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Happy Valley · 2022-06-08 · 22:53

Race 9

Class 3 YIELDING 1200m Course A 12 runners

Race 9 at Happy Valley on 2022-06-08 was Class 3 over 1200m, run on YIELDING going. YOU'REMYEVERYTHING, ridden by C Y Ho and trained by A S Cruz, won by HD, with FAMILY FOLKS second and CLASSIC POSH third. The 3.9 favourite DROPS OF GOD finished 9th.

Result

Official · 1.11.33
Pos No. Horse Draw Odds Margin
1 5 YOU'REMYEVERYTHING TT 1.11.33 ▶ Replay (opens in new tab) C Y Ho · A S Cruz 6 14.0 HD
2 2 FAMILY FOLKS B C L Chau · C W Chang 7 15.0 HD
3 6 CLASSIC POSH Z Purton · D J Hall 1 6.0 1/2
4 8 SUPER DOBBIN B A Hamelin · A T Millard 11 47.0 1-1/4
5 3 NAMJONG SINGS B A Badel · C S Shum 3 10.0 2-1/4
6 4 SMART IDEA H/TT H Bentley · F C Lor 4 6.3 3
7 10 WOOD ON FIRE H/V/TT M F Poon · L Ho 8 32.0 3-3/4
8 7 VALIANT ELEGANCE B/TT L Hewitson · D J Whyte 9 9.6 4
9 1 DROPS OF GOD J Moreira · J Size 5 3.9 4
10 9 KILLER INSTINCT TT C Wong · C Fownes 10 18.0 5-3/4
11 12 RECIPROCATION XB/TT H T Mo · R Gibson 12 137.0 6-1/4
12 11 LYRICAL MOTION CP/TT M Chadwick · W Y So 2 5.5 8

Race shape

Beaten lengths
1. YOU'REMYEVERYTHING2. FAMILY FOLKS+0.2L3. CLASSIC POSH+0.5L4. SUPER DOBBIN+1.25L5. NAMJONG SINGS+2.25L6. SMART IDEA+3L7. WOOD ON FIRE+3.75L8. VALIANT ELEGANCE+4L9. DROPS OF GOD+4L10. KILLER INSTINCT+5.75L

Model ratings

Backtest · wf-2021-22
The model's top pick DROPS OF GOD (15.8%) finished 9th — the winner YOU'REMYEVERYTHING was rated #7. Out-of-sample backtest: this board was produced by a model trained only on seasons before this race — it never saw this result.
Rank No. Horse Win % Rated price Pos
1 1 DROPS OF GOD 15.8% 6.32 9
2 4 SMART IDEA 14.7% 6.79 6
3 6 CLASSIC POSH 14.4% 6.92 3
4 11 LYRICAL MOTION 12.8% 7.79 12
5 7 VALIANT ELEGANCE 12.3% 8.12 8
6 3 NAMJONG SINGS 8.3% 12.07 5
7 5 YOU'REMYEVERYTHING 7.6% 13.14 1
8 9 KILLER INSTINCT 5.1% 19.46 10
9 2 FAMILY FOLKS 4.3% 23.47 2
10 10 WOOD ON FIRE 2.1% 47.07 7
11 8 SUPER DOBBIN 2.0% 49.45 4
12 12 RECIPROCATION 0.4% 229.92 11
DROPS OF GODSMART IDEACLASSIC POSHLYRICAL MOTIONVALIANT ELEGANCENAMJONG SINGSYOU'REMYEVERYTHING — wonKILLER INSTINCTFAMILY FOLKSWOOD ON FIRESUPER DOBBINRECIPROCATION

Model vs market

Each dot is a runner: model probability across, market-implied probability up. Dots on the dashed line mean the two agreed; the gold ring is the actual winner.

Ratings are statistical estimates for analysis, not betting advice — the backtest shows no profitable edge against the Hong Kong win market. How the model works →

Dividends

Per $10 unit

WIN

5 143.5

PLACE

2 46.5

5 42

6 23

QUINELLA

2,5 935.5

QUINELLA PLACE

2,5 329.5

2,6 160

5,6 173.5

FORECAST

5,2 2,319

TIERCE

5,2,6 12,878

TRIO

2,5,6 2,494

FIRST 4

2,5,6,8 24,850

QUARTET

5,2,6,8 601,488

All pools (5 more)

3 PICK 1

A3 29

A2

A1

3RD DOUBLE TRIO

1,5,10/2,5,6 640,758

8TH DOUBLE

1/2 165.5

1/5 618

SIX UP

1,4/1,2/8,12/2,10/1,10/2,5 51,217

4/1/12/2/1/5 774,212

1 [J Moreira]

TREBLE

2/1/2 465

2/1/5 1,978