沙田 · 2022-06-25 · 13:01
第 1場
2022-06-25沙田第1場，Class 5，途程1200米，跑道評為GOOD TO FIRM。由M Chadwick策騎、C W Chang訓練的GOLDEN MISSION勝出，贏出3/4。MOON PEAKS獲得亞軍；STAR OF RED獲得季軍。4.6倍大熱門IRON KING跑獲第6名。
賽果
| 名次 | No. | 馬名 | 騎師 | 練馬師 | 檔位 | 獨贏賠率 | 馬距 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 13 | GOLDEN MISSION B/TT2 1.09.55 ▶ 重播 （在新分頁開啟） M Chadwick · C W Chang | M Chadwick | C W Chang | 7 | 7.7 | 3/4 |
| 2 | 10 | MOON PEAKS H-/B H W Lai · Y S Tsui | H W Lai | Y S Tsui | 6 | 8.2 | 3/4 |
| 3 | 11 | STAR OF RED B/TT H Bentley · T P Yung | H Bentley | T P Yung | 8 | 21.0 | 1-1/4 |
| 4 | 12 | FORTUNE HAPPINESS B R Maia · K W Lui | R Maia | K W Lui | 5 | 24.0 | 1-1/4 |
| 5 | 6 | ERNEST FEELING B/TT K C Leung · R Gibson | K C Leung | R Gibson | 1 | 5.0 | 2-3/4 |
| 6 | 2 | IRON KING TT2 Z Purton · C H Yip | Z Purton | C H Yip | 4 | 4.6 | 4-3/4 |
| 7 | 7 | ALLOY KING CP A Hamelin · K H Ting | A Hamelin | K H Ting | 3 | 13.0 | 5-1/4 |
| 8 | 4 | CIRCUIT SPIRITANTO M F Poon · K L Man | M F Poon | K L Man | 13 | 61.0 | 5-1/2 |
| 9 | 14 | SUPER FLAMES V1/TT H T Mo · L Ho | H T Mo | L Ho | 2 | 41.0 | 5-3/4 |
| 10 | 8 | TUNG HAYE HAYE B/XB/TT C Wong · C S Shum | C Wong | C S Shum | 11 | 111.0 | 6-1/4 |
| 11 | 3 | MELBOURNE HALL H/XB A Badel · D J Hall | A Badel | D J Hall | 12 | 12.0 | 6-3/4 |
| 12 | 1 | WHISKEY NEAT TT K H Chan · C Fownes | K H Chan | C Fownes | 10 | 12.0 | 7-1/4 |
| 13 | 9 | WITTY SCHOLAR B1 C L Chau · W Y So | C L Chau | W Y So | 9 | 24.0 | 10 |
| 14 | 5 | SALUTATION SR/TT K Teetan · J Size | K Teetan | J Size | 14 | 8.2 | 10-1/4 |
| — | 0 | SUNNY BABY B Shinn · D A Hayes | B Shinn | D A Hayes | — | — | — |
賽果形勢
模型評分
| 排名 | No. | 馬名 | 勝出概率 | 評估賠率 | 名次 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 6 | ERNEST FEELING | 21.4% | 4.68 | 5 |
| 2 | 5 | SALUTATION | 14.9% | 6.70 | 14 |
| 3 | 2 | IRON KING | 9.1% | 11.02 | 6 |
| 4 | 3 | MELBOURNE HALL | 8.2% | 12.20 | 11 |
| 5 | 7 | ALLOY KING | 7.8% | 12.81 | 7 |
| 6 | 13 | GOLDEN MISSION | 6.2% | 16.13 | 1 |
| 7 | 11 | STAR OF RED | 6.1% | 16.41 | 3 |
| 8 | 12 | FORTUNE HAPPINESS | 6.0% | 16.64 | 4 |
| 9 | 1 | WHISKEY NEAT | 5.9% | 17.05 | 12 |
| 10 | 9 | WITTY SCHOLAR | 3.5% | 28.27 | 13 |
| 11 | 4 | CIRCUIT SPIRITANTO | 3.4% | 29.05 | 8 |
| 12 | 10 | MOON PEAKS | 3.3% | 30.46 | 2 |
| 13 | 14 | SUPER FLAMES | 2.8% | 35.54 | 9 |
| 14 | 8 | TUNG HAYE HAYE | 1.4% | 72.84 | 10 |
模型對市場
每點代表一匹馬：橫軸為模型概率，縱軸為市場隱含概率。點落在虛線上代表兩者一致；金圈為實際頭馬。
評分僅為統計分析估算，並非投注建議——回測顯示模型對香港獨贏市場並無盈利優勢。 模型原理 →
派彩
WIN
13 77.5
PLACE
10 26
11 58
13 29
QUINELLA
10,13 240.5
QUINELLA PLACE
10,11 255
10,13 85.5
11,13 284
FORECAST
13,10 559
TIERCE
13,10,11 8,514
TRIO
10,11,13 2,073
FIRST 4
10,11,12,13 8,224
QUARTET
13,10,11,12 137,728
全部彩池（另 1 項）
3 PICK 1
A3 —
A2 24.5
A1 —