沙田 · 2022-06-25 · 17:48
第 10場
2022-06-25沙田第10場，Class 3，途程1400米，跑道評為GOOD TO FIRM。由M Chadwick策騎、P F Yiu訓練的VOYAGE BUBBLE勝出，贏出1-1/4。MALDIVES獲得亞軍；GALLANT CROWN獲得季軍。頭馬後上力強。5.2倍大熱門READY TO WIN跑獲第8名。
賽果
| 名次 | No. | 馬名 | 騎師 | 練馬師 | 檔位 | 獨贏賠率 | 馬距 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 11 | VOYAGE BUBBLE 後段發力 1.21.78 ▶ 重播 （在新分頁開啟） M Chadwick · P F Yiu | M Chadwick | P F Yiu | 13 | 5.5 | 1-1/4 |
| 2 | 1 | MALDIVES 後段發力 XB B Shinn · D J Hall | B Shinn | D J Hall | 4 | 5.7 | 1-1/4 |
| 3 | 8 | GALLANT CROWN 後段發力 B/TT R Maia · A T Millard | R Maia | A T Millard | 2 | 51.0 | 2-1/4 |
| 4 | 12 | RED TITAN 後段發力 E-/H1/TT A Badel · J Size | A Badel | J Size | 14 | 9.8 | 3 |
| 5 | 9 | FAULDS 後段發力 XB/TT K Teetan · C H Yip | K Teetan | C H Yip | 7 | 6.6 | 3-3/4 |
| 6 | 4 | PRIVATE ROCKET B/XB L Hewitson · D J Whyte | L Hewitson | D J Whyte | 1 | 6.8 | 3-3/4 |
| 7 | 5 | TEMPEST EXPRESS 後段發力 E/TT A Hamelin · J Size | A Hamelin | J Size | 5 | 25.0 | 4-1/2 |
| 8 | 6 | READY TO WIN 後段發力 CP/XB/TT Z Purton · F C Lor | Z Purton | F C Lor | 8 | 5.2 | 5-1/4 |
| 9 | 3 | RUNNING AHEAD B1 K C Leung · T P Yung | K C Leung | T P Yung | 3 | 22.0 | 6 |
| 10 | 14 | COMMANDING MISSILE 後段發力 B/H1 L Ferraris · K W Lui | L Ferraris | K W Lui | 11 | 172.0 | 7 |
| 11 | 10 | KINDA COOL B/TT1 C Y Ho · A S Cruz | C Y Ho | A S Cruz | 6 | 26.0 | 7-1/4 |
| 12 | 13 | COMING PATCH 後段發力 B-/H/V1 C L Chau · K H Ting | C L Chau | K H Ting | 10 | 106.0 | 9-1/2 |
| 13 | 2 | IGNITING B/TT M F Poon · K W Lui | M F Poon | K W Lui | 9 | 15.0 | 10-1/4 |
| 14 | 7 | EIGHT TRIGRAMS 早段領放 B/TT H T Mo · D J Hall | H T Mo | D J Hall | 12 | 21.0 | 10-1/2 |
賽果形勢
模型評分
| 排名 | No. | 馬名 | 勝出概率 | 評估賠率 | 名次 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 11 | VOYAGE BUBBLE | 22.3% | 4.49 | 1 |
| 2 | 6 | READY TO WIN | 16.1% | 6.21 | 8 |
| 3 | 4 | PRIVATE ROCKET | 12.6% | 7.94 | 6 |
| 4 | 9 | FAULDS | 9.7% | 10.26 | 5 |
| 5 | 1 | MALDIVES | 7.5% | 13.35 | 2 |
| 6 | 12 | RED TITAN | 6.7% | 14.83 | 4 |
| 7 | 7 | EIGHT TRIGRAMS | 6.4% | 15.72 | 14 |
| 8 | 3 | RUNNING AHEAD | 4.5% | 22.31 | 9 |
| 9 | 2 | IGNITING | 4.1% | 24.42 | 13 |
| 10 | 10 | KINDA COOL | 3.9% | 25.72 | 11 |
| 11 | 5 | TEMPEST EXPRESS | 2.3% | 43.95 | 7 |
| 12 | 8 | GALLANT CROWN | 1.9% | 52.68 | 3 |
| 13 | 13 | COMING PATCH | 1.4% | 69.66 | 12 |
| 14 | 14 | COMMANDING MISSILE | 0.6% | 164.84 | 10 |
模型對市場
每點代表一匹馬：橫軸為模型概率，縱軸為市場隱含概率。點落在虛線上代表兩者一致；金圈為實際頭馬。
評分僅為統計分析估算，並非投注建議——回測顯示模型對香港獨贏市場並無盈利優勢。 模型原理 →
派彩
WIN
11 55.5
PLACE
1 19.5
8 116
11 23.5
QUINELLA
1,11 218.5
QUINELLA PLACE
1,8 408.5
1,11 80
8,11 561
FORECAST
11,1 414
TIERCE
11,1,8 12,090
TRIO
1,8,11 2,885
FIRST 4
1,8,11,12 8,910
QUARTET
11,1,8,12 126,813
全部彩池（另 5 項）
3 PICK 1
A3 —
A1 —
A2 22
3RD DOUBLE TRIO
3,8,11/1,8,11 821,057
9TH DOUBLE
3/1 181
3/11 1,233
SIX UP
8,14/3,8/1,2/1,4/3,11/1,11 238,846
1 [Z Purton] —
TREBLE
4/3/1 951
4/3/11 6,225