跑馬地 · 2022-06-08 · 21:46
第 7場
2022-06-08跑馬地第7場，Class 4，途程1200米，跑道評為YIELDING。由J Moreira策騎、F C Lor訓練的EXCELLENT PEERS勝出，贏出3/4。SUGAR SUGAR獲得亞軍；SEE U AGAIN獲得季軍。頭馬以2.4倍大熱姿態勝出。
賽果
| 名次 | No. | 馬名 | 騎師 | 練馬師 | 檔位 | 獨贏賠率 | 馬距 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 2 | EXCELLENT PEERS H/XB 1.11.87 ▶ 重播 （在新分頁開啟） J Moreira · F C Lor | J Moreira | F C Lor | 2 | 2.4 | 3/4 |
| 2 | 10 | SUGAR SUGAR B/TT A Badel · C Fownes | A Badel | C Fownes | 12 | 20.0 | 3/4 |
| 3 | 5 | SEE U AGAIN H- Z Purton · C S Shum | Z Purton | C S Shum | 8 | 5.4 | 3-1/2 |
| 4 | 7 | MASTER OF LUCK H/TT L Ferraris · K W Lui | L Ferraris | K W Lui | 6 | 31.0 | 3-1/2 |
| 5 | 8 | AEROVERSARY B C Y Ho · P O'Sullivan | C Y Ho | P O'Sullivan | 1 | 62.0 | 3-1/2 |
| 6 | 11 | SIXTH GENERATION B R Maia · C H Yip | R Maia | C H Yip | 4 | 9.7 | 7-1/4 |
| 7 | 6 | MANAGEMENT FOLKS H T Mo · D J Hall | H T Mo | D J Hall | 10 | 118.0 | 7-1/4 |
| 8 | 4 | HOLI MOLI B1 L Currie · D A Hayes | L Currie | D A Hayes | 3 | 12.0 | 8 |
| 9 | 3 | UTOPIA LIFE B K C Leung · Y S Tsui | K C Leung | Y S Tsui | 11 | 14.0 | 8-1/4 |
| 10 | 12 | THE GOOD DEAL H/TT V Borges · C W Chang | V Borges | C W Chang | 5 | 45.0 | 8-3/4 |
| 11 | 9 | LUCKY RUBY B/TT M Chadwick · K L Man | M Chadwick | K L Man | 9 | 20.0 | 15-1/2 |
| 12 | 1 | MIGHTY VALOR L Hewitson · P F Yiu | L Hewitson | P F Yiu | 7 | 5.1 | 16-1/4 |
賽果形勢
模型評分
| 排名 | No. | 馬名 | 勝出概率 | 評估賠率 | 名次 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 2 | EXCELLENT PEERS | 35.9% | 2.79 | 1 |
| 2 | 5 | SEE U AGAIN | 21.4% | 4.67 | 3 |
| 3 | 11 | SIXTH GENERATION | 8.1% | 12.28 | 6 |
| 4 | 10 | SUGAR SUGAR | 6.5% | 15.39 | 2 |
| 5 | 4 | HOLI MOLI | 5.5% | 18.26 | 8 |
| 6 | 3 | UTOPIA LIFE | 5.3% | 18.76 | 9 |
| 7 | 12 | THE GOOD DEAL | 4.5% | 22.14 | 10 |
| 8 | 9 | LUCKY RUBY | 3.5% | 28.91 | 11 |
| 9 | 1 | MIGHTY VALOR | 3.3% | 29.86 | 12 |
| 10 | 7 | MASTER OF LUCK | 2.8% | 35.17 | 4 |
| 11 | 6 | MANAGEMENT FOLKS | 1.6% | 61.83 | 7 |
| 12 | 8 | AEROVERSARY | 1.5% | 67.48 | 5 |
模型對市場
每點代表一匹馬：橫軸為模型概率，縱軸為市場隱含概率。點落在虛線上代表兩者一致；金圈為實際頭馬。
評分僅為統計分析估算，並非投注建議——回測顯示模型對香港獨贏市場並無盈利優勢。 模型原理 →
派彩
WIN
2 24.5
PLACE
2 11.5
5 18
10 45
QUINELLA
2,10 239.5
QUINELLA PLACE
2,5 27.5
2,10 78
5,10 141.5
FORECAST
2,10 349
TIERCE
2,10,5 1,402
TRIO
2,5,10 280
FIRST 4
2,5,7,10 1,197
QUARTET
2,10,5,7 19,581
全部彩池（另 5 項）
2ND DOUBLE TRIO
8>4,7,12/2,5,10 6,057
3 PICK 1
A2 —
A1 17
A3 —
6TH DOUBLE
12/2 138.5
12/10 187.5
TRIPLE TRIO
1,2,4/8>4,7,12/2,5,10 63,376
TRIPLE TRIO (CONSOLATION)
1,2,4/8>4,7,12/Any Combination 531