沙田 · 2022-06-05 · 15:41
第 6場
2022-06-05沙田第6場，Class 4，途程1600米，跑道評為GOOD。由V Borges策騎、P O'Sullivan訓練的TURQUOISE ALPHA勝出，贏出SH。PRESIDENT'S CHOICE獲得亞軍；NICHOLSON RETURNS獲得季軍。頭馬後上力強。1.9倍大熱門NICHOLSON RETURNS跑獲第3名。
賽果
| 名次 | No. | 馬名 | 騎師 | 練馬師 | 檔位 | 獨贏賠率 | 馬距 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 12 | TURQUOISE ALPHA 後段發力 CP/H/XB 1.35.51 ▶ 重播 （在新分頁開啟） V Borges · P O'Sullivan | V Borges | P O'Sullivan | 1 | 12.0 | SH |
| 2 | 9 | PRESIDENT'S CHOICE 後段發力 J Moreira · C W Chang | J Moreira | C W Chang | 9 | 13.0 | SH |
| 3 | 4 | NICHOLSON RETURNS 後段發力 B Z Purton · D J Hall | Z Purton | D J Hall | 3 | 1.9 | 1-1/4 |
| 4 | 2 | CHEERY B K C Leung · P F Yiu | K C Leung | P F Yiu | 11 | 5.8 | 1-3/4 |
| 5 | 7 | RATTAN KINGDOM 早段領放 TT R Maia · R Gibson | R Maia | R Gibson | 12 | 31.0 | 2 |
| 6 | 8 | CASA LEGEND 後段發力 CP2/TT K Teetan · C S Shum | K Teetan | C S Shum | 10 | 10.0 | 2-3/4 |
| 7 | 1 | FREE FOAL CP-/V1 C L Chau · F C Lor | C L Chau | F C Lor | 4 | 22.0 | 3-1/2 |
| 8 | 5 | HAPPY JAI JAI TT M F Poon · T P Yung | M F Poon | T P Yung | 6 | 39.0 | 4-3/4 |
| 9 | 3 | BEAUTY SPIRIT B/TT A Badel · A S Cruz | A Badel | A S Cruz | 5 | 10.0 | 5-1/4 |
| 10 | 6 | BOOM STITCH 後段發力 B/TT1 C Y Ho · W Y So | C Y Ho | W Y So | 8 | 20.0 | 6-1/2 |
| 11 | 11 | CELESTIAL WARRIOR 後段發力 CP-/P1/TT H Bentley · K W Lui | H Bentley | K W Lui | 13 | 53.0 | 14 |
| 12 | 10 | YEE CHEONG BRAVE H/TT A Hamelin · A T Millard | A Hamelin | A T Millard | 7 | 171.0 | 15-1/2 |
| 13 | 13 | PASSING FASHION XB/TT C Wong · C H Yip | C Wong | C H Yip | 2 | 61.0 | 16-3/4 |
賽果形勢
模型評分
| 排名 | No. | 馬名 | 勝出概率 | 評估賠率 | 名次 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 4 | NICHOLSON RETURNS | 36.4% | 2.75 | 3 |
| 2 | 2 | CHEERY | 12.1% | 8.24 | 4 |
| 3 | 9 | PRESIDENT'S CHOICE | 8.8% | 11.42 | 2 |
| 4 | 1 | FREE FOAL | 7.1% | 14.13 | 7 |
| 5 | 5 | HAPPY JAI JAI | 6.4% | 15.67 | 8 |
| 6 | 8 | CASA LEGEND | 6.1% | 16.27 | 6 |
| 7 | 12 | TURQUOISE ALPHA | 5.2% | 19.09 | 1 |
| 8 | 3 | BEAUTY SPIRIT | 4.8% | 20.90 | 9 |
| 9 | 7 | RATTAN KINGDOM | 4.6% | 21.86 | 5 |
| 10 | 13 | PASSING FASHION | 3.5% | 28.42 | 13 |
| 11 | 11 | CELESTIAL WARRIOR | 2.2% | 46.06 | 11 |
| 12 | 6 | BOOM STITCH | 2.0% | 49.20 | 10 |
| 13 | 10 | YEE CHEONG BRAVE | 0.8% | 131.26 | 12 |
模型對市場
每點代表一匹馬：橫軸為模型概率，縱軸為市場隱含概率。點落在虛線上代表兩者一致；金圈為實際頭馬。
評分僅為統計分析估算，並非投注建議——回測顯示模型對香港獨贏市場並無盈利優勢。 模型原理 →
派彩
WIN
12 126.5
PLACE
4 11.5
9 34
12 31
QUINELLA
9,12 681.5
QUINELLA PLACE
4,9 60.5
4,12 42
9,12 168
FORECAST
12,9 1,469
TIERCE
12,9,4 4,220
TRIO
4,9,12 420
FIRST 4
2,4,9,12 606
QUARTET
12,9,4,2 26,466
全部彩池（另 4 項）
3 PICK 1
A1 —
A3 —
A2 40.5
5TH DOUBLE
2/9 192
2/12 940
TRIPLE TRIO
6,8,9/2,5,10/4,9,12 8,131,892
TRIPLE TRIO (CONSOLATION)
6,8,9/2,5,10/Any Combination 4,953