Happy Valley · 2022-06-08 · 20:46
Race 5
Result
| Pos | No. | Horse | Jockey | Trainer | Draw | Odds | Margin |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 0 | STOICISM CP-/B1/TT 1.11.48 ▶ Replay (opens in new tab) L Ferraris · R Gibson | L Ferraris | R Gibson | 1 | 6.1 | SH |
| 3 | 0 | HARDLY SWEARS C Y Ho · K H Ting | C Y Ho | K H Ting | 2 | 6.5 | 1 |
| 4 | 0 | HARRIER JET B M Chadwick · P O'Sullivan | M Chadwick | P O'Sullivan | 3 | 5.6 | 1-1/2 |
| 5 | 0 | ISLAND SURPRISE TT A Badel · K L Man | A Badel | K L Man | 11 | 9.2 | 1-3/4 |
| 6 | 0 | HAPPY LAND XB-/TT C L Chau · T P Yung | C L Chau | T P Yung | 7 | 18.0 | 2 |
| 7 | 0 | SHINING FORTUNE H Z Purton · J Size | Z Purton | J Size | 8 | 6.7 | 4-1/4 |
| 8 | 0 | OVERSUBSCRIBED XB K C Leung · D J Hall | K C Leung | D J Hall | 12 | 28.0 | 6 |
| 9 | 0 | JAZZ STEED V/TT M F Poon · C Fownes | M F Poon | C Fownes | 6 | 17.0 | 6-1/2 |
| 10 | 0 | GLORIFIED FIRE B- R Maia · C H Yip | R Maia | C H Yip | 9 | 26.0 | 7 |
| 11 | 0 | OCTOCONNECT B1 H W Lai · Y S Tsui | H W Lai | Y S Tsui | 5 | 68.0 | 8-3/4 |
| 12 | 0 | BIRDSVILLE B-/SR1/TT L Currie · D A Hayes | L Currie | D A Hayes | 10 | 24.0 | 9-1/2 |
| — | 0 | LESLIE B J Moreira · P F Yiu | J Moreira | P F Yiu | — | 4.5 | SH |
This site does not show odds as they change: the odds here are final prices after a race, or overnight prices before it.
Race 5 at Happy Valley on 2022-06-08 was Class 4 over 1200m, run on YIELDING going. STOICISM, ridden by L Ferraris and trained by R Gibson, won by SH, with HARDLY SWEARS second and HARRIER JET third. The 4.5 favourite LESLIE did not finish.
Race shape
Model ratings
| Rank | No. | Horse | Win % | Rated price | Pos |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 0 | LESLIE | 18.9% | 5.29 | — |
| 2 | 0 | STOICISM | 15.5% | 6.45 | 1 |
| 3 | 0 | SHINING FORTUNE | 13.3% | 7.52 | 7 |
| 4 | 0 | HARRIER JET | 8.7% | 11.52 | 4 |
| 5 | 0 | HARDLY SWEARS | 8.2% | 12.20 | 3 |
| 6 | 0 | JAZZ STEED | 7.6% | 13.15 | 9 |
| 7 | 0 | ISLAND SURPRISE | 6.2% | 16.24 | 5 |
| 8 | 0 | HAPPY LAND | 5.8% | 17.14 | 6 |
| 9 | 0 | BIRDSVILLE | 5.1% | 19.63 | 12 |
| 10 | 0 | GLORIFIED FIRE | 4.5% | 22.11 | 10 |
| 11 | 0 | OVERSUBSCRIBED | 4.2% | 23.93 | 8 |
| 12 | 0 | OCTOCONNECT | 2.0% | 49.23 | 11 |
Model vs market
Each dot is a runner: model probability across, market-implied probability up. Dots on the dashed line mean the two agreed; the gold ring is the actual winner.
Ratings are statistical estimates for analysis, not betting advice — the backtest shows no profitable edge against the Hong Kong win market. How the model works →
Dividends
WIN
1 61.5
PLACE
1 20.5
2 18.5
4 20.5
QUINELLA
1,2 136
QUINELLA PLACE
1,2 48.5
1,4 55
2,4 53.5
FORECAST
1,2 307
TIERCE
1,2,4 1,073
TRIO
1,2,4 166
FIRST 4
1,2,4,11 204
QUARTET
1,2,4,11 5,030
All pools (3 more)
1ST DOUBLE TRIO
1,2,4/1,2,4 8,285
3 PICK 1
A2 —
A1 26
A3 —
4TH DOUBLE
4/1 906
4/2 130.5