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Sha Tin · 2022-06-05 · 17:19

Race 9

Class 3 GOOD 1600m Course C 13 runners

Race 9 at Sha Tin on 2022-06-05 was Class 3 over 1600m, run on GOOD going. SUPER OASIS, ridden by A Badel and trained by A S Cruz, won by N, with SIGHT SPIRIT second and SECRET VISION third. The winner closed strongly from off the pace. The 3.3 favourite SIGHT SPIRIT finished 2nd.

Result

Official · 1.36.33
Pos No. Horse Draw Odds Margin
1 14 SUPER OASIS Closed strongly B/H/TT 1.36.33 ▶ Replay (opens in new tab) A Badel · A S Cruz 5 10.0 N
2 1 SIGHT SPIRIT Closed strongly P- J Moreira · J Size 1 3.3 N
3 12 SECRET VISION H Bentley · C S Shum 13 8.0 N
4 9 LOOKING COOL PC K Teetan · F C Lor 3 4.2 1
5 4 GOLDEN EMPIRE Led early Z Purton · K W Lui 8 4.3 2-1/4
6 2 SUPER DYNAMITE Closed strongly C Y Ho · P F Yiu 12 19.0 2-3/4
7 8 MAJESTIC VICTORY TT L Ferraris · A S Cruz 2 32.0 4-1/4
8 13 SMILING TIME Closed strongly V/TT C Wong · K H Ting 11 63.0 4-1/2
9 10 PACKING FAMOUS B/TT C L Chau · C S Shum 10 40.0 5-1/4
10 11 VILLA FIONN B K C Leung · P F Yiu 7 50.0 6
11 6 ODE TO JOY B/TT R Maia · D J Whyte 6 75.0 7-1/4
12 5 LEADING FORTUNE B L Currie · J Size 4 26.0 8-1/4
13 3 TEMPEST EXPRESS E/TT A Hamelin · J Size 9 43.0 14-1/2
7 TRUE LEGEND M F Poon · F C Lor

Race shape

Beaten lengths
1. SUPER OASIS2. SIGHT SPIRIT+0.05L3. SECRET VISION+0.05L4. LOOKING COOL+1L5. GOLDEN EMPIRE+2.25L6. SUPER DYNAMITE+2.75L7. MAJESTIC VICTORY+4.25L8. SMILING TIME+4.5L9. PACKING FAMOUS+5.25L10. VILLA FIONN+6L

Model ratings

Backtest · wf-2021-22
The model's top pick SIGHT SPIRIT (23.8%) finished 2nd — the winner SUPER OASIS was rated #5. Out-of-sample backtest: this board was produced by a model trained only on seasons before this race — it never saw this result.
Rank No. Horse Win % Rated price Pos
1 1 SIGHT SPIRIT 23.8% 4.21 2
2 4 GOLDEN EMPIRE 23.7% 4.22 5
3 9 LOOKING COOL 19.2% 5.20 4
4 2 SUPER DYNAMITE 6.8% 14.81 6
5 14 SUPER OASIS 5.6% 17.88 1
6 10 PACKING FAMOUS 5.5% 18.21 9
7 5 LEADING FORTUNE 4.2% 23.63 12
8 12 SECRET VISION 2.5% 40.47 3
9 3 TEMPEST EXPRESS 2.0% 48.94 13
10 8 MAJESTIC VICTORY 1.9% 53.31 7
11 13 SMILING TIME 1.9% 53.53 8
12 11 VILLA FIONN 1.8% 54.64 10
13 6 ODE TO JOY 1.1% 89.69 11
SIGHT SPIRITGOLDEN EMPIRELOOKING COOLSUPER DYNAMITESUPER OASIS — wonPACKING FAMOUSLEADING FORTUNESECRET VISIONTEMPEST EXPRESSMAJESTIC VICTORYSMILING TIMEVILLA FIONNODE TO JOY

Model vs market

Each dot is a runner: model probability across, market-implied probability up. Dots on the dashed line mean the two agreed; the gold ring is the actual winner.

Ratings are statistical estimates for analysis, not betting advice — the backtest shows no profitable edge against the Hong Kong win market. How the model works →

Dividends

Per $10 unit

WIN

14 103.5

PLACE

1 15

12 24

14 29.5

QUINELLA

1,14 192

QUINELLA PLACE

1,12 55

1,14 66

12,14 122

FORECAST

14,1 514

TIERCE

14,1,12 3,155

TRIO

1,12,14 591

FIRST 4

1,9,12,14 461

QUARTET

14,1,12,9 15,364

All pools (2 more)

3 PICK 1

A3

A1

A2 23

8TH DOUBLE

11/1,7 117.5

11/14 2,082