Sha Tin · 2022-06-05 · 13:16
Race 2
Race 2 at Sha Tin on 2022-06-05 was Class 5 over 1400m, run on GOOD going. ROYAL AGILITY, ridden by K Teetan and trained by Y S Tsui, won by NOSE, with WINWIN THIRTYTHREE second and SICOMORO third. The winner closed strongly from off the pace. The 3.8 favourite WINWIN THIRTYTHREE finished 2nd.
Result
| Pos | No. | Horse | Jockey | Trainer | Draw | Odds | Margin |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1 | ROYAL AGILITY Closed strongly B/TT 1.22.75 ▶ Replay (opens in new tab) K Teetan · Y S Tsui | K Teetan | Y S Tsui | 7 | 7.1 | NOSE |
| 2 | 13 | WINWIN THIRTYTHREE Closed strongly V J Moreira · P F Yiu | J Moreira | P F Yiu | 3 | 3.8 | NOSE |
| 3 | 9 | SICOMORO Closed strongly TT M F Poon · D A Hayes | M F Poon | D A Hayes | 12 | 28.0 | 2-1/4 |
| 4 | 5 | TAKINGUFURTHER V C L Chau · K H Ting | C L Chau | K H Ting | 4 | 17.0 | 2-1/2 |
| 5 | 6 | BOOMING WELL Closed strongly XB-/TT R Maia · C H Yip | R Maia | C H Yip | 6 | 6.0 | 3 |
| 6 | 4 | DRAGON BABY Closed strongly E-/PC-/TT Z Purton · J Size | Z Purton | J Size | 13 | 8.1 | 5-3/4 |
| 7 | 11 | GOLDEN FOUR Closed strongly L Currie · C W Chang | L Currie | C W Chang | 14 | 23.0 | 6 |
| 8 | 14 | GALLANT CAVALIER V/TT A Badel · A T Millard | A Badel | A T Millard | 2 | 14.0 | 6-1/2 |
| 9 | 3 | BRAVE POWER Closed strongly B/TT C Y Ho · A S Cruz | C Y Ho | A S Cruz | 10 | 8.5 | 7-1/2 |
| 10 | 2 | CHIU CHOW BROTHER Led early B C Wong · T P Yung | C Wong | T P Yung | 5 | 12.0 | 8-1/2 |
| 11 | 12 | VICTORY MORE B/H/TT L Ferraris · K W Lui | L Ferraris | K W Lui | 1 | 73.0 | 9 |
| 12 | 7 | CALL ME LU TT H W Lai · W Y So | H W Lai | W Y So | 8 | 70.0 | 11-1/2 |
| 13 | 8 | DESTIN B A Hamelin · P O'Sullivan | A Hamelin | P O'Sullivan | 11 | 27.0 | 13-3/4 |
| 14 | 10 | SUPER KIN TT V Borges · C Fownes | V Borges | C Fownes | 9 | 18.0 | 19-1/2 |
| — | 0 | MISSION SMART K C Leung · F C Lor | K C Leung | F C Lor | — | — | — |
Race shape
Model ratings
| Rank | No. | Horse | Win % | Rated price | Pos |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 13 | WINWIN THIRTYTHREE | 43.7% | 2.29 | 2 |
| 2 | 3 | BRAVE POWER | 9.1% | 10.98 | 9 |
| 3 | 6 | BOOMING WELL | 8.8% | 11.34 | 5 |
| 4 | 1 | ROYAL AGILITY | 6.1% | 16.42 | 1 |
| 5 | 4 | DRAGON BABY | 5.7% | 17.53 | 6 |
| 6 | 2 | CHIU CHOW BROTHER | 4.2% | 23.89 | 10 |
| 7 | 5 | TAKINGUFURTHER | 4.0% | 24.89 | 4 |
| 8 | 14 | GALLANT CAVALIER | 3.6% | 27.72 | 8 |
| 9 | 9 | SICOMORO | 3.5% | 28.41 | 3 |
| 10 | 10 | SUPER KIN | 3.3% | 30.15 | 14 |
| 11 | 11 | GOLDEN FOUR | 2.9% | 34.46 | 7 |
| 12 | 8 | DESTIN | 2.4% | 42.25 | 13 |
| 13 | 12 | VICTORY MORE | 1.7% | 57.87 | 11 |
| 14 | 7 | CALL ME LU | 1.0% | 104.66 | 12 |
Model vs market
Each dot is a runner: model probability across, market-implied probability up. Dots on the dashed line mean the two agreed; the gold ring is the actual winner.
Ratings are statistical estimates for analysis, not betting advice — the backtest shows no profitable edge against the Hong Kong win market. How the model works →
Dividends
WIN
1 71
PLACE
1 22
9 72.5
13 16.5
QUINELLA
1,13 131.5
QUINELLA PLACE
1,9 303
1,13 58.5
9,13 159
FORECAST
1,13 342
TIERCE
1,13,9 7,650
TRIO
1,9,13 1,165
FIRST 4
1,5,9,13 3,981
QUARTET
1,13,9,5 83,330
All pools (2 more)
1ST DOUBLE
7/1 2,010.5
7/13 252.5
3 PICK 1
A2 —
A3 —
A1 25