跑馬地 · 2022-06-08 · 20:15
第 4場
2022-06-08跑馬地第4場，Class 4，途程1800米，跑道評為YIELDING。由L Currie策騎、K H Ting訓練的LUCKY DIAMOND勝出，贏出SH。SURREALISM獲得亞軍；KYRUS UNICORN獲得季軍。頭馬帶放到底。3.3倍大熱門KYRUS UNICORN跑獲第3名。
賽果
| 名次 | No. | 馬名 | 騎師 | 練馬師 | 檔位 | 獨贏賠率 | 馬距 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 4 | LUCKY DIAMOND 一路領先 B/TT 1.53.36 ▶ 重播 （在新分頁開啟） L Currie · K H Ting | L Currie | K H Ting | 11 | 11.0 | SH |
| 2 | 1 | SURREALISM 後段發力 B L Ferraris · R Gibson | L Ferraris | R Gibson | 6 | 11.0 | SH |
| 3 | 2 | KYRUS UNICORN 後段發力 V-/BO1 L Hewitson · D J Hall | L Hewitson | D J Hall | 2 | 3.3 | 1/2 |
| 4 | 9 | BRIGHT KID 後段發力 B/XB M Chadwick · W Y So | M Chadwick | W Y So | 7 | 20.0 | 3/4 |
| 5 | 3 | GOLDEN SPECTRUM 後段發力 B/H/TT C Y Ho · A S Cruz | C Y Ho | A S Cruz | 4 | 7.2 | 2 |
| 6 | 11 | PASSING FASHION XB/TT A Badel · C H Yip | A Badel | C H Yip | 1 | 11.0 | 2 |
| 7 | 6 | MURRAY'S PARTNERS 後段發力 V H Bentley · C H Yip | H Bentley | C H Yip | 5 | 11.0 | 3 |
| 8 | 10 | VICTORIOUS SEEKER B C Wong · P O'Sullivan | C Wong | P O'Sullivan | 3 | 24.0 | 3-1/2 |
| 9 | 7 | CHATER PINS SR V Borges · D A Hayes | V Borges | D A Hayes | 12 | 8.9 | 3-3/4 |
| 10 | 12 | SUPERB DADDY 後段發力 TT H T Mo · Y S Tsui | H T Mo | Y S Tsui | 9 | 33.0 | 4-1/2 |
| 11 | 8 | LEGION OF MERIT B/TT M F Poon · W Y So | M F Poon | W Y So | 8 | 14.0 | 5-1/4 |
| 12 | 5 | WINNING VOLATILITY PC J Moreira · K W Lui | J Moreira | K W Lui | 10 | 7.8 | 6 |
賽果形勢
模型評分
| 排名 | No. | 馬名 | 勝出概率 | 評估賠率 | 名次 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 5 | WINNING VOLATILITY | 17.9% | 5.57 | 12 |
| 2 | 3 | GOLDEN SPECTRUM | 13.3% | 7.52 | 5 |
| 3 | 2 | KYRUS UNICORN | 12.4% | 8.04 | 3 |
| 4 | 10 | VICTORIOUS SEEKER | 9.7% | 10.35 | 8 |
| 5 | 7 | CHATER PINS | 9.5% | 10.49 | 9 |
| 6 | 8 | LEGION OF MERIT | 8.6% | 11.63 | 11 |
| 7 | 4 | LUCKY DIAMOND | 6.2% | 16.02 | 1 |
| 8 | 11 | PASSING FASHION | 4.9% | 20.40 | 6 |
| 9 | 6 | MURRAY'S PARTNERS | 4.8% | 20.80 | 7 |
| 10 | 9 | BRIGHT KID | 4.5% | 22.21 | 4 |
| 11 | 12 | SUPERB DADDY | 4.0% | 24.73 | 10 |
| 12 | 1 | SURREALISM | 4.0% | 24.88 | 2 |
模型對市場
每點代表一匹馬：橫軸為模型概率，縱軸為市場隱含概率。點落在虛線上代表兩者一致；金圈為實際頭馬。
評分僅為統計分析估算，並非投注建議——回測顯示模型對香港獨贏市場並無盈利優勢。 模型原理 →
派彩
WIN
4 115
PLACE
1 35.5
2 14
4 41.5
QUINELLA
1,4 741
QUINELLA PLACE
1,2 90
1,4 237
2,4 82.5
FORECAST
4,1 1,380
TIERCE
4,1,2 4,938
TRIO
1,2,4 831
FIRST 4
1,2,4,9 3,841
QUARTET
4,1,2,9 103,384
全部彩池（另 2 項）
3 PICK 1
A3 21
A2 —
A1 —
3RD DOUBLE
5/1 137
5/4 865.5