Sha Tin · 2022-06-05 · 16:11
Race 7
Race 7 at Sha Tin on 2022-06-05 was Class 3 over 1200m, run on GOOD going. ACE ONE, ridden by R Maia and trained by D J Whyte, won by 1-1/2, with WAR WEAPON second and SUPER FORTUNE third. The 2.7 favourite REVE PARISIEN finished 4th.
Result
| Pos | No. | Horse | Jockey | Trainer | Draw | Odds | Margin |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 7 | ACE ONE B/TT 1.08.86 ▶ Replay (opens in new tab) R Maia · D J Whyte | R Maia | D J Whyte | 1 | 7.2 | 1-1/2 |
| 2 | 10 | WAR WEAPON H/P/TT M F Poon · W Y So | M F Poon | W Y So | 8 | 17.0 | 1-1/2 |
| 3 | 1 | SUPER FORTUNE H/TT K Teetan · A S Cruz | K Teetan | A S Cruz | 10 | 6.4 | 2 |
| 4 | 3 | REVE PARISIEN Z Purton · P O'Sullivan | Z Purton | P O'Sullivan | 9 | 2.7 | 2-3/4 |
| 5 | 5 | RED TITAN E/TT J Moreira · J Size | J Moreira | J Size | 3 | 7.5 | 2-3/4 |
| 6 | 8 | ADIOS B K C Leung · F C Lor | K C Leung | F C Lor | 2 | 6.3 | 2-3/4 |
| 7 | 2 | WIND N GRASS TT C Y Ho · C W Chang | C Y Ho | C W Chang | 7 | 42.0 | 3-3/4 |
| 8 | 6 | REGENCY BO BO TT L Currie · C S Shum | L Currie | C S Shum | 4 | 51.0 | 5-3/4 |
| 9 | 9 | VICTORY SCHOLARS A Badel · D J Hall | A Badel | D J Hall | 6 | 7.3 | 6-1/4 |
| 10 | 4 | TEXAS MOON P H Bentley · T P Yung | H Bentley | T P Yung | 5 | 50.0 | 7-3/4 |
Race shape
Model ratings
| Rank | No. | Horse | Win % | Rated price | Pos |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1 | SUPER FORTUNE | 20.5% | 4.88 | 3 |
| 2 | 5 | RED TITAN | 18.8% | 5.32 | 5 |
| 3 | 7 | ACE ONE | 16.0% | 6.26 | 1 |
| 4 | 8 | ADIOS | 15.2% | 6.59 | 6 |
| 5 | 3 | REVE PARISIEN | 15.1% | 6.60 | 4 |
| 6 | 9 | VICTORY SCHOLARS | 5.8% | 17.33 | 9 |
| 7 | 10 | WAR WEAPON | 2.6% | 39.19 | 2 |
| 8 | 2 | WIND N GRASS | 2.3% | 42.76 | 7 |
| 9 | 6 | REGENCY BO BO | 2.0% | 49.71 | 8 |
| 10 | 4 | TEXAS MOON | 1.7% | 57.17 | 10 |
Model vs market
Each dot is a runner: model probability across, market-implied probability up. Dots on the dashed line mean the two agreed; the gold ring is the actual winner.
Ratings are statistical estimates for analysis, not betting advice — the backtest shows no profitable edge against the Hong Kong win market. How the model works →
Dividends
WIN
7 72
PLACE
1 22.5
7 22.5
10 51.5
QUINELLA
7,10 590.5
QUINELLA PLACE
1,7 77.5
1,10 183.5
7,10 165
FORECAST
7,10 1,655
TIERCE
7,10,1 8,798
TRIO
1,7,10 925
FIRST 4
1,3,7,10 806
QUARTET
7,10,1,3 35,291
All pools (3 more)
2ND DOUBLE TRIO
4,9,12/1,7,10 114,627
3 PICK 1
A3 —
A2 22
A1 —
6TH DOUBLE
12/7 832
12/10 317