUR LUCKY GLORY SR L Hewitson · D J Whyte | L Hewitson | D J Whyte | 4 | 30.0 | 7-1/2 |
| 10 | 12 | HELENE ALLIBOR 後段發力 CP-/B2/TT- C L Chau · D A Hayes | C L Chau | D A Hayes | 10 | 52.0 | 8-1/2 |
| 11 | 6 | HERE COMES TED 後段發力 B/TT B Shinn · D J Hall | B Shinn | D J Hall | 13 | 20.0 | 9 |
| 12 | 11 | COMMANDING MISSILE B H Bentley · K W Lui | H Bentley | K W Lui | 6 | 211.0 | 9-1/4 |
| 13 | 7 | SINGAPORE SUNSHINE L Ferraris · A T Millard | L Ferraris | A T Millard | 11 | 78.0 | 9-3/4 |
| 14 | 5 | DRAGON FORTUNE TT K Teetan · F C Lor | K Teetan | F C Lor | 12 | 13.0 | 10 |
| — | 0 | DEAR SIBLING R Maia · K L Man | R Maia | K L Man | — | — | — |
賽果形勢
模型評分
| 排名 | No. | 馬名 | 勝出概率 | 評估賠率 | 名次 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 14 | ERIMO | 34.3% | 2.92 | 2 |
| 2 | 8 | MASSIVE ACTION | 20.7% | 4.83 | 3 |
| 3 | 5 | DRAGON FORTUNE | 8.0% | 12.48 | 14 |
| 4 | 1 | COPARTNER AMBITION | 7.8% | 12.82 | 5 |
| 5 | 4 | SETANTA | 6.1% | 16.39 | 7 |
| 6 | 9 | KA YING EXCELLENT | 4.2% | 23.90 | 4 |
| 7 | 12 | HELENE ALLIBOR | 4.1% | 24.30 | 10 |
| 8 | 6 | HERE COMES TED | 4.0% | 24.79 | 11 |
| 9 | 2 | SHINING GEM | 3.3% | 30.67 | 1 |
| 10 | 3 | ARMOUR EAGLE | 3.3% | 30.69 | 6 |
| 11 | 10 | OUR LUCKY GLORY | 1.9% | 52.84 | 9 |
| 12 | 13 | RIGHT HONOURABLE | 1.0% | 95.47 | 8 |
| 13 | 7 | SINGAPORE SUNSHINE | 0.9% | 113.57 | 13 |
| 14 | 11 | COMMANDING MISSILE | 0.4% | 238.89 | 12 |
模型對市場
每點代表一匹馬：橫軸為模型概率，縱軸為市場隱含概率。點落在虛線上代表兩者一致；金圈為實際頭馬。
評分僅為統計分析估算，並非投注建議——回測顯示模型對香港獨贏市場並無盈利優勢。 模型原理 →
派彩
WIN
2 163.5
PLACE
2 46
8 14
14 17
QUINELLA
2,14 347.5
QUINELLA PLACE
2,8 84
2,14 106
8,14 30.5
FORECAST
2,14 1,112
TIERCE
2,14,8 3,486
TRIO
2,8,14 299
FIRST 4
2,8,9,14 608
QUARTET
2,14,8,9 23,371
全部彩池（另 2 項）
3 PICK 1
A2 34
A1 —
A3 —
8TH DOUBLE
6/2 1,755
6/14 74