Happy Valley · 2022-06-08 · 21:16
Race 6
Race 6 at Happy Valley on 2022-06-08 was Class 4 over 1650m, run on YIELDING going. SUN OF MAKFI, ridden by J Moreira and trained by D J Hall, won by 2-3/4, with KUNGFUMASTER PANDA second and DRAGON PRIDE third. The winner closed strongly from off the pace. The 2.7 favourite DRAGON PRIDE finished 3rd.
Result
| Pos | No. | Horse | Jockey | Trainer | Draw | Odds | Margin |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 12 | SUN OF MAKFI Closed strongly XB 1.42.70 ▶ Replay (opens in new tab) J Moreira · D J Hall | J Moreira | D J Hall | 9 | 4.7 | 2-3/4 |
| 2 | 8 | KUNGFUMASTER PANDA Closed strongly B/TT V Borges · P O'Sullivan | V Borges | P O'Sullivan | 3 | 30.0 | 2-3/4 |
| 3 | 7 | DRAGON PRIDE Closed strongly Z Purton · T P Yung | Z Purton | T P Yung | 1 | 2.7 | 2-3/4 |
| 4 | 9 | METHANE Closed strongly B-/TT C Y Ho · A S Cruz | C Y Ho | A S Cruz | 10 | 17.0 | 2-3/4 |
| 5 | 6 | PERFECT TO GREAT Led early SR1/TT A Badel · C Fownes | A Badel | C Fownes | 6 | 13.0 | 3 |
| 6 | 11 | JOLLY HONOUR Closed strongly B/TT M Chadwick · Y S Tsui | M Chadwick | Y S Tsui | 8 | 15.0 | 3-1/4 |
| 7 | 10 | CHARIZARD B/TT L Ferraris · A T Millard | L Ferraris | A T Millard | 7 | 14.0 | 3-1/2 |
| 8 | 5 | REACH GOAL Closed strongly B1/TT K C Leung · R Gibson | K C Leung | R Gibson | 5 | 7.4 | 5 |
| 9 | 1 | TOYCOON B H Bentley · P F Yiu | H Bentley | P F Yiu | 4 | 7.2 | 5-1/2 |
| 10 | 3 | MAXIMIZE HEART C Wong · C H Yip | C Wong | C H Yip | 2 | 30.0 | 9-3/4 |
| 11 | 2 | GOLD COMET B R Maia · K H Ting | R Maia | K H Ting | 11 | 41.0 | 19-1/2 |
| — | 4 | BIG TWO L Hewitson · D J Whyte | L Hewitson | D J Whyte | — | — | — |
Race shape
Model ratings
| Rank | No. | Horse | Win % | Rated price | Pos |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 12 | SUN OF MAKFI | 24.0% | 4.17 | 1 |
| 2 | 7 | DRAGON PRIDE | 19.0% | 5.26 | 3 |
| 3 | 6 | PERFECT TO GREAT | 10.3% | 9.67 | 5 |
| 4 | 1 | TOYCOON | 10.1% | 9.92 | 9 |
| 5 | 5 | REACH GOAL | 9.4% | 10.69 | 8 |
| 6 | 8 | KUNGFUMASTER PANDA | 7.2% | 13.91 | 2 |
| 7 | 11 | JOLLY HONOUR | 5.2% | 19.20 | 6 |
| 8 | 3 | MAXIMIZE HEART | 4.7% | 21.14 | 10 |
| 9 | 9 | METHANE | 4.5% | 22.24 | 4 |
| 10 | 10 | CHARIZARD | 2.8% | 35.10 | 7 |
| 11 | 2 | GOLD COMET | 2.8% | 35.98 | 11 |
Model vs market
Each dot is a runner: model probability across, market-implied probability up. Dots on the dashed line mean the two agreed; the gold ring is the actual winner.
Ratings are statistical estimates for analysis, not betting advice — the backtest shows no profitable edge against the Hong Kong win market. How the model works →
Dividends
WIN
12 47
PLACE
7 12.5
8 69.5
12 17.5
QUINELLA
8,12 776
QUINELLA PLACE
7,8 128.5
7,12 28
8,12 221
FORECAST
12,8 1,100
TIERCE
12,8,7 4,045
TRIO
7,8,12 530
FIRST 4
7,8,9,12 1,844
QUARTET
12,8,7,9 55,432
All pools (2 more)
3 PICK 1
A1 —
A3 —
A2 23.5
5TH DOUBLE
1/8 158
1/12 339.5