Sha Tin · 2022-06-05 · 15:11
Race 5
Race 5 at Sha Tin on 2022-06-05 was Class 4 over 1200m, run on FAST going. SUPER WIN DRAGON, ridden by C Y Ho and trained by W Y So, won by 1-3/4, with E BROTHER second and THE BEST HERO third. The 3.8 favourite E BROTHER finished 2nd.
Result
| Pos | No. | Horse | Jockey | Trainer | Draw | Odds | Margin |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 2 | SUPER WIN DRAGON V/TT 1.08.42 ▶ Replay (opens in new tab) C Y Ho · W Y So | C Y Ho | W Y So | 7 | 10.0 | 1-3/4 |
| 2 | 10 | E BROTHER B/TT J Moreira · K L Man | J Moreira | K L Man | 2 | 3.8 | 1-3/4 |
| 3 | 5 | THE BEST HERO B H W Lai · L Ho | H W Lai | L Ho | 4 | 8.4 | 3-1/2 |
| 4 | 6 | LADY FIRST CP/H/XB/TT K Teetan · A S Cruz | K Teetan | A S Cruz | 5 | 7.4 | 4 |
| 5 | 1 | HAPPY TANGO B K C Leung · Y S Tsui | K C Leung | Y S Tsui | 9 | 34.0 | 4-3/4 |
| 6 | 12 | AHEAD A HEAD B A Badel · T P Yung | A Badel | T P Yung | 1 | 18.0 | 6 |
| 7 | 4 | CELESTIAL STEED TT C L Chau · F C Lor | C L Chau | F C Lor | 3 | 12.0 | 6-3/4 |
| 8 | 11 | SMART FOLKS B M F Poon · C W Chang | M F Poon | C W Chang | 12 | 10.0 | 7 |
| 9 | 9 | TOUCH FAITH P L Currie · J Size | L Currie | J Size | 6 | 19.0 | 7-3/4 |
| 10 | 8 | WISDOM PATCH PC/TT Z Purton · P O'Sullivan | Z Purton | P O'Sullivan | 11 | 12.0 | 9-1/4 |
| 11 | 3 | PROSPEROUS WIN TT R Maia · P F Yiu | R Maia | P F Yiu | 10 | 6.9 | 12-3/4 |
| 12 | 7 | SUPER CLASS B L Ferraris · A T Millard | L Ferraris | A T Millard | 8 | 17.0 | 16-1/4 |
Race shape
Model ratings
| Rank | No. | Horse | Win % | Rated price | Pos |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 10 | E BROTHER | 31.4% | 3.18 | 2 |
| 2 | 6 | LADY FIRST | 10.7% | 9.32 | 4 |
| 3 | 8 | WISDOM PATCH | 9.8% | 10.18 | 10 |
| 4 | 2 | SUPER WIN DRAGON | 7.9% | 12.61 | 1 |
| 5 | 3 | PROSPEROUS WIN | 7.4% | 13.54 | 11 |
| 6 | 9 | TOUCH FAITH | 7.1% | 14.06 | 9 |
| 7 | 4 | CELESTIAL STEED | 6.6% | 15.09 | 7 |
| 8 | 11 | SMART FOLKS | 5.7% | 17.47 | 8 |
| 9 | 5 | THE BEST HERO | 5.0% | 20.00 | 3 |
| 10 | 1 | HAPPY TANGO | 3.8% | 26.01 | 5 |
| 11 | 12 | AHEAD A HEAD | 2.4% | 41.36 | 6 |
| 12 | 7 | SUPER CLASS | 2.0% | 50.83 | 12 |
Model vs market
Each dot is a runner: model probability across, market-implied probability up. Dots on the dashed line mean the two agreed; the gold ring is the actual winner.
Ratings are statistical estimates for analysis, not betting advice — the backtest shows no profitable edge against the Hong Kong win market. How the model works →
Dividends
WIN
2 100.5
PLACE
2 30
5 24
10 15.5
QUINELLA
2,10 181
QUINELLA PLACE
2,5 118
2,10 70.5
5,10 69.5
FORECAST
2,10 397
TIERCE
2,10,5 2,376
TRIO
2,5,10 307
FIRST 4
2,5,6,10 385
QUARTET
2,10,5,6 11,339
All pools (2 more)
3 PICK 1
A3 —
A2 26.5
A1 —
4TH DOUBLE
8/2 283
8/10 38