沙田 · 2022-06-25 · 15:03
第 5場
2022-06-25沙田第5場，Class 4，途程1800米，跑道評為GOOD TO FIRM。由R Maia策騎、C H Yip訓練的CORDYCEPS TWO勝出，贏出N。SUPER HONG KONG獲得亞軍；CHATER PINS獲得季軍。頭馬後上力強。2.7倍大熱門RIGHT AS RAIN跑獲第8名。
賽果
| 名次 | No. | 馬名 | 騎師 | 練馬師 | 檔位 | 獨贏賠率 | 馬距 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 14 | CORDYCEPS TWO 後段發力 XB1 1.48.55 ▶ 重播 （在新分頁開啟） R Maia · C H Yip | R Maia | C H Yip | 2 | 14.0 | N |
| 2 | 8 | SUPER HONG KONG 後段發力 B/TT A Hamelin · A T Millard | A Hamelin | A T Millard | 5 | 33.0 | N |
| 3 | 13 | CHATER PINS 後段發力 SR M Chadwick · D A Hayes | M Chadwick | D A Hayes | 11 | 32.0 | 3/4 |
| 4 | 10 | LUCKY MISSILE 早段領放 CP L Ferraris · D J Hall | L Ferraris | D J Hall | 7 | 19.0 | 3/4 |
| 5 | 7 | PAKISTAN FRIEND 後段發力 TT A Badel · W Y So | A Badel | W Y So | 6 | 8.2 | 1-1/2 |
| 6 | 1 | BORN THE SAME DAY 後段發力 H/TT1 C L Chau · K W Lui | C L Chau | K W Lui | 3 | 20.0 | 2 |
| 6 | 4 | SHANGHAI DRAGON B M F Poon · T P Yung | M F Poon | T P Yung | 10 | 20.0 | 2 |
| 8 | 5 | RIGHT AS RAIN 後段發力 CP Z Purton · C W Chang | Z Purton | C W Chang | 4 | 2.7 | 3 |
| 9 | 2 | SMILING TIME 後段發力 V/TT B Shinn · K H Ting | B Shinn | K H Ting | 9 | 15.0 | 4 |
| 10 | 11 | VUKAN B/XB C Y Ho · P O'Sullivan | C Y Ho | P O'Sullivan | 14 | 8.5 | 4-1/4 |
| 11 | 3 | CHEERY B K C Leung · P F Yiu | K C Leung | P F Yiu | 12 | 7.9 | 5-1/4 |
| 12 | 6 | RED ELYSEES B/TT H Bentley · K L Man | H Bentley | K L Man | 13 | 39.0 | 7-1/4 |
| 13 | 9 | JOYFUL HEART CP/TT K Teetan · F C Lor | K Teetan | F C Lor | 1 | 10.0 | 9-3/4 |
| 14 | 12 | DAILY CHARM B/TT L Hewitson · C S Shum | L Hewitson | C S Shum | 8 | 49.0 | 11-1/4 |
賽果形勢
模型評分
| 排名 | No. | 馬名 | 勝出概率 | 評估賠率 | 名次 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 5 | RIGHT AS RAIN | 26.2% | 3.82 | 8 |
| 2 | 9 | JOYFUL HEART | 10.6% | 9.42 | 13 |
| 3 | 3 | CHEERY | 9.9% | 10.08 | 11 |
| 4 | 10 | LUCKY MISSILE | 6.0% | 16.60 | 4 |
| 5 | 13 | CHATER PINS | 5.5% | 18.04 | 3 |
| 6 | 6 | RED ELYSEES | 5.4% | 18.42 | 12 |
| 7 | 7 | PAKISTAN FRIEND | 5.4% | 18.47 | 5 |
| 8 | 8 | SUPER HONG KONG | 5.3% | 18.88 | 2 |
| 9 | 11 | VUKAN | 5.1% | 19.63 | 10 |
| 10 | 1 | BORN THE SAME DAY | 4.8% | 20.72 | 6 |
| 11 | 12 | DAILY CHARM | 4.6% | 21.78 | 14 |
| 12 | 4 | SHANGHAI DRAGON | 3.9% | 25.51 | 6 |
| 13 | 2 | SMILING TIME | 3.9% | 25.71 | 9 |
| 14 | 14 | CORDYCEPS TWO | 3.2% | 30.79 | 1 |
模型對市場
每點代表一匹馬：橫軸為模型概率，縱軸為市場隱含概率。點落在虛線上代表兩者一致；金圈為實際頭馬。
評分僅為統計分析估算，並非投注建議——回測顯示模型對香港獨贏市場並無盈利優勢。 模型原理 →
派彩
WIN
14 149.5
PLACE
8 81
13 84.5
14 50.5
QUINELLA
8,14 2,016.5
QUINELLA PLACE
8,13 933
8,14 590
13,14 558.5
FORECAST
14,8 4,992
TIERCE
14,8,13 63,094
TRIO
8,13,14 12,449
FIRST 4
8,10,13,14 37,934
QUARTET
14,8,13,10 1,064,374
全部彩池（另 2 項）
3 PICK 1
A2 —
A1 —
A3 19.5
4TH DOUBLE
11/8 1,441
11/14 7,529