Sha Tin · 2022-06-05 · 17:53
Race 10
Result
| Pos | No. | Horse | Jockey | Trainer | Draw | Odds | Margin |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | 0 | NAVAS TWO Closed strongly CP A Badel · R Gibson | A Badel | R Gibson | 1 | 4.5 | SH |
| 3 | 0 | THE GOLDEN SCENERY Closed strongly H/TT L Ferraris · A S Cruz | L Ferraris | A S Cruz | 11 | 15.0 | 1-1/2 |
| 4 | 0 | HINCHINLOVE Led early B/TT H Bentley · T P Yung | H Bentley | T P Yung | 9 | 48.0 | 2 |
| 5 | 0 | BEAUTY FIT B/E A Hamelin · J Size | A Hamelin | J Size | 6 | 19.0 | 2-1/2 |
| 6 | 0 | THE RUNNER V H T Mo · F C Lor | H T Mo | F C Lor | 8 | 107.0 | 2-1/2 |
| 7 | 0 | WINNER METHOD TT K Teetan · C S Shum | K Teetan | C S Shum | 4 | 4.6 | 2-1/2 |
| 8 | 0 | GOOD LUCK FRIEND CP/TT K C Leung · P F Yiu | K C Leung | P F Yiu | 2 | 11.0 | 3-1/4 |
| 10 | 0 | MASTER DELIGHT J Moreira · J Size | J Moreira | J Size | 10 | 10.0 | 3-3/4 |
| 11 | 0 | BUDDIES H C L Chau · A S Cruz | C L Chau | A S Cruz | 3 | 40.0 | 5-1/2 |
| — | 0 | LUCKY WITH YOU Z Purton · D A Hayes | Z Purton | D A Hayes | — | 3.9 | 3-1/2 |
| — | 0 | LUCKY SWEYNESSE Closed strongly M F Poon · K L Man | M F Poon | K L Man | — | 6.1 | SH |
| — | 0 | MASTER MONTARO C Y Ho · D A Hayes | C Y Ho | D A Hayes | — | — | — |
This site does not show odds as they change: the odds here are final prices after a race, or overnight prices before it.
Race 10 at Sha Tin on 2022-06-05 was Class 2 over 1400m, run on GOOD going. NAVAS TWO, ridden by A Badel and trained by R Gibson, won by SH, with THE GOLDEN SCENERY second and HINCHINLOVE third. The winner closed strongly from off the pace. The 3.9 favourite LUCKY WITH YOU did not finish.
Race shape
Model ratings
| Rank | No. | Horse | Win % | Rated price | Pos |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 0 | NAVAS TWO | 20.2% | 4.96 | 2 |
| 2 | 0 | LUCKY WITH YOU | 17.3% | 5.78 | — |
| 3 | 0 | LUCKY SWEYNESSE | 14.6% | 6.83 | — |
| 4 | 0 | MASTER DELIGHT | 13.4% | 7.44 | 10 |
| 5 | 0 | WINNER METHOD | 11.2% | 8.94 | 7 |
| 6 | 0 | GOOD LUCK FRIEND | 8.1% | 12.37 | 8 |
| 7 | 0 | THE GOLDEN SCENERY | 6.0% | 16.58 | 3 |
| 8 | 0 | BEAUTY FIT | 4.0% | 24.72 | 5 |
| 9 | 0 | BUDDIES | 2.1% | 48.42 | 11 |
| 10 | 0 | THE RUNNER | 1.6% | 63.23 | 6 |
| 11 | 0 | HINCHINLOVE | 1.5% | 67.52 | 4 |
Model vs market
Each dot is a runner: model probability across, market-implied probability up. Dots on the dashed line mean the two agreed; the gold ring is the actual winner.
Ratings are statistical estimates for analysis, not betting advice — the backtest shows no profitable edge against the Hong Kong win market. How the model works →
Dividends
WIN
12 61
PLACE
3 40.5
10 16
12 21
QUINELLA
10,12 146.5
QUINELLA PLACE
3,10 119
3,12 156
10,12 53
FORECAST
12,10 328
TIERCE
12,10,3 3,781
TRIO
3,10,12 881
FIRST 4
3,9,10,12 6,727
QUARTET
12,10,3,9 88,128
All pools (5 more)
3 PICK 1
A1 —
A2 21
A3 —
3RD DOUBLE TRIO
12,14>1,7/3,10,12 38,840
9TH DOUBLE
14/10 66
14/12 821.5
SIX UP
2,10/9,12/7,10/8,11/1,7,14/10,12 20,156
2/12/7/11/14/12 6,302,513
1 [J Moreira] —
TREBLE
11/14/10 2,006
11/14/12 14,315