沙田 · 2022-06-05 · 13:16
第 2場
2022-06-05沙田第2場，Class 5，途程1400米，跑道評為GOOD。由K Teetan策騎、Y S Tsui訓練的ROYAL AGILITY勝出，贏出NOSE。WINWIN THIRTYTHREE獲得亞軍；SICOMORO獲得季軍。頭馬後上力強。3.8倍大熱門WINWIN THIRTYTHREE跑獲第2名。
賽果
| 名次 | No. | 馬名 | 騎師 | 練馬師 | 檔位 | 獨贏賠率 | 馬距 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1 | ROYAL AGILITY 後段發力 B/TT 1.22.75 ▶ 重播 （在新分頁開啟） K Teetan · Y S Tsui | K Teetan | Y S Tsui | 7 | 7.1 | NOSE |
| 2 | 13 | WINWIN THIRTYTHREE 後段發力 V J Moreira · P F Yiu | J Moreira | P F Yiu | 3 | 3.8 | NOSE |
| 3 | 9 | SICOMORO 後段發力 TT M F Poon · D A Hayes | M F Poon | D A Hayes | 12 | 28.0 | 2-1/4 |
| 4 | 5 | TAKINGUFURTHER V C L Chau · K H Ting | C L Chau | K H Ting | 4 | 17.0 | 2-1/2 |
| 5 | 6 | BOOMING WELL 後段發力 XB-/TT R Maia · C H Yip | R Maia | C H Yip | 6 | 6.0 | 3 |
| 6 | 4 | DRAGON BABY 後段發力 E-/PC-/TT Z Purton · J Size | Z Purton | J Size | 13 | 8.1 | 5-3/4 |
| 7 | 11 | GOLDEN FOUR 後段發力 L Currie · C W Chang | L Currie | C W Chang | 14 | 23.0 | 6 |
| 8 | 14 | GALLANT CAVALIER V/TT A Badel · A T Millard | A Badel | A T Millard | 2 | 14.0 | 6-1/2 |
| 9 | 3 | BRAVE POWER 後段發力 B/TT C Y Ho · A S Cruz | C Y Ho | A S Cruz | 10 | 8.5 | 7-1/2 |
| 10 | 2 | CHIU CHOW BROTHER 早段領放 B C Wong · T P Yung | C Wong | T P Yung | 5 | 12.0 | 8-1/2 |
| 11 | 12 | VICTORY MORE B/H/TT L Ferraris · K W Lui | L Ferraris | K W Lui | 1 | 73.0 | 9 |
| 12 | 7 | CALL ME LU TT H W Lai · W Y So | H W Lai | W Y So | 8 | 70.0 | 11-1/2 |
| 13 | 8 | DESTIN B A Hamelin · P O'Sullivan | A Hamelin | P O'Sullivan | 11 | 27.0 | 13-3/4 |
| 14 | 10 | SUPER KIN TT V Borges · C Fownes | V Borges | C Fownes | 9 | 18.0 | 19-1/2 |
| — | 0 | MISSION SMART K C Leung · F C Lor | K C Leung | F C Lor | — | — | — |
賽果形勢
模型評分
| 排名 | No. | 馬名 | 勝出概率 | 評估賠率 | 名次 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 13 | WINWIN THIRTYTHREE | 43.7% | 2.29 | 2 |
| 2 | 3 | BRAVE POWER | 9.1% | 10.98 | 9 |
| 3 | 6 | BOOMING WELL | 8.8% | 11.34 | 5 |
| 4 | 1 | ROYAL AGILITY | 6.1% | 16.42 | 1 |
| 5 | 4 | DRAGON BABY | 5.7% | 17.53 | 6 |
| 6 | 2 | CHIU CHOW BROTHER | 4.2% | 23.89 | 10 |
| 7 | 5 | TAKINGUFURTHER | 4.0% | 24.89 | 4 |
| 8 | 14 | GALLANT CAVALIER | 3.6% | 27.72 | 8 |
| 9 | 9 | SICOMORO | 3.5% | 28.41 | 3 |
| 10 | 10 | SUPER KIN | 3.3% | 30.15 | 14 |
| 11 | 11 | GOLDEN FOUR | 2.9% | 34.46 | 7 |
| 12 | 8 | DESTIN | 2.4% | 42.25 | 13 |
| 13 | 12 | VICTORY MORE | 1.7% | 57.87 | 11 |
| 14 | 7 | CALL ME LU | 1.0% | 104.66 | 12 |
模型對市場
每點代表一匹馬：橫軸為模型概率，縱軸為市場隱含概率。點落在虛線上代表兩者一致；金圈為實際頭馬。
評分僅為統計分析估算，並非投注建議——回測顯示模型對香港獨贏市場並無盈利優勢。 模型原理 →
派彩
WIN
1 71
PLACE
1 22
9 72.5
13 16.5
QUINELLA
1,13 131.5
QUINELLA PLACE
1,9 303
1,13 58.5
9,13 159
FORECAST
1,13 342
TIERCE
1,13,9 7,650
TRIO
1,9,13 1,165
FIRST 4
1,5,9,13 3,981
QUARTET
1,13,9,5 83,330
全部彩池（另 2 項）
1ST DOUBLE
7/1 2,010.5
7/13 252.5
3 PICK 1
A2 —
A3 —
A1 25