沙田 · 2022-06-05 · 16:43
第 8場
2022-06-05沙田第8場，Class 3，途程1000米，跑道評為GOOD。由K Teetan策騎、P F Yiu訓練的ALCARI勝出，贏出1/2。RUN RUN COOL獲得亞軍；METRO WARRIOR獲得季軍。2.8倍大熱門RUN RUN COOL跑獲第2名。
賽果
| 名次 | No. | 馬名 | 騎師 | 練馬師 | 檔位 | 獨贏賠率 | 馬距 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 11 | ALCARI 0.55.11 ▶ 重播 （在新分頁開啟） K Teetan · P F Yiu | K Teetan | P F Yiu | 7 | 12.0 | 1/2 |
| 2 | 8 | RUN RUN COOL PC Z Purton · F C Lor | Z Purton | F C Lor | 12 | 2.8 | 1/2 |
| 3 | 7 | METRO WARRIOR B C Y Ho · D A Hayes | C Y Ho | D A Hayes | 13 | 7.2 | 1-1/4 |
| 4 | 12 | SEVEN HEAVENS TT L Currie · C Fownes | L Currie | C Fownes | 4 | 15.0 | 2 |
| 5 | 14 | TRIPLE TRIPLE CP/TT H W Lai · F C Lor | H W Lai | F C Lor | 11 | 66.0 | 3 |
| 6 | 9 | HONG KONG WIN A Hamelin · J Size | A Hamelin | J Size | 14 | 10.0 | 3 |
| 7 | 6 | SEIZING THE MOMENT B V Borges · J Size | V Borges | J Size | 3 | 17.0 | 3 |
| 8 | 3 | CLASSIC UNICORN P/TT M F Poon · W Y So | M F Poon | W Y So | 9 | 10.0 | 3-1/4 |
| 9 | 4 | JUMBO FORTUNE H/TT L Ferraris · C Fownes | L Ferraris | C Fownes | 1 | 42.0 | 4-1/4 |
| 10 | 1 | CARROLL STREET B/TT A Badel · D J Whyte | A Badel | D J Whyte | 5 | 6.3 | 4-1/4 |
| 11 | 2 | ATOMIC FORCE TT J Moreira · C Fownes | J Moreira | C Fownes | 6 | 11.0 | 5 |
| 12 | 13 | CALIFORNIA FOREST H/TT H T Mo · A S Cruz | H T Mo | A S Cruz | 2 | 125.0 | 5 |
| 13 | 5 | PING HAI BRAVO TT C L Chau · J Size | C L Chau | J Size | 10 | 35.0 | 5-3/4 |
| 14 | 10 | HIGHLY PROACTIVE H/P/TT C Wong · C W Chang | C Wong | C W Chang | 8 | 104.0 | 6 |
賽果形勢
模型評分
| 排名 | No. | 馬名 | 勝出概率 | 評估賠率 | 名次 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 8 | RUN RUN COOL | 23.3% | 4.29 | 2 |
| 2 | 2 | ATOMIC FORCE | 14.7% | 6.79 | 11 |
| 3 | 1 | CARROLL STREET | 11.5% | 8.68 | 10 |
| 4 | 6 | SEIZING THE MOMENT | 9.8% | 10.18 | 7 |
| 5 | 11 | ALCARI | 9.0% | 11.13 | 1 |
| 6 | 4 | JUMBO FORTUNE | 8.6% | 11.58 | 9 |
| 7 | 7 | METRO WARRIOR | 5.4% | 18.38 | 3 |
| 8 | 5 | PING HAI BRAVO | 3.8% | 26.49 | 13 |
| 9 | 3 | CLASSIC UNICORN | 3.7% | 26.95 | 8 |
| 10 | 12 | SEVEN HEAVENS | 3.5% | 28.93 | 4 |
| 11 | 14 | TRIPLE TRIPLE | 2.1% | 47.32 | 5 |
| 12 | 9 | HONG KONG WIN | 2.1% | 48.34 | 6 |
| 13 | 10 | HIGHLY PROACTIVE | 1.4% | 70.65 | 14 |
| 14 | 13 | CALIFORNIA FOREST | 1.0% | 99.43 | 12 |
模型對市場
每點代表一匹馬：橫軸為模型概率，縱軸為市場隱含概率。點落在虛線上代表兩者一致；金圈為實際頭馬。
評分僅為統計分析估算，並非投注建議——回測顯示模型對香港獨贏市場並無盈利優勢。 模型原理 →
派彩
WIN
11 122
PLACE
7 22.5
8 15.5
11 33.5
QUINELLA
8,11 189.5
QUINELLA PLACE
7,8 43
7,11 117.5
8,11 73
FORECAST
11,8 732
TIERCE
11,8,7 2,712
TRIO
7,8,11 290
FIRST 4
7,8,11,12 878
QUARTET
11,8,7,12 28,351
全部彩池（另 2 項）
3 PICK 1
A3 24.5
A1 —
A2 —
7TH DOUBLE
7/8 72
7/11 1,716.5