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Sha Tin · 2022-06-05 · 15:41

Race 6

Class 4 GOOD 1600m Course C 13 runners

Result

Official · 1.35.51
Pos No. Horse Draw Odds Margin
1 0 TURQUOISE ALPHA Closed strongly CP/H/XB 1.35.51 ▶ Replay (opens in new tab) V Borges · P O'Sullivan 1 12.0 SH
2 0 PRESIDENT'S CHOICE Closed strongly J Moreira · C W Chang 9 13.0 SH
3 0 NICHOLSON RETURNS Closed strongly B Z Purton · D J Hall 3 1.9 1-1/4
4 0 CHEERY B K C Leung · P F Yiu 11 5.8 1-3/4
5 0 RATTAN KINGDOM Led early TT R Maia · R Gibson 12 31.0 2
6 0 CASA LEGEND Closed strongly CP2/TT K Teetan · C S Shum 10 10.0 2-3/4
7 0 FREE FOAL CP-/V1 C L Chau · F C Lor 4 22.0 3-1/2
8 0 HAPPY JAI JAI TT M F Poon · T P Yung 6 39.0 4-3/4
9 0 BEAUTY SPIRIT B/TT A Badel · A S Cruz 5 10.0 5-1/4
10 0 BOOM STITCH Closed strongly B/TT1 C Y Ho · W Y So 8 20.0 6-1/2
11 0 CELESTIAL WARRIOR Closed strongly CP-/P1/TT H Bentley · K W Lui 13 53.0 14
12 0 YEE CHEONG BRAVE H/TT A Hamelin · A T Millard 7 171.0 15-1/2
13 0 PASSING FASHION XB/TT C Wong · C H Yip 2 61.0 16-3/4

This site does not show odds as they change: the odds here are final prices after a race, or overnight prices before it.

Race 6 at Sha Tin on 2022-06-05 was Class 4 over 1600m, run on GOOD going. TURQUOISE ALPHA, ridden by V Borges and trained by P O'Sullivan, won by SH, with PRESIDENT'S CHOICE second and NICHOLSON RETURNS third. The winner closed strongly from off the pace. The 1.9 favourite NICHOLSON RETURNS finished 3rd.

Race shape

Beaten lengths
1. TURQUOISE ALPHA—2. PRESIDENT'S CHOICE+0.1L3. NICHOLSON RETURNS+1.25L4. CHEERY+1.75L5. RATTAN KINGDOM+2L6. CASA LEGEND+2.75L7. FREE FOAL+3.5L8. HAPPY JAI JAI+4.75L9. BEAUTY SPIRIT+5.25L10. BOOM STITCH+6.5L

Model ratings

Backtest · wf-2021-22
The model's top pick NICHOLSON RETURNS (36.4%) finished 3rd — the winner TURQUOISE ALPHA was rated #7. Out-of-sample backtest: this board was produced by a model trained only on seasons before this race — it never saw this result.
Rank No. Horse Win % Rated price Pos
1 0 NICHOLSON RETURNS 36.4% 2.75 3
2 0 CHEERY 12.1% 8.24 4
3 0 PRESIDENT'S CHOICE 8.8% 11.42 2
4 0 FREE FOAL 7.1% 14.13 7
5 0 HAPPY JAI JAI 6.4% 15.67 8
6 0 CASA LEGEND 6.1% 16.27 6
7 0 TURQUOISE ALPHA 5.2% 19.09 1
8 0 BEAUTY SPIRIT 4.8% 20.90 9
9 0 RATTAN KINGDOM 4.6% 21.86 5
10 0 PASSING FASHION 3.5% 28.42 13
11 0 CELESTIAL WARRIOR 2.2% 46.06 11
12 0 BOOM STITCH 2.0% 49.20 10
13 0 YEE CHEONG BRAVE 0.8% 131.26 12
NICHOLSON RETURNSCHEERYPRESIDENT'S CHOICEFREE FOALHAPPY JAI JAICASA LEGENDTURQUOISE ALPHA — wonBEAUTY SPIRITRATTAN KINGDOMPASSING FASHIONCELESTIAL WARRIORBOOM STITCHYEE CHEONG BRAVE

Model vs market

Each dot is a runner: model probability across, market-implied probability up. Dots on the dashed line mean the two agreed; the gold ring is the actual winner.

Ratings are statistical estimates for analysis, not betting advice — the backtest shows no profitable edge against the Hong Kong win market. How the model works →

Dividends

Per $10 unit

WIN

12 126.5

PLACE

4 11.5

9 34

12 31

QUINELLA

9,12 681.5

QUINELLA PLACE

4,9 60.5

4,12 42

9,12 168

FORECAST

12,9 1,469

TIERCE

12,9,4 4,220

TRIO

4,9,12 420

FIRST 4

2,4,9,12 606

QUARTET

12,9,4,2 26,466

All pools (4 more)

3 PICK 1

A1 —

A3 —

A2 40.5

5TH DOUBLE

2/9 192

2/12 940

TRIPLE TRIO

6,8,9/2,5,10/4,9,12 8,131,892

TRIPLE TRIO (CONSOLATION)

6,8,9/2,5,10/Any Combination 4,953