跑馬地 · 2022-06-08 · 20:46
第 5場
2022-06-08跑馬地第5場，Class 4，途程1200米，跑道評為YIELDING。由L Ferraris策騎、R Gibson訓練的STOICISM勝出，贏出SH。LESLIE獲得亞軍；HARDLY SWEARS獲得季軍。4.5倍大熱門LESLIE跑獲第2名。
賽果
| 名次 | No. | 馬名 | 騎師 | 練馬師 | 檔位 | 獨贏賠率 | 馬距 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1 | STOICISM CP-/B1/TT 1.11.48 ▶ 重播 （在新分頁開啟） L Ferraris · R Gibson | L Ferraris | R Gibson | 1 | 6.1 | SH |
| 2 | 2 | LESLIE B J Moreira · P F Yiu | J Moreira | P F Yiu | 4 | 4.5 | SH |
| 3 | 4 | HARDLY SWEARS C Y Ho · K H Ting | C Y Ho | K H Ting | 2 | 6.5 | 1 |
| 4 | 11 | HARRIER JET B M Chadwick · P O'Sullivan | M Chadwick | P O'Sullivan | 3 | 5.6 | 1-1/2 |
| 5 | 12 | ISLAND SURPRISE TT A Badel · K L Man | A Badel | K L Man | 11 | 9.2 | 1-3/4 |
| 6 | 3 | HAPPY LAND XB-/TT C L Chau · T P Yung | C L Chau | T P Yung | 7 | 18.0 | 2 |
| 7 | 6 | SHINING FORTUNE H Z Purton · J Size | Z Purton | J Size | 8 | 6.7 | 4-1/4 |
| 8 | 7 | OVERSUBSCRIBED XB K C Leung · D J Hall | K C Leung | D J Hall | 12 | 28.0 | 6 |
| 9 | 9 | JAZZ STEED V/TT M F Poon · C Fownes | M F Poon | C Fownes | 6 | 17.0 | 6-1/2 |
| 10 | 10 | GLORIFIED FIRE B- R Maia · C H Yip | R Maia | C H Yip | 9 | 26.0 | 7 |
| 11 | 5 | OCTOCONNECT B1 H W Lai · Y S Tsui | H W Lai | Y S Tsui | 5 | 68.0 | 8-3/4 |
| 12 | 8 | BIRDSVILLE B-/SR1/TT L Currie · D A Hayes | L Currie | D A Hayes | 10 | 24.0 | 9-1/2 |
賽果形勢
模型評分
| 排名 | No. | 馬名 | 勝出概率 | 評估賠率 | 名次 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 2 | LESLIE | 18.9% | 5.29 | 2 |
| 2 | 1 | STOICISM | 15.5% | 6.45 | 1 |
| 3 | 6 | SHINING FORTUNE | 13.3% | 7.52 | 7 |
| 4 | 11 | HARRIER JET | 8.7% | 11.52 | 4 |
| 5 | 4 | HARDLY SWEARS | 8.2% | 12.20 | 3 |
| 6 | 9 | JAZZ STEED | 7.6% | 13.15 | 9 |
| 7 | 12 | ISLAND SURPRISE | 6.2% | 16.24 | 5 |
| 8 | 3 | HAPPY LAND | 5.8% | 17.14 | 6 |
| 9 | 8 | BIRDSVILLE | 5.1% | 19.63 | 12 |
| 10 | 10 | GLORIFIED FIRE | 4.5% | 22.11 | 10 |
| 11 | 7 | OVERSUBSCRIBED | 4.2% | 23.93 | 8 |
| 12 | 5 | OCTOCONNECT | 2.0% | 49.23 | 11 |
模型對市場
每點代表一匹馬：橫軸為模型概率，縱軸為市場隱含概率。點落在虛線上代表兩者一致；金圈為實際頭馬。
評分僅為統計分析估算，並非投注建議——回測顯示模型對香港獨贏市場並無盈利優勢。 模型原理 →
派彩
WIN
1 61.5
PLACE
1 20.5
2 18.5
4 20.5
QUINELLA
1,2 136
QUINELLA PLACE
1,2 48.5
1,4 55
2,4 53.5
FORECAST
1,2 307
TIERCE
1,2,4 1,073
TRIO
1,2,4 166
FIRST 4
1,2,4,11 204
QUARTET
1,2,4,11 5,030
全部彩池（另 3 項）
1ST DOUBLE TRIO
1,2,4/1,2,4 8,285
3 PICK 1
A1 26
A2 —
A3 —
4TH DOUBLE
4/1 906
4/2 130.5