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Sha Tin · 2022-06-05 · 13:16

Race 2

Class 5 GOOD 1400m Course C 14 runners

Result

Official · 1.22.75
Pos No. Horse Draw Odds Margin
1 0 ROYAL AGILITY Closed strongly B/TT 1.22.75 ▶ Replay (opens in new tab) K Teetan · Y S Tsui 7 7.1 NOSE
2 0 WINWIN THIRTYTHREE Closed strongly V J Moreira · P F Yiu 3 3.8 NOSE
3 0 SICOMORO Closed strongly TT M F Poon · D A Hayes 12 28.0 2-1/4
4 0 TAKINGUFURTHER V C L Chau · K H Ting 4 17.0 2-1/2
5 0 BOOMING WELL Closed strongly XB-/TT R Maia · C H Yip 6 6.0 3
6 0 DRAGON BABY Closed strongly E-/PC-/TT Z Purton · J Size 13 8.1 5-3/4
7 0 GOLDEN FOUR Closed strongly L Currie · C W Chang 14 23.0 6
8 0 GALLANT CAVALIER V/TT A Badel · A T Millard 2 14.0 6-1/2
9 0 BRAVE POWER Closed strongly B/TT C Y Ho · A S Cruz 10 8.5 7-1/2
10 0 CHIU CHOW BROTHER Led early B C Wong · T P Yung 5 12.0 8-1/2
11 0 VICTORY MORE B/H/TT L Ferraris · K W Lui 1 73.0 9
12 0 CALL ME LU TT H W Lai · W Y So 8 70.0 11-1/2
13 0 DESTIN B A Hamelin · P O'Sullivan 11 27.0 13-3/4
14 0 SUPER KIN TT V Borges · C Fownes 9 18.0 19-1/2
— 0 MISSION SMART K C Leung · F C Lor — — —

This site does not show odds as they change: the odds here are final prices after a race, or overnight prices before it.

Race 2 at Sha Tin on 2022-06-05 was Class 5 over 1400m, run on GOOD going. ROYAL AGILITY, ridden by K Teetan and trained by Y S Tsui, won by NOSE, with WINWIN THIRTYTHREE second and SICOMORO third. The winner closed strongly from off the pace. The 3.8 favourite WINWIN THIRTYTHREE finished 2nd.

Race shape

Beaten lengths
1. ROYAL AGILITY—2. WINWIN THIRTYTHREE+0.05L3. SICOMORO+2.25L4. TAKINGUFURTHER+2.5L5. BOOMING WELL+3L6. DRAGON BABY+5.75L7. GOLDEN FOUR+6L8. GALLANT CAVALIER+6.5L9. BRAVE POWER+7.5L10. CHIU CHOW BROTHER+8.5L

Model ratings

Backtest · wf-2021-22
The model's top pick WINWIN THIRTYTHREE (43.7%) finished 2nd — the winner ROYAL AGILITY was rated #4. Out-of-sample backtest: this board was produced by a model trained only on seasons before this race — it never saw this result.
Rank No. Horse Win % Rated price Pos
1 0 WINWIN THIRTYTHREE 43.7% 2.29 2
2 0 BRAVE POWER 9.1% 10.98 9
3 0 BOOMING WELL 8.8% 11.34 5
4 0 ROYAL AGILITY 6.1% 16.42 1
5 0 DRAGON BABY 5.7% 17.53 6
6 0 CHIU CHOW BROTHER 4.2% 23.89 10
7 0 TAKINGUFURTHER 4.0% 24.89 4
8 0 GALLANT CAVALIER 3.6% 27.72 8
9 0 SICOMORO 3.5% 28.41 3
10 0 SUPER KIN 3.3% 30.15 14
11 0 GOLDEN FOUR 2.9% 34.46 7
12 0 DESTIN 2.4% 42.25 13
13 0 VICTORY MORE 1.7% 57.87 11
14 0 CALL ME LU 1.0% 104.66 12
WINWIN THIRTYTHREEBRAVE POWERBOOMING WELLROYAL AGILITY — wonDRAGON BABYCHIU CHOW BROTHERTAKINGUFURTHERGALLANT CAVALIERSICOMOROSUPER KINGOLDEN FOURDESTINVICTORY MORECALL ME LU

Model vs market

Each dot is a runner: model probability across, market-implied probability up. Dots on the dashed line mean the two agreed; the gold ring is the actual winner.

Ratings are statistical estimates for analysis, not betting advice — the backtest shows no profitable edge against the Hong Kong win market. How the model works →

Dividends

Per $10 unit

WIN

1 71

PLACE

1 22

9 72.5

13 16.5

QUINELLA

1,13 131.5

QUINELLA PLACE

1,9 303

1,13 58.5

9,13 159

FORECAST

1,13 342

TIERCE

1,13,9 7,650

TRIO

1,9,13 1,165

FIRST 4

1,5,9,13 3,981

QUARTET

1,13,9,5 83,330

All pools (2 more)

1ST DOUBLE

7/1 2,010.5

7/13 252.5

3 PICK 1

A1 25

A3 —

A2 —