Happy Valley · 2022-06-08 · 19:16
Race 2
Race 2 at Happy Valley on 2022-06-08 was Class 5 over 1650m, run on YIELDING going. CORDYCEPS ONE, ridden by R Maia and trained by K W Lui, won by 1-1/4, with NOBLE MAN second and CIRCUIT ELITE third. The winner closed strongly from off the pace. The 4.4 favourite THIS IS CHARISMA finished 9th.
Result
| Pos | No. | Horse | Jockey | Trainer | Draw | Odds | Margin |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 3 | CORDYCEPS ONE Closed strongly H/B2 1.43.23 ▶ Replay (opens in new tab) R Maia · K W Lui | R Maia | K W Lui | 11 | 19.0 | 1-1/4 |
| 2 | 9 | NOBLE MAN Closed strongly B/TT A Badel · K L Man | A Badel | K L Man | 2 | 7.0 | 1-1/4 |
| 3 | 2 | CIRCUIT ELITE Closed strongly CP/TT C Y Ho · A S Cruz | C Y Ho | A S Cruz | 1 | 7.5 | 1-3/4 |
| 4 | 7 | SMILING FACE Closed strongly SR/TT L Hewitson · D J Whyte | L Hewitson | D J Whyte | 12 | 8.0 | 1-3/4 |
| 5 | 11 | GARLIC HERO Closed strongly E/TT M F Poon · C H Yip | M F Poon | C H Yip | 6 | 21.0 | 4-1/4 |
| 6 | 10 | WONDERFUL TIGER H/TT V Borges · R Gibson | V Borges | R Gibson | 4 | 12.0 | 4-1/2 |
| 7 | 12 | SEA MONARCH H W Lai · C W Chang | H W Lai | C W Chang | 5 | 9.8 | 5 |
| 8 | 6 | MISTER ARM Led early M Chadwick · Y S Tsui | M Chadwick | Y S Tsui | 7 | 15.0 | 6-1/4 |
| 9 | 8 | THIS IS CHARISMA CP Z Purton · D J Hall | Z Purton | D J Hall | 3 | 4.4 | 7 |
| 10 | 1 | CABLE SPEED P/TT1 H T Mo · T P Yung | H T Mo | T P Yung | 10 | 51.0 | 10 |
| 11 | 4 | STRATHMORETOO B K C Leung · A T Millard | K C Leung | A T Millard | 8 | 29.0 | 10-3/4 |
| 12 | 5 | DAILY BEAUTY TT J Moreira · C Fownes | J Moreira | C Fownes | 9 | 5.4 | 11-3/4 |
Race shape
Model ratings
| Rank | No. | Horse | Win % | Rated price | Pos |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 8 | THIS IS CHARISMA | 18.0% | 5.55 | 9 |
| 2 | 7 | SMILING FACE | 16.5% | 6.06 | 4 |
| 3 | 5 | DAILY BEAUTY | 15.9% | 6.28 | 12 |
| 4 | 9 | NOBLE MAN | 9.9% | 10.15 | 2 |
| 5 | 10 | WONDERFUL TIGER | 9.3% | 10.80 | 6 |
| 6 | 2 | CIRCUIT ELITE | 8.1% | 12.29 | 3 |
| 7 | 6 | MISTER ARM | 6.0% | 16.54 | 8 |
| 8 | 3 | CORDYCEPS ONE | 5.0% | 19.84 | 1 |
| 9 | 12 | SEA MONARCH | 4.2% | 23.99 | 7 |
| 10 | 11 | GARLIC HERO | 2.7% | 37.41 | 5 |
| 11 | 1 | CABLE SPEED | 2.3% | 43.19 | 10 |
| 12 | 4 | STRATHMORETOO | 2.1% | 48.37 | 11 |
Model vs market
Each dot is a runner: model probability across, market-implied probability up. Dots on the dashed line mean the two agreed; the gold ring is the actual winner.
Ratings are statistical estimates for analysis, not betting advice — the backtest shows no profitable edge against the Hong Kong win market. How the model works →
Dividends
WIN
3 190.5
PLACE
2 25
3 56
9 27
QUINELLA
3,9 786
QUINELLA PLACE
2,3 212
2,9 92.5
3,9 255.5
FORECAST
3,9 1,964
TIERCE
3,9,2 14,734
TRIO
2,3,9 1,910
FIRST 4
2,3,7,9 3,965
QUARTET
3,9,2,7 118,491
All pools (2 more)
1ST DOUBLE
3/3 760.5
3/9 121
3 PICK 1
A1 —
A2 —
A3 20.5