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Sha Tin · 2022-06-25 · 15:36

Race 6

Class 4 GOOD TO FIRM 1400m Course B 14 runners

Result

Official · 1.22.13
Pos No. Horse Draw Odds Margin
1 0 INDIGENOUS REALM Closed strongly H/TT 1.22.13 ▶ Replay (opens in new tab) K C Leung · K L Man 5 12.0 1/2
2 0 GOOD NEWS V-/B1/TT M F Poon · W Y So 1 13.0 1/2
3 0 HAPPY DAILY Closed strongly TT C L Chau · L Ho 3 4.8 3/4
4 0 GALLANT HERO Closed strongly CP-/TT1 L Ferraris · D J Hall 12 29.0 1-1/2
5 0 STAR CONTACT B/TT M Chadwick · D A Hayes 4 9.7 2
6 0 SUPER HIGHWAY Led early CP-/B1/H1/TT K Teetan · F C Lor 2 5.3 2-1/4
7 0 GANG OF BROTHERS B Z Purton · P O'Sullivan 9 5.7 3-3/4
8 0 GET THE MONIES Closed strongly C Y Ho · K W Lui 14 47.0 4
9 0 FIERY DIAMOND H Bentley · T P Yung 8 8.2 4-1/2
10 0 CONCERTO Closed strongly B/TT L Hewitson · K H Ting 11 164.0 7
11 0 POLARIS WINNER CP A Hamelin · A T Millard 10 83.0 7-1/2
12 0 PROSECCO A Badel · W Y So 7 7.1 7-1/2
13 0 PROTOSS SPIRIT TT1 B Shinn · C Fownes 6 25.0 8
14 0 ALL IS READY B-/XB- R Maia · P F Yiu 13 73.0 13-1/2

This site does not show odds as they change: the odds here are final prices after a race, or overnight prices before it.

Race 6 at Sha Tin on 2022-06-25 was Class 4 over 1400m, run on GOOD TO FIRM going. INDIGENOUS REALM, ridden by K C Leung and trained by K L Man, won by 1/2, with GOOD NEWS second and HAPPY DAILY third. The winner closed strongly from off the pace. The 4.8 favourite HAPPY DAILY finished 3rd.

Race shape

Beaten lengths
1. INDIGENOUS REALM—2. GOOD NEWS+0.5L3. HAPPY DAILY+0.75L4. GALLANT HERO+1.5L5. STAR CONTACT+2L6. SUPER HIGHWAY+2.25L7. GANG OF BROTHERS+3.75L8. GET THE MONIES+4L9. FIERY DIAMOND+4.5L10. CONCERTO+7L

Model ratings

Backtest · wf-2021-22
The model's top pick GANG OF BROTHERS (21.4%) finished 7th — the winner INDIGENOUS REALM was rated #8. Out-of-sample backtest: this board was produced by a model trained only on seasons before this race — it never saw this result.
Rank No. Horse Win % Rated price Pos
1 0 GANG OF BROTHERS 21.4% 4.67 7
2 0 SUPER HIGHWAY 14.9% 6.71 6
3 0 FIERY DIAMOND 10.9% 9.13 9
4 0 PROSECCO 9.8% 10.18 12
5 0 HAPPY DAILY 8.4% 11.89 3
6 0 STAR CONTACT 7.4% 13.56 5
7 0 PROTOSS SPIRIT 5.9% 17.05 13
8 0 INDIGENOUS REALM 4.9% 20.25 1
9 0 GOOD NEWS 4.7% 21.09 2
10 0 GALLANT HERO 3.8% 26.42 4
11 0 GET THE MONIES 3.1% 32.40 8
12 0 ALL IS READY 2.9% 34.58 14
13 0 POLARIS WINNER 1.3% 77.45 11
14 0 CONCERTO 0.6% 181.49 10
GANG OF BROTHERSSUPER HIGHWAYFIERY DIAMONDPROSECCOHAPPY DAILYSTAR CONTACTPROTOSS SPIRITINDIGENOUS REALM — wonGOOD NEWSGALLANT HEROGET THE MONIESALL IS READYPOLARIS WINNERCONCERTO

Model vs market

Each dot is a runner: model probability across, market-implied probability up. Dots on the dashed line mean the two agreed; the gold ring is the actual winner.

Ratings are statistical estimates for analysis, not betting advice — the backtest shows no profitable edge against the Hong Kong win market. How the model works →

Dividends

Per $10 unit

WIN

8 124.5

PLACE

2 16.5

3 39.5

8 37

QUINELLA

3,8 982

QUINELLA PLACE

2,3 113.5

2,8 115.5

3,8 280

FORECAST

8,3 2,247

TIERCE

8,3,2 12,058

TRIO

2,3,8 2,104

FIRST 4

2,3,7,8 6,906

QUARTET

8,3,2,7 161,058

All pools (3 more)

3 PICK 1

A2 25.5

A1 —

A3 —

5TH DOUBLE

14/3 726.5

14/8 1,522.5

TRIPLE TRIO (CONSOLATION)

4,11,12/Any Combination/Any Combination 1,882