Sha Tin · 2022-06-05 · 12:46
Race 1
Race 1 at Sha Tin on 2022-06-05 was Class 5 over 1200m, run on GOOD (AWT) going. TELECOM MISSILE, ridden by L Currie and trained by C Fownes, won by 1-1/2, with THE MULTIPLIER second and RUBY STARS third. The 4.2 favourite BOYS PARTY finished 6th.
Result
| Pos | No. | Horse | Jockey | Trainer | Draw | Odds | Margin |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 7 | TELECOM MISSILE B/TT 1.08.75 ▶ Replay (opens in new tab) L Currie · C Fownes | L Currie | C Fownes | 12 | 18.0 | 1-1/2 |
| 2 | 5 | THE MULTIPLIER CP/TT Z Purton · D A Hayes | Z Purton | D A Hayes | 6 | 7.5 | 1-1/2 |
| 3 | 11 | RUBY STARS CP/TT H W Lai · K L Man | H W Lai | K L Man | 10 | 13.0 | 2-3/4 |
| 4 | 8 | GENERAL TRUMP B/TT J Moreira · T P Yung | J Moreira | T P Yung | 9 | 6.1 | 4 |
| 5 | 4 | HANDSOME REBEL B/TT2 L Ferraris · Y S Tsui | L Ferraris | Y S Tsui | 8 | 11.0 | 4-3/4 |
| 6 | 6 | BOYS PARTY B/XB K Teetan · A T Millard | K Teetan | A T Millard | 2 | 4.2 | 4-3/4 |
| 6 | 10 | REGENCY GEM V2/TT M F Poon · W Y So | M F Poon | W Y So | 7 | 23.0 | 4-3/4 |
| 8 | 9 | JADE THEATRE B/TT H Bentley · P F Yiu | H Bentley | P F Yiu | 3 | 18.0 | 6 |
| 9 | 2 | HAPPY TIME TT A Hamelin · C H Yip | A Hamelin | C H Yip | 4 | 25.0 | 8 |
| 10 | 1 | DASHING GENIUS B/TT A Badel · A S Cruz | A Badel | A S Cruz | 5 | 14.0 | 8-1/2 |
| 11 | 3 | STEEL WIN K C Leung · C W Chang | K C Leung | C W Chang | 1 | 5.1 | 8-1/2 |
| 12 | 12 | WINNING STRIKES PC-/P1 H T Mo · L Ho | H T Mo | L Ho | 11 | 17.0 | 11 |
Race shape
Model ratings
| Rank | No. | Horse | Win % | Rated price | Pos |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 5 | THE MULTIPLIER | 17.5% | 5.70 | 2 |
| 2 | 6 | BOYS PARTY | 14.1% | 7.07 | 6 |
| 3 | 8 | GENERAL TRUMP | 14.1% | 7.09 | 4 |
| 4 | 7 | TELECOM MISSILE | 7.8% | 12.79 | 1 |
| 5 | 3 | STEEL WIN | 7.2% | 13.92 | 11 |
| 6 | 4 | HANDSOME REBEL | 7.0% | 14.21 | 5 |
| 7 | 10 | REGENCY GEM | 7.0% | 14.32 | 6 |
| 8 | 2 | HAPPY TIME | 6.4% | 15.56 | 9 |
| 9 | 12 | WINNING STRIKES | 5.9% | 17.04 | 12 |
| 10 | 9 | JADE THEATRE | 4.8% | 20.67 | 8 |
| 11 | 11 | RUBY STARS | 4.2% | 23.96 | 3 |
| 12 | 1 | DASHING GENIUS | 3.9% | 25.78 | 10 |
Model vs market
Each dot is a runner: model probability across, market-implied probability up. Dots on the dashed line mean the two agreed; the gold ring is the actual winner.
Ratings are statistical estimates for analysis, not betting advice — the backtest shows no profitable edge against the Hong Kong win market. How the model works →
Dividends
WIN
7 181
PLACE
5 27.5
7 46
11 47.5
QUINELLA
5,7 800
QUINELLA PLACE
5,7 239.5
5,11 221
7,11 388
FORECAST
7,5 2,714
TIERCE
7,5,11 27,576
TRIO
5,7,11 3,591
FIRST 4
5,7,8,11 4,970
QUARTET
7,5,11,8 163,138
All pools (1 more)
3 PICK 1
A3 25.5
A2 —
A1 —