Sha Tin · 2022-06-25 · 16:38
Race 8
Race 8 at Sha Tin on 2022-06-25 was Class 3 over 1650m, run on GOOD (AWT) going. SO WE JOY, ridden by C Y Ho and trained by C W Chang, won by HD, with APACHE PASS second and CHANCHENG PRINCE third. The winner closed strongly from off the pace. The 4.8 favourite AMAZING TEENS finished 6th.
Result
| Pos | No. | Horse | Jockey | Trainer | Draw | Odds | Margin |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 4 | SO WE JOY Closed strongly H/XB/TT 1.38.04 ▶ Replay (opens in new tab) C Y Ho · C W Chang | C Y Ho | C W Chang | 6 | 9.2 | HD |
| 2 | 1 | APACHE PASS Closed strongly BO/XB K C Leung · P O'Sullivan | K C Leung | P O'Sullivan | 2 | 5.5 | HD |
| 3 | 3 | CHANCHENG PRINCE XB/TT R Maia · K W Lui | R Maia | K W Lui | 8 | 21.0 | 3/4 |
| 4 | 12 | HANDSOME TWELVE Closed strongly M Chadwick · T P Yung | M Chadwick | T P Yung | 7 | 6.2 | 2 |
| 5 | 8 | TRUE LEGEND B K Teetan · F C Lor | K Teetan | F C Lor | 9 | 8.9 | 2-1/2 |
| 6 | 10 | AMAZING TEENS H/P/TT A Badel · J Size | A Badel | J Size | 3 | 4.8 | 2-1/2 |
| 7 | 7 | DECRYPT Closed strongly TT B Shinn · D A Hayes | B Shinn | D A Hayes | 12 | 20.0 | 2-3/4 |
| 8 | 6 | ULTRA EXPRESS Closed strongly B/TT C L Chau · A T Millard | C L Chau | A T Millard | 11 | 17.0 | 5 |
| 9 | 14 | SKYEY SUPREME Led early B/TT C Wong · K W Lui | C Wong | K W Lui | 1 | 9.6 | 5 |
| 10 | 13 | VILLA FIONN Closed strongly B H T Mo · P F Yiu | H T Mo | P F Yiu | 5 | 81.0 | 8 |
| 11 | 9 | HELENE WISDOM STAR Closed strongly CP/H/TT L Ferraris · A S Cruz | L Ferraris | A S Cruz | 13 | 12.0 | 8-3/4 |
| 12 | 11 | FLYING DRAGON H Bentley · C H Yip | H Bentley | C H Yip | 4 | 21.0 | 10-1/4 |
| 13 | 2 | RED DESERT A Hamelin · J Size | A Hamelin | J Size | 10 | 21.0 | 15-1/2 |
| — | 5 | ROMANTIC COMBO Z Purton · C S Shum | Z Purton | C S Shum | — | — | — |
Race shape
Model ratings
| Rank | No. | Horse | Win % | Rated price | Pos |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 12 | HANDSOME TWELVE | 18.4% | 5.44 | 4 |
| 2 | 10 | AMAZING TEENS | 14.4% | 6.94 | 6 |
| 3 | 8 | TRUE LEGEND | 11.6% | 8.61 | 5 |
| 4 | 4 | SO WE JOY | 10.1% | 9.92 | 1 |
| 5 | 1 | APACHE PASS | 10.1% | 9.94 | 2 |
| 6 | 7 | DECRYPT | 7.0% | 14.29 | 7 |
| 7 | 6 | ULTRA EXPRESS | 6.1% | 16.36 | 8 |
| 8 | 3 | CHANCHENG PRINCE | 5.2% | 19.13 | 3 |
| 9 | 11 | FLYING DRAGON | 4.4% | 22.63 | 12 |
| 10 | 14 | SKYEY SUPREME | 3.8% | 26.03 | 9 |
| 11 | 2 | RED DESERT | 3.5% | 28.67 | 13 |
| 12 | 13 | VILLA FIONN | 3.2% | 31.20 | 10 |
| 13 | 9 | HELENE WISDOM STAR | 2.2% | 45.95 | 11 |
Model vs market
Each dot is a runner: model probability across, market-implied probability up. Dots on the dashed line mean the two agreed; the gold ring is the actual winner.
Ratings are statistical estimates for analysis, not betting advice — the backtest shows no profitable edge against the Hong Kong win market. How the model works →
Dividends
WIN
4 92.5
PLACE
1 20
3 68.5
4 25
QUINELLA
1,4 153.5
QUINELLA PLACE
1,3 194
1,4 52
3,4 270
FORECAST
4,1 342
TIERCE
4,1,3 6,331
TRIO
1,3,4 972
FIRST 4
1,3,4,12 1,179
QUARTET
4,1,3,12 25,777
All pools (2 more)
3 PICK 1
A1 —
A2 —
A3 21
7TH DOUBLE
2/1 71
2/4 716