沙田 · 2022-06-05 · 14:17
第 4場
2022-06-05沙田第4場，Class 4，途程1400米，跑道評為GOOD。由Z Purton策騎、P O'Sullivan訓練的GANG OF BROTHERS勝出，贏出SH。KUNG FU TEA獲得亞軍；FIERY DIAMOND獲得季軍。頭馬帶放到底。2.7倍大熱門HAPPY DAY跑獲第5名。
賽果
| 名次 | No. | 馬名 | 騎師 | 練馬師 | 檔位 | 獨贏賠率 | 馬距 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 8 | GANG OF BROTHERS 一路領先 B 1.22.83 ▶ 重播 （在新分頁開啟） Z Purton · P O'Sullivan | Z Purton | P O'Sullivan | 9 | 5.4 | SH |
| 2 | 9 | KUNG FU TEA B L Ferraris · D J Hall | L Ferraris | D J Hall | 11 | 11.0 | SH |
| 3 | 6 | FIERY DIAMOND 後段發力 C L Chau · T P Yung | C L Chau | T P Yung | 6 | 9.9 | 3/4 |
| 4 | 11 | HANG'S DECISION 後段發力 B C Y Ho · W Y So | C Y Ho | W Y So | 5 | 20.0 | 1-3/4 |
| 5 | 1 | HAPPY DAY TT J Moreira · W Y So | J Moreira | W Y So | 2 | 2.7 | 1-3/4 |
| 6 | 5 | WOODFIRE BRO H1/TT M F Poon · L Ho | M F Poon | L Ho | 4 | 17.0 | 1-3/4 |
| 7 | 4 | LOVE ME MORE CP R Maia · P F Yiu | R Maia | P F Yiu | 7 | 20.0 | 1-3/4 |
| 8 | 2 | DUBLIN STAR 後段發力 B/TT K C Leung · K L Man | K C Leung | K L Man | 12 | 57.0 | 4-3/4 |
| 9 | 12 | BUDDY SPIRIT B C Wong · C H Yip | C Wong | C H Yip | 1 | 68.0 | 6-1/4 |
| 10 | 13 | HEARTY WISH SR/TT A Badel · D J Whyte | A Badel | D J Whyte | 3 | 10.0 | 8-1/4 |
| 11 | 7 | YOUNG EXPLORER CP1 A Hamelin · K H Ting | A Hamelin | K H Ting | 8 | 134.0 | 8-3/4 |
| 12 | 3 | SUNSET WATCH 後段發力 B-/CP1/TT L Currie · D A Hayes | L Currie | D A Hayes | 14 | 108.0 | 12 |
| 13 | 14 | TUNG HAYE HAYE B/XB/TT V Borges · C S Shum | V Borges | C S Shum | 10 | 168.0 | 13-1/4 |
| 14 | 10 | BRAVE DREAMS H/TT K Teetan · A S Cruz | K Teetan | A S Cruz | 13 | 6.2 | 13-1/4 |
賽果形勢
模型評分
| 排名 | No. | 馬名 | 勝出概率 | 評估賠率 | 名次 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1 | HAPPY DAY | 31.3% | 3.20 | 5 |
| 2 | 8 | GANG OF BROTHERS | 21.7% | 4.61 | 1 |
| 3 | 10 | BRAVE DREAMS | 9.9% | 10.10 | 14 |
| 4 | 6 | FIERY DIAMOND | 9.5% | 10.54 | 3 |
| 5 | 13 | HEARTY WISH | 5.8% | 17.19 | 10 |
| 6 | 5 | WOODFIRE BRO | 5.5% | 18.32 | 6 |
| 7 | 9 | KUNG FU TEA | 5.4% | 18.65 | 2 |
| 8 | 4 | LOVE ME MORE | 4.3% | 23.42 | 7 |
| 9 | 2 | DUBLIN STAR | 1.9% | 52.30 | 8 |
| 10 | 3 | SUNSET WATCH | 1.7% | 60.05 | 12 |
| 11 | 11 | HANG'S DECISION | 1.5% | 66.78 | 4 |
| 12 | 12 | BUDDY SPIRIT | 0.8% | 123.69 | 9 |
| 13 | 7 | YOUNG EXPLORER | 0.5% | 220.46 | 11 |
| 14 | 14 | TUNG HAYE HAYE | 0.4% | 263.52 | 13 |
模型對市場
每點代表一匹馬：橫軸為模型概率，縱軸為市場隱含概率。點落在虛線上代表兩者一致；金圈為實際頭馬。
評分僅為統計分析估算，並非投注建議——回測顯示模型對香港獨贏市場並無盈利優勢。 模型原理 →
派彩
WIN
8 54
PLACE
6 32.5
8 18.5
9 32.5
QUINELLA
8,9 277
QUINELLA PLACE
6,8 87.5
6,9 146.5
8,9 84
FORECAST
8,9 439
TIERCE
8,9,6 3,830
TRIO
6,8,9 892
FIRST 4
6,8,9,11 3,143
QUARTET
8,9,6,11 54,356
全部彩池（另 3 項）
1ST DOUBLE TRIO
3,7>2,6/6,8,9 36,765
3 PICK 1
A1 18
A3 —
A2 —
3RD DOUBLE
2,6/8 137.5
2,6/9 76