跑馬地 · 2022-06-08 · 22:53
第 9場
2022-06-08跑馬地第9場，Class 3，途程1200米，跑道評為YIELDING。由C Y Ho策騎、A S Cruz訓練的YOU'REMYEVERYTHING勝出，贏出HD。FAMILY FOLKS獲得亞軍；CLASSIC POSH獲得季軍。3.9倍大熱門DROPS OF GOD跑獲第9名。
賽果
| 名次 | No. | 馬名 | 騎師 | 練馬師 | 檔位 | 獨贏賠率 | 馬距 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 5 | YOU'REMYEVERYTHING TT 1.11.33 ▶ 重播 （在新分頁開啟） C Y Ho · A S Cruz | C Y Ho | A S Cruz | 6 | 14.0 | HD |
| 2 | 2 | FAMILY FOLKS B C L Chau · C W Chang | C L Chau | C W Chang | 7 | 15.0 | HD |
| 3 | 6 | CLASSIC POSH Z Purton · D J Hall | Z Purton | D J Hall | 1 | 6.0 | 1/2 |
| 4 | 8 | SUPER DOBBIN B A Hamelin · A T Millard | A Hamelin | A T Millard | 11 | 47.0 | 1-1/4 |
| 5 | 3 | NAMJONG SINGS B A Badel · C S Shum | A Badel | C S Shum | 3 | 10.0 | 2-1/4 |
| 6 | 4 | SMART IDEA H/TT H Bentley · F C Lor | H Bentley | F C Lor | 4 | 6.3 | 3 |
| 7 | 10 | WOOD ON FIRE H/V/TT M F Poon · L Ho | M F Poon | L Ho | 8 | 32.0 | 3-3/4 |
| 8 | 7 | VALIANT ELEGANCE B/TT L Hewitson · D J Whyte | L Hewitson | D J Whyte | 9 | 9.6 | 4 |
| 9 | 1 | DROPS OF GOD J Moreira · J Size | J Moreira | J Size | 5 | 3.9 | 4 |
| 10 | 9 | KILLER INSTINCT TT C Wong · C Fownes | C Wong | C Fownes | 10 | 18.0 | 5-3/4 |
| 11 | 12 | RECIPROCATION XB/TT H T Mo · R Gibson | H T Mo | R Gibson | 12 | 137.0 | 6-1/4 |
| 12 | 11 | LYRICAL MOTION CP/TT M Chadwick · W Y So | M Chadwick | W Y So | 2 | 5.5 | 8 |
賽果形勢
模型評分
| 排名 | No. | 馬名 | 勝出概率 | 評估賠率 | 名次 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1 | DROPS OF GOD | 15.8% | 6.32 | 9 |
| 2 | 4 | SMART IDEA | 14.7% | 6.79 | 6 |
| 3 | 6 | CLASSIC POSH | 14.4% | 6.92 | 3 |
| 4 | 11 | LYRICAL MOTION | 12.8% | 7.79 | 12 |
| 5 | 7 | VALIANT ELEGANCE | 12.3% | 8.12 | 8 |
| 6 | 3 | NAMJONG SINGS | 8.3% | 12.07 | 5 |
| 7 | 5 | YOU'REMYEVERYTHING | 7.6% | 13.14 | 1 |
| 8 | 9 | KILLER INSTINCT | 5.1% | 19.46 | 10 |
| 9 | 2 | FAMILY FOLKS | 4.3% | 23.47 | 2 |
| 10 | 10 | WOOD ON FIRE | 2.1% | 47.07 | 7 |
| 11 | 8 | SUPER DOBBIN | 2.0% | 49.45 | 4 |
| 12 | 12 | RECIPROCATION | 0.4% | 229.92 | 11 |
模型對市場
每點代表一匹馬：橫軸為模型概率，縱軸為市場隱含概率。點落在虛線上代表兩者一致；金圈為實際頭馬。
評分僅為統計分析估算，並非投注建議——回測顯示模型對香港獨贏市場並無盈利優勢。 模型原理 →
派彩
WIN
5 143.5
PLACE
2 46.5
5 42
6 23
QUINELLA
2,5 935.5
QUINELLA PLACE
2,5 329.5
2,6 160
5,6 173.5
FORECAST
5,2 2,319
TIERCE
5,2,6 12,878
TRIO
2,5,6 2,494
FIRST 4
2,5,6,8 24,850
QUARTET
5,2,6,8 601,488
全部彩池（另 5 項）
3 PICK 1
A3 29
A2 —
A1 —
3RD DOUBLE TRIO
1,5,10/2,5,6 640,758
8TH DOUBLE
1/2 165.5
1/5 618
SIX UP
1,4/1,2/8,12/2,10/1,10/2,5 51,217
4/1/12/2/1/5 774,212
1 [J Moreira] —
TREBLE
2/1/2 465
2/1/5 1,978