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Happy Valley · 2022-06-08 · 21:16

Race 6

Class 4 YIELDING 1650m Course A 11 runners

Result

Official · 1.42.70
Pos No. Horse Draw Odds Margin
1 0 SUN OF MAKFI Closed strongly XB 1.42.70 ▶ Replay (opens in new tab) J Moreira · D J Hall 9 4.7 2-3/4
2 0 KUNGFUMASTER PANDA Closed strongly B/TT V Borges · P O'Sullivan 3 30.0 2-3/4
3 0 DRAGON PRIDE Closed strongly Z Purton · T P Yung 1 2.7 2-3/4
4 0 METHANE Closed strongly B-/TT C Y Ho · A S Cruz 10 17.0 2-3/4
5 0 PERFECT TO GREAT Led early SR1/TT A Badel · C Fownes 6 13.0 3
6 0 JOLLY HONOUR Closed strongly B/TT M Chadwick · Y S Tsui 8 15.0 3-1/4
7 0 CHARIZARD B/TT L Ferraris · A T Millard 7 14.0 3-1/2
8 0 REACH GOAL Closed strongly B1/TT K C Leung · R Gibson 5 7.4 5
9 0 TOYCOON B H Bentley · P F Yiu 4 7.2 5-1/2
10 0 MAXIMIZE HEART C Wong · C H Yip 2 30.0 9-3/4
11 0 GOLD COMET B R Maia · K H Ting 11 41.0 19-1/2
— 0 BIG TWO L Hewitson · D J Whyte — — —

This site does not show odds as they change: the odds here are final prices after a race, or overnight prices before it.

Race 6 at Happy Valley on 2022-06-08 was Class 4 over 1650m, run on YIELDING going. SUN OF MAKFI, ridden by J Moreira and trained by D J Hall, won by 2-3/4, with KUNGFUMASTER PANDA second and DRAGON PRIDE third. The winner closed strongly from off the pace. The 2.7 favourite DRAGON PRIDE finished 3rd.

Race shape

Beaten lengths
1. SUN OF MAKFI—2. KUNGFUMASTER PANDA+2.75L3. DRAGON PRIDE+2.75L4. METHANE+2.75L5. PERFECT TO GREAT+3L6. JOLLY HONOUR+3.25L7. CHARIZARD+3.5L8. REACH GOAL+5L9. TOYCOON+5.5L10. MAXIMIZE HEART+9.75L

Model ratings

Backtest · wf-2021-22
The model's top pick SUN OF MAKFI (24.0%) won this race. Out-of-sample backtest: this board was produced by a model trained only on seasons before this race — it never saw this result.
Rank No. Horse Win % Rated price Pos
1 0 SUN OF MAKFI 24.0% 4.17 1
2 0 DRAGON PRIDE 19.0% 5.26 3
3 0 PERFECT TO GREAT 10.3% 9.67 5
4 0 TOYCOON 10.1% 9.92 9
5 0 REACH GOAL 9.4% 10.69 8
6 0 KUNGFUMASTER PANDA 7.2% 13.91 2
7 0 JOLLY HONOUR 5.2% 19.20 6
8 0 MAXIMIZE HEART 4.7% 21.14 10
9 0 METHANE 4.5% 22.24 4
10 0 CHARIZARD 2.8% 35.10 7
11 0 GOLD COMET 2.8% 35.98 11
SUN OF MAKFI — wonDRAGON PRIDEPERFECT TO GREATTOYCOONREACH GOALKUNGFUMASTER PANDAJOLLY HONOURMAXIMIZE HEARTMETHANECHARIZARDGOLD COMET

Model vs market

Each dot is a runner: model probability across, market-implied probability up. Dots on the dashed line mean the two agreed; the gold ring is the actual winner.

Ratings are statistical estimates for analysis, not betting advice — the backtest shows no profitable edge against the Hong Kong win market. How the model works →

Dividends

Per $10 unit

WIN

12 47

PLACE

7 12.5

8 69.5

12 17.5

QUINELLA

8,12 776

QUINELLA PLACE

7,8 128.5

7,12 28

8,12 221

FORECAST

12,8 1,100

TIERCE

12,8,7 4,045

TRIO

7,8,12 530

FIRST 4

7,8,9,12 1,844

QUARTET

12,8,7,9 55,432

All pools (2 more)

3 PICK 1

A1 —

A3 —

A2 23.5

5TH DOUBLE

1/8 158

1/12 339.5