Happy Valley · 2022-06-08 · 20:15
Race 4
Race 4 at Happy Valley on 2022-06-08 was Class 4 over 1800m, run on YIELDING going. LUCKY DIAMOND, ridden by L Currie and trained by K H Ting, won by SH, with SURREALISM second and KYRUS UNICORN third. The winner led throughout. The 3.3 favourite KYRUS UNICORN finished 3rd.
Result
| Pos | No. | Horse | Jockey | Trainer | Draw | Odds | Margin |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 4 | LUCKY DIAMOND Wire to wire B/TT 1.53.36 ▶ Replay (opens in new tab) L Currie · K H Ting | L Currie | K H Ting | 11 | 11.0 | SH |
| 2 | 1 | SURREALISM Closed strongly B L Ferraris · R Gibson | L Ferraris | R Gibson | 6 | 11.0 | SH |
| 3 | 2 | KYRUS UNICORN Closed strongly V-/BO1 L Hewitson · D J Hall | L Hewitson | D J Hall | 2 | 3.3 | 1/2 |
| 4 | 9 | BRIGHT KID Closed strongly B/XB M Chadwick · W Y So | M Chadwick | W Y So | 7 | 20.0 | 3/4 |
| 5 | 3 | GOLDEN SPECTRUM Closed strongly B/H/TT C Y Ho · A S Cruz | C Y Ho | A S Cruz | 4 | 7.2 | 2 |
| 6 | 11 | PASSING FASHION XB/TT A Badel · C H Yip | A Badel | C H Yip | 1 | 11.0 | 2 |
| 7 | 6 | MURRAY'S PARTNERS Closed strongly V H Bentley · C H Yip | H Bentley | C H Yip | 5 | 11.0 | 3 |
| 8 | 10 | VICTORIOUS SEEKER B C Wong · P O'Sullivan | C Wong | P O'Sullivan | 3 | 24.0 | 3-1/2 |
| 9 | 7 | CHATER PINS SR V Borges · D A Hayes | V Borges | D A Hayes | 12 | 8.9 | 3-3/4 |
| 10 | 12 | SUPERB DADDY Closed strongly TT H T Mo · Y S Tsui | H T Mo | Y S Tsui | 9 | 33.0 | 4-1/2 |
| 11 | 8 | LEGION OF MERIT B/TT M F Poon · W Y So | M F Poon | W Y So | 8 | 14.0 | 5-1/4 |
| 12 | 5 | WINNING VOLATILITY PC J Moreira · K W Lui | J Moreira | K W Lui | 10 | 7.8 | 6 |
Race shape
Model ratings
| Rank | No. | Horse | Win % | Rated price | Pos |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 5 | WINNING VOLATILITY | 17.9% | 5.57 | 12 |
| 2 | 3 | GOLDEN SPECTRUM | 13.3% | 7.52 | 5 |
| 3 | 2 | KYRUS UNICORN | 12.4% | 8.04 | 3 |
| 4 | 10 | VICTORIOUS SEEKER | 9.7% | 10.35 | 8 |
| 5 | 7 | CHATER PINS | 9.5% | 10.49 | 9 |
| 6 | 8 | LEGION OF MERIT | 8.6% | 11.63 | 11 |
| 7 | 4 | LUCKY DIAMOND | 6.2% | 16.02 | 1 |
| 8 | 11 | PASSING FASHION | 4.9% | 20.40 | 6 |
| 9 | 6 | MURRAY'S PARTNERS | 4.8% | 20.80 | 7 |
| 10 | 9 | BRIGHT KID | 4.5% | 22.21 | 4 |
| 11 | 12 | SUPERB DADDY | 4.0% | 24.73 | 10 |
| 12 | 1 | SURREALISM | 4.0% | 24.88 | 2 |
Model vs market
Each dot is a runner: model probability across, market-implied probability up. Dots on the dashed line mean the two agreed; the gold ring is the actual winner.
Ratings are statistical estimates for analysis, not betting advice — the backtest shows no profitable edge against the Hong Kong win market. How the model works →
Dividends
WIN
4 115
PLACE
1 35.5
2 14
4 41.5
QUINELLA
1,4 741
QUINELLA PLACE
1,2 90
1,4 237
2,4 82.5
FORECAST
4,1 1,380
TIERCE
4,1,2 4,938
TRIO
1,2,4 831
FIRST 4
1,2,4,9 3,841
QUARTET
4,1,2,9 103,384
All pools (2 more)
3 PICK 1
A3 21
A2 —
A1 —
3RD DOUBLE
5/1 137
5/4 865.5