Sha Tin · 2022-06-05 · 13:46
Race 3
Race 3 at Sha Tin on 2022-06-05 was Class 4 over 1400m, run on GOOD going. TUCHEL, ridden by J Moreira and trained by J Size, won by 2, with RAINBOW LIGHT second and VOYAGE STAR third. The winner closed strongly from off the pace. Victory came as the 2.9 favourite.
Result
| Pos | No. | Horse | Jockey | Trainer | Draw | Odds | Margin |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 6 | TUCHEL Closed strongly 1.21.65 ▶ Replay (opens in new tab) J Moreira · J Size | J Moreira | J Size | 12 | 2.9 | 2 |
| 2 | 3 | RAINBOW LIGHT Closed strongly B/TT R Maia · D J Whyte | R Maia | D J Whyte | 6 | 7.9 | 2 |
| 3 | 7 | VOYAGE STAR Closed strongly V/TT C L Chau · T P Yung | C L Chau | T P Yung | 11 | 8.3 | 3-1/4 |
| 4 | 11 | PLIKCLONE Closed strongly B2 L Ferraris · D J Hall | L Ferraris | D J Hall | 4 | 6.1 | 4 |
| 5 | 9 | YOUNG VICTORY Led early TT M F Poon · W Y So | M F Poon | W Y So | 7 | 15.0 | 4-1/4 |
| 6 | 4 | COLONEL H Bentley · P F Yiu | H Bentley | P F Yiu | 2 | 5.4 | 5-1/2 |
| 7 | 14 | SUPERB DADDY Closed strongly TT V Borges · Y S Tsui | V Borges | Y S Tsui | 10 | 48.0 | 5-3/4 |
| 8 | 1 | EZRA Closed strongly B K Teetan · A T Millard | K Teetan | A T Millard | 3 | 13.0 | 6-1/2 |
| 9 | 10 | PEAK TO PEAK V/TT C Y Ho · F C Lor | C Y Ho | F C Lor | 8 | 12.0 | 8 |
| 10 | 5 | KARUIZAWA Closed strongly B1/TT1 L Currie · C S Shum | L Currie | C S Shum | 1 | 74.0 | 9-3/4 |
| 11 | 13 | COOLCELEB B/TT H T Mo · T P Yung | H T Mo | T P Yung | 5 | 86.0 | 12-1/2 |
| 12 | 8 | HAPPY MATADOR B/XB/TT A Hamelin · R Gibson | A Hamelin | R Gibson | 13 | 130.0 | 15-1/4 |
| 13 | 12 | TSUEN WAN GLORY B A Badel · K L Man | A Badel | K L Man | 9 | 93.0 | 15-3/4 |
| — | 2 | AUGUST MOON K C Leung · P O'Sullivan | K C Leung | P O'Sullivan | — | — | — |
Race shape
Model ratings
| Rank | No. | Horse | Win % | Rated price | Pos |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 6 | TUCHEL | 25.9% | 3.85 | 1 |
| 2 | 10 | PEAK TO PEAK | 11.5% | 8.69 | 9 |
| 3 | 3 | RAINBOW LIGHT | 8.3% | 11.98 | 2 |
| 4 | 5 | KARUIZAWA | 8.1% | 12.34 | 10 |
| 5 | 7 | VOYAGE STAR | 8.1% | 12.35 | 3 |
| 6 | 1 | EZRA | 7.5% | 13.32 | 8 |
| 7 | 9 | YOUNG VICTORY | 7.2% | 13.97 | 5 |
| 8 | 11 | PLIKCLONE | 6.8% | 14.81 | 4 |
| 9 | 13 | COOLCELEB | 6.7% | 14.93 | 11 |
| 10 | 4 | COLONEL | 4.3% | 23.22 | 6 |
| 11 | 14 | SUPERB DADDY | 2.6% | 39.14 | 7 |
| 12 | 8 | HAPPY MATADOR | 2.0% | 50.48 | 12 |
| 13 | 12 | TSUEN WAN GLORY | 1.0% | 96.52 | 13 |
Model vs market
Each dot is a runner: model probability across, market-implied probability up. Dots on the dashed line mean the two agreed; the gold ring is the actual winner.
Ratings are statistical estimates for analysis, not betting advice — the backtest shows no profitable edge against the Hong Kong win market. How the model works →
Dividends
WIN
6 29.5
PLACE
3 26
6 16
7 26.5
QUINELLA
3,6 137.5
QUINELLA PLACE
3,6 52.5
3,7 120.5
6,7 69.5
FORECAST
6,3 179
TIERCE
6,3,7 1,295
TRIO
3,6,7 406
FIRST 4
3,6,7,11 374
QUARTET
6,3,7,11 5,237
All pools (2 more)
2ND DOUBLE
1/2,6 152.5
1/3 41.5
3 PICK 1
A1 29.5
A3 —
A2 —