沙田 · 2022-06-25 · 15:36
第 6場
2022-06-25沙田第6場，Class 4，途程1400米，跑道評為GOOD TO FIRM。由K C Leung策騎、K L Man訓練的INDIGENOUS REALM勝出，贏出1/2。GOOD NEWS獲得亞軍；HAPPY DAILY獲得季軍。頭馬後上力強。4.8倍大熱門HAPPY DAILY跑獲第3名。
賽果
| 名次 | No. | 馬名 | 騎師 | 練馬師 | 檔位 | 獨贏賠率 | 馬距 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 8 | INDIGENOUS REALM 後段發力 H/TT 1.22.13 ▶ 重播 （在新分頁開啟） K C Leung · K L Man | K C Leung | K L Man | 5 | 12.0 | 1/2 |
| 2 | 3 | GOOD NEWS V-/B1/TT M F Poon · W Y So | M F Poon | W Y So | 1 | 13.0 | 1/2 |
| 3 | 2 | HAPPY DAILY 後段發力 TT C L Chau · L Ho | C L Chau | L Ho | 3 | 4.8 | 3/4 |
| 4 | 7 | GALLANT HERO 後段發力 CP-/TT1 L Ferraris · D J Hall | L Ferraris | D J Hall | 12 | 29.0 | 1-1/2 |
| 5 | 10 | STAR CONTACT B/TT M Chadwick · D A Hayes | M Chadwick | D A Hayes | 4 | 9.7 | 2 |
| 6 | 11 | SUPER HIGHWAY 早段領放 CP-/B1/H1/TT K Teetan · F C Lor | K Teetan | F C Lor | 2 | 5.3 | 2-1/4 |
| 7 | 4 | GANG OF BROTHERS B Z Purton · P O'Sullivan | Z Purton | P O'Sullivan | 9 | 5.7 | 3-3/4 |
| 8 | 13 | GET THE MONIES 後段發力 C Y Ho · K W Lui | C Y Ho | K W Lui | 14 | 47.0 | 4 |
| 9 | 5 | FIERY DIAMOND H Bentley · T P Yung | H Bentley | T P Yung | 8 | 8.2 | 4-1/2 |
| 10 | 9 | CONCERTO 後段發力 B/TT L Hewitson · K H Ting | L Hewitson | K H Ting | 11 | 164.0 | 7 |
| 11 | 14 | POLARIS WINNER CP A Hamelin · A T Millard | A Hamelin | A T Millard | 10 | 83.0 | 7-1/2 |
| 12 | 1 | PROSECCO A Badel · W Y So | A Badel | W Y So | 7 | 7.1 | 7-1/2 |
| 13 | 6 | PROTOSS SPIRIT TT1 B Shinn · C Fownes | B Shinn | C Fownes | 6 | 25.0 | 8 |
| 14 | 12 | ALL IS READY B-/XB- R Maia · P F Yiu | R Maia | P F Yiu | 13 | 73.0 | 13-1/2 |
賽果形勢
模型評分
| 排名 | No. | 馬名 | 勝出概率 | 評估賠率 | 名次 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 4 | GANG OF BROTHERS | 21.4% | 4.67 | 7 |
| 2 | 11 | SUPER HIGHWAY | 14.9% | 6.71 | 6 |
| 3 | 5 | FIERY DIAMOND | 10.9% | 9.13 | 9 |
| 4 | 1 | PROSECCO | 9.8% | 10.18 | 12 |
| 5 | 2 | HAPPY DAILY | 8.4% | 11.89 | 3 |
| 6 | 10 | STAR CONTACT | 7.4% | 13.56 | 5 |
| 7 | 6 | PROTOSS SPIRIT | 5.9% | 17.05 | 13 |
| 8 | 8 | INDIGENOUS REALM | 4.9% | 20.25 | 1 |
| 9 | 3 | GOOD NEWS | 4.7% | 21.09 | 2 |
| 10 | 7 | GALLANT HERO | 3.8% | 26.42 | 4 |
| 11 | 13 | GET THE MONIES | 3.1% | 32.40 | 8 |
| 12 | 12 | ALL IS READY | 2.9% | 34.58 | 14 |
| 13 | 14 | POLARIS WINNER | 1.3% | 77.45 | 11 |
| 14 | 9 | CONCERTO | 0.6% | 181.49 | 10 |
模型對市場
每點代表一匹馬：橫軸為模型概率，縱軸為市場隱含概率。點落在虛線上代表兩者一致；金圈為實際頭馬。
評分僅為統計分析估算，並非投注建議——回測顯示模型對香港獨贏市場並無盈利優勢。 模型原理 →
派彩
WIN
8 124.5
PLACE
2 16.5
3 39.5
8 37
QUINELLA
3,8 982
QUINELLA PLACE
2,3 113.5
2,8 115.5
3,8 280
FORECAST
8,3 2,247
TIERCE
8,3,2 12,058
TRIO
2,3,8 2,104
FIRST 4
2,3,7,8 6,906
QUARTET
8,3,2,7 161,058
全部彩池（另 3 項）
3 PICK 1
A2 25.5
A1 —
A3 —
5TH DOUBLE
14/3 726.5
14/8 1,522.5
TRIPLE TRIO (CONSOLATION)
4,11,12/Any Combination/Any Combination 1,882