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Sha Tin · 2022-06-25 · 16:38

Race 8

Class 3 GOOD (AWT) 1650m 13 runners

Result

Official · 1.38.04
Pos No. Horse Draw Odds Margin
1 0 SO WE JOY Closed strongly H/XB/TT 1.38.04 ▶ Replay (opens in new tab) C Y Ho · C W Chang 6 9.2 HD
2 0 APACHE PASS Closed strongly BO/XB K C Leung · P O'Sullivan 2 5.5 HD
3 0 CHANCHENG PRINCE XB/TT R Maia · K W Lui 8 21.0 3/4
4 0 HANDSOME TWELVE Closed strongly M Chadwick · T P Yung 7 6.2 2
5 0 TRUE LEGEND B K Teetan · F C Lor 9 8.9 2-1/2
6 0 AMAZING TEENS H/P/TT A Badel · J Size 3 4.8 2-1/2
7 0 DECRYPT Closed strongly TT B Shinn · D A Hayes 12 20.0 2-3/4
8 0 ULTRA EXPRESS Closed strongly B/TT C L Chau · A T Millard 11 17.0 5
9 0 SKYEY SUPREME Led early B/TT C Wong · K W Lui 1 9.6 5
10 0 VILLA FIONN Closed strongly B H T Mo · P F Yiu 5 81.0 8
11 0 HELENE WISDOM STAR Closed strongly CP/H/TT L Ferraris · A S Cruz 13 12.0 8-3/4
12 0 FLYING DRAGON H Bentley · C H Yip 4 21.0 10-1/4
13 0 RED DESERT A Hamelin · J Size 10 21.0 15-1/2
— 0 ROMANTIC COMBO Z Purton · C S Shum — — —

This site does not show odds as they change: the odds here are final prices after a race, or overnight prices before it.

Race 8 at Sha Tin on 2022-06-25 was Class 3 over 1650m, run on GOOD (AWT) going. SO WE JOY, ridden by C Y Ho and trained by C W Chang, won by HD, with APACHE PASS second and CHANCHENG PRINCE third. The winner closed strongly from off the pace. The 4.8 favourite AMAZING TEENS finished 6th.

Race shape

Beaten lengths
1. SO WE JOY—2. APACHE PASS+0.2L3. CHANCHENG PRINCE+0.75L4. HANDSOME TWELVE+2L5. TRUE LEGEND+2.5L6. AMAZING TEENS+2.5L7. DECRYPT+2.75L8. ULTRA EXPRESS+5L9. SKYEY SUPREME+5L10. VILLA FIONN+8L

Model ratings

Backtest · wf-2021-22
The model's top pick HANDSOME TWELVE (18.4%) finished 4th — the winner SO WE JOY was rated #4. Out-of-sample backtest: this board was produced by a model trained only on seasons before this race — it never saw this result.
Rank No. Horse Win % Rated price Pos
1 0 HANDSOME TWELVE 18.4% 5.44 4
2 0 AMAZING TEENS 14.4% 6.94 6
3 0 TRUE LEGEND 11.6% 8.61 5
4 0 SO WE JOY 10.1% 9.92 1
5 0 APACHE PASS 10.1% 9.94 2
6 0 DECRYPT 7.0% 14.29 7
7 0 ULTRA EXPRESS 6.1% 16.36 8
8 0 CHANCHENG PRINCE 5.2% 19.13 3
9 0 FLYING DRAGON 4.4% 22.63 12
10 0 SKYEY SUPREME 3.8% 26.03 9
11 0 RED DESERT 3.5% 28.67 13
12 0 VILLA FIONN 3.2% 31.20 10
13 0 HELENE WISDOM STAR 2.2% 45.95 11
HANDSOME TWELVEAMAZING TEENSTRUE LEGENDSO WE JOY — wonAPACHE PASSDECRYPTULTRA EXPRESSCHANCHENG PRINCEFLYING DRAGONSKYEY SUPREMERED DESERTVILLA FIONNHELENE WISDOM STAR

Model vs market

Each dot is a runner: model probability across, market-implied probability up. Dots on the dashed line mean the two agreed; the gold ring is the actual winner.

Ratings are statistical estimates for analysis, not betting advice — the backtest shows no profitable edge against the Hong Kong win market. How the model works →

Dividends

Per $10 unit

WIN

4 92.5

PLACE

1 20

3 68.5

4 25

QUINELLA

1,4 153.5

QUINELLA PLACE

1,3 194

1,4 52

3,4 270

FORECAST

4,1 342

TIERCE

4,1,3 6,331

TRIO

1,3,4 972

FIRST 4

1,3,4,12 1,179

QUARTET

4,1,3,12 25,777

All pools (2 more)

3 PICK 1

A1 —

A2 —

A3 21

7TH DOUBLE

2/1 71

2/4 716