Happy Valley · 2022-06-08 · 18:46
Race 1
Result
| Pos | No. | Horse | Jockey | Trainer | Draw | Odds | Margin |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 0 | RISE BRETHREN Closed strongly TT 2.18.35 ▶ Replay (opens in new tab) Z Purton · C S Shum | Z Purton | C S Shum | 7 | 6.5 | 1-1/4 |
| 2 | 0 | NATURAL STORM Closed strongly V J Moreira · P F Yiu | J Moreira | P F Yiu | 3 | 2.7 | 1-1/4 |
| 3 | 0 | ABOVE Closed strongly B/TT R Maia · A T Millard | R Maia | A T Millard | 4 | 9.6 | 2-3/4 |
| 4 | 0 | BORN THE SAME DAY Closed strongly H A Badel · K W Lui | A Badel | K W Lui | 1 | 8.0 | 5-1/2 |
| 5 | 0 | BLASTOISE L Ferraris · A T Millard | L Ferraris | A T Millard | 6 | 6.2 | 6-3/4 |
| 6 | 0 | PERFECT MARYKNOLL Led early B/TT M F Poon · T P Yung | M F Poon | T P Yung | 2 | 6.2 | 8-1/2 |
| 7 | 0 | SAVVY KINGMAN M Chadwick · F C Lor | M Chadwick | F C Lor | 8 | 13.0 | 11-3/4 |
| 8 | 0 | CLASSIC ARCHI B L Hewitson · D J Whyte | L Hewitson | D J Whyte | 5 | 13.0 | 13-1/4 |
This site does not show odds as they change: the odds here are final prices after a race, or overnight prices before it.
Race 1 at Happy Valley on 2022-06-08 was Class 3 over 2200m, run on YIELDING going. RISE BRETHREN, ridden by Z Purton and trained by C S Shum, won by 1-1/4, with NATURAL STORM second and ABOVE third. The winner closed strongly from off the pace. The 2.7 favourite NATURAL STORM finished 2nd.
Race shape
Model ratings
| Rank | No. | Horse | Win % | Rated price | Pos |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 0 | NATURAL STORM | 51.5% | 1.94 | 2 |
| 2 | 0 | SAVVY KINGMAN | 11.6% | 8.63 | 7 |
| 3 | 0 | PERFECT MARYKNOLL | 11.5% | 8.71 | 6 |
| 4 | 0 | RISE BRETHREN | 9.5% | 10.52 | 1 |
| 5 | 0 | BORN THE SAME DAY | 5.4% | 18.68 | 4 |
| 6 | 0 | BLASTOISE | 4.7% | 21.29 | 5 |
| 7 | 0 | ABOVE | 3.7% | 27.35 | 3 |
| 8 | 0 | CLASSIC ARCHI | 2.2% | 44.72 | 8 |
Model vs market
Each dot is a runner: model probability across, market-implied probability up. Dots on the dashed line mean the two agreed; the gold ring is the actual winner.
Ratings are statistical estimates for analysis, not betting advice — the backtest shows no profitable edge against the Hong Kong win market. How the model works →
Dividends
WIN
3 65
PLACE
2 24.5
3 21
8 13
QUINELLA
3,8 85.5
QUINELLA PLACE
2,3 90.5
2,8 48
3,8 34
FORECAST
3,8 235
TIERCE
3,8,2 1,039
TRIO
2,3,8 208
FIRST 4
2,3,7,8 267
QUARTET
3,8,2,7 6,397
All pools (1 more)
3 PICK 1
A2 24
A1 —
A3 —