沙田 · 2022-06-05 · 17:53
第 10場
2022-06-05沙田第10場，Class 2，途程1400米，跑道評為GOOD。由M F Poon策騎、K L Man訓練的LUCKY SWEYNESSE勝出，贏出SH。NAVAS TWO獲得亞軍；THE GOLDEN SCENERY獲得季軍。頭馬後上力強。3.9倍大熱門LUCKY WITH YOU跑獲第9名。
賽果
| 名次 | No. | 馬名 | 騎師 | 練馬師 | 檔位 | 獨贏賠率 | 馬距 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 12 | LUCKY SWEYNESSE 後段發力 1.21.95 ▶ 重播 （在新分頁開啟） M F Poon · K L Man | M F Poon | K L Man | 5 | 6.1 | SH |
| 2 | 10 | NAVAS TWO 後段發力 CP A Badel · R Gibson | A Badel | R Gibson | 1 | 4.5 | SH |
| 3 | 3 | THE GOLDEN SCENERY 後段發力 H/TT L Ferraris · A S Cruz | L Ferraris | A S Cruz | 11 | 15.0 | 1-1/2 |
| 4 | 9 | HINCHINLOVE 早段領放 B/TT H Bentley · T P Yung | H Bentley | T P Yung | 9 | 48.0 | 2 |
| 5 | 8 | BEAUTY FIT B/E A Hamelin · J Size | A Hamelin | J Size | 6 | 19.0 | 2-1/2 |
| 6 | 11 | THE RUNNER V H T Mo · F C Lor | H T Mo | F C Lor | 8 | 107.0 | 2-1/2 |
| 7 | 7 | WINNER METHOD TT K Teetan · C S Shum | K Teetan | C S Shum | 4 | 4.6 | 2-1/2 |
| 8 | 4 | GOOD LUCK FRIEND CP/TT K C Leung · P F Yiu | K C Leung | P F Yiu | 2 | 11.0 | 3-1/4 |
| 9 | 2 | LUCKY WITH YOU Z Purton · D A Hayes | Z Purton | D A Hayes | 7 | 3.9 | 3-1/2 |
| 10 | 6 | MASTER DELIGHT J Moreira · J Size | J Moreira | J Size | 10 | 10.0 | 3-3/4 |
| 11 | 1 | BUDDIES H C L Chau · A S Cruz | C L Chau | A S Cruz | 3 | 40.0 | 5-1/2 |
| — | 5 | MASTER MONTARO C Y Ho · D A Hayes | C Y Ho | D A Hayes | — | — | — |
賽果形勢
模型評分
| 排名 | No. | 馬名 | 勝出概率 | 評估賠率 | 名次 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 10 | NAVAS TWO | 20.2% | 4.96 | 2 |
| 2 | 2 | LUCKY WITH YOU | 17.3% | 5.78 | 9 |
| 3 | 12 | LUCKY SWEYNESSE | 14.6% | 6.83 | 1 |
| 4 | 6 | MASTER DELIGHT | 13.4% | 7.44 | 10 |
| 5 | 7 | WINNER METHOD | 11.2% | 8.94 | 7 |
| 6 | 4 | GOOD LUCK FRIEND | 8.1% | 12.37 | 8 |
| 7 | 3 | THE GOLDEN SCENERY | 6.0% | 16.58 | 3 |
| 8 | 8 | BEAUTY FIT | 4.0% | 24.72 | 5 |
| 9 | 1 | BUDDIES | 2.1% | 48.42 | 11 |
| 10 | 11 | THE RUNNER | 1.6% | 63.23 | 6 |
| 11 | 9 | HINCHINLOVE | 1.5% | 67.52 | 4 |
模型對市場
每點代表一匹馬：橫軸為模型概率，縱軸為市場隱含概率。點落在虛線上代表兩者一致；金圈為實際頭馬。
評分僅為統計分析估算，並非投注建議——回測顯示模型對香港獨贏市場並無盈利優勢。 模型原理 →
派彩
WIN
12 61
PLACE
3 40.5
10 16
12 21
QUINELLA
10,12 146.5
QUINELLA PLACE
3,10 119
3,12 156
10,12 53
FORECAST
12,10 328
TIERCE
12,10,3 3,781
TRIO
3,10,12 881
FIRST 4
3,9,10,12 6,727
QUARTET
12,10,3,9 88,128
全部彩池（另 5 項）
3 PICK 1
A1 —
A2 21
A3 —
3RD DOUBLE TRIO
12,14>1,7/3,10,12 38,840
9TH DOUBLE
14/10 66
14/12 821.5
SIX UP
2,10/9,12/7,10/8,11/1,7,14/10,12 20,156
2/12/7/11/14/12 6,302,513
1 [J Moreira] —
TREBLE
11/14/10 2,006
11/14/12 14,315