Happy Valley · 2022-06-08 · 22:18
Race 8
Race 8 at Happy Valley on 2022-06-08 was Class 3 over 1200m, run on YIELDING going. BE READY, ridden by Z Purton and trained by F C Lor, won by N, with WINE AND WINE second and NICCONI COUNTY third. Victory came as the 3.4 favourite.
Result
| Pos | No. | Horse | Jockey | Trainer | Draw | Odds | Margin |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1 | BE READY V 1.11.51 ▶ Replay (opens in new tab) Z Purton · F C Lor | Z Purton | F C Lor | 5 | 3.4 | N |
| 2 | 10 | WINE AND WINE B/TT C Wong · T P Yung | C Wong | T P Yung | 1 | 9.5 | N |
| 3 | 5 | NICCONI COUNTY TT C Y Ho · C Fownes | C Y Ho | C Fownes | 11 | 21.0 | 1-1/4 |
| 4 | 2 | IGNITING B2/TT M F Poon · K W Lui | M F Poon | K W Lui | 12 | 15.0 | 2-1/2 |
| 5 | 12 | STREET SCREAM B/H/TT M Chadwick · A S Cruz | M Chadwick | A S Cruz | 10 | 8.3 | 2-3/4 |
| 6 | 9 | XPONENTIAL B/TT L Hewitson · D J Whyte | L Hewitson | D J Whyte | 9 | 10.0 | 3-1/2 |
| 7 | 11 | KAI XIN DRAGON TT A Badel · D A Hayes | A Badel | D A Hayes | 4 | 5.8 | 5-1/4 |
| 8 | 3 | SPECIAL M B/TT J Moreira · J Size | J Moreira | J Size | 8 | 12.0 | 5-1/4 |
| 9 | 7 | MAGIC PHOENIX TT C L Chau · K H Ting | C L Chau | K H Ting | 6 | 7.8 | 5-3/4 |
| 10 | 8 | MERIDIAN GENIUS R Maia · A T Millard | R Maia | A T Millard | 2 | 32.0 | 8 |
| 11 | 6 | WIND N GRASS TT K C Leung · C W Chang | K C Leung | C W Chang | 3 | 15.0 | 8-1/4 |
| 12 | 4 | FLYING BONUS P- A Hamelin · C H Yip | A Hamelin | C H Yip | 7 | 69.0 | 15-3/4 |
Race shape
Model ratings
| Rank | No. | Horse | Win % | Rated price | Pos |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1 | BE READY | 18.4% | 5.43 | 1 |
| 2 | 7 | MAGIC PHOENIX | 14.3% | 6.99 | 9 |
| 3 | 3 | SPECIAL M | 9.8% | 10.19 | 8 |
| 4 | 9 | XPONENTIAL | 8.7% | 11.46 | 6 |
| 5 | 11 | KAI XIN DRAGON | 8.4% | 11.89 | 7 |
| 6 | 12 | STREET SCREAM | 8.0% | 12.44 | 5 |
| 7 | 5 | NICCONI COUNTY | 7.0% | 14.21 | 3 |
| 8 | 10 | WINE AND WINE | 6.9% | 14.47 | 2 |
| 9 | 6 | WIND N GRASS | 6.0% | 16.71 | 11 |
| 10 | 8 | MERIDIAN GENIUS | 5.4% | 18.53 | 10 |
| 11 | 2 | IGNITING | 5.4% | 18.66 | 4 |
| 12 | 4 | FLYING BONUS | 1.6% | 61.69 | 12 |
Model vs market
Each dot is a runner: model probability across, market-implied probability up. Dots on the dashed line mean the two agreed; the gold ring is the actual winner.
Ratings are statistical estimates for analysis, not betting advice — the backtest shows no profitable edge against the Hong Kong win market. How the model works →
Dividends
WIN
1 34
PLACE
1 15
5 50
10 28
QUINELLA
1,10 204
QUINELLA PLACE
1,5 137.5
1,10 80
5,10 480.5
FORECAST
1,10 349
TIERCE
1,10,5 5,047
TRIO
1,5,10 2,059
FIRST 4
1,2,5,10 3,599
QUARTET
1,10,5,2 54,918
All pools (2 more)
3 PICK 1
A1 26
A3 —
A2 —
7TH DOUBLE
2/1 67.5
2/10 52.5