Sha Tin · 2022-06-25 · 14:02
Race 3
Result
| Pos | No. | Horse | Jockey | Trainer | Draw | Odds | Margin |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 0 | BLOTTING PAPER Closed strongly TT 1.38.21 ▶ Replay (opens in new tab) Z Purton · R Gibson | Z Purton | R Gibson | 2 | 3.6 | 3-3/4 |
| 2 | 0 | SUN OF MAKFI Closed strongly XB B Shinn · D J Hall | B Shinn | D J Hall | 9 | 10.0 | 3-3/4 |
| 3 | 0 | RIGHTEOUS DOCTRINE Closed strongly B-/XB M F Poon · C W Chang | M F Poon | C W Chang | 7 | 8.3 | 4 |
| 4 | 0 | ROYAL CAMPBELL Led early V L Hewitson · P F Yiu | L Hewitson | P F Yiu | 6 | 7.1 | 4-1/4 |
| 5 | 0 | DECISIVE ACTION Closed strongly CP/TT K H Chan · C S Shum | K H Chan | C S Shum | 5 | 13.0 | 6-1/2 |
| 6 | 0 | METHANE TT C Y Ho · A S Cruz | C Y Ho | A S Cruz | 1 | 12.0 | 7-1/4 |
| 7 | 0 | SMART PATCH Closed strongly B K Teetan · P O'Sullivan | K Teetan | P O'Sullivan | 10 | 5.8 | 7-1/4 |
| 8 | 0 | CROWN AVENUE Closed strongly H Bentley · C H Yip | H Bentley | C H Yip | 14 | 23.0 | 7-1/4 |
| 9 | 0 | CHIRON CP/TT K C Leung · D A Hayes | K C Leung | D A Hayes | 3 | 8.1 | 7-1/2 |
| 10 | 0 | HANDSOME REBEL B/TT H W Lai · Y S Tsui | H W Lai | Y S Tsui | 12 | 46.0 | 8-3/4 |
| 11 | 0 | GOOD BEAUTY Closed strongly CP/TT C L Chau · K L Man | C L Chau | K L Man | 13 | 83.0 | 15-3/4 |
| 12 | 0 | NOBODY KNOWS H T Mo · L Ho | H T Mo | L Ho | 4 | 94.0 | 17-3/4 |
| 13 | 0 | GOLD COMET B-/V1 M Chadwick · K H Ting | M Chadwick | K H Ting | 11 | 39.0 | 19 |
| 14 | 0 | AHEAD A HEAD B A Badel · T P Yung | A Badel | T P Yung | 8 | 41.0 | 46-1/2 |
This site does not show odds as they change: the odds here are final prices after a race, or overnight prices before it.
Race 3 at Sha Tin on 2022-06-25 was Class 4 over 1650m, run on GOOD (AWT) going. BLOTTING PAPER, ridden by Z Purton and trained by R Gibson, won by 3-3/4, with SUN OF MAKFI second and RIGHTEOUS DOCTRINE third. The winner closed strongly from off the pace. Victory came as the 3.6 favourite.
Race shape
Model ratings
| Rank | No. | Horse | Win % | Rated price | Pos |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 0 | BLOTTING PAPER | 28.3% | 3.54 | 1 |
| 2 | 0 | METHANE | 15.1% | 6.61 | 6 |
| 3 | 0 | CHIRON | 7.9% | 12.60 | 9 |
| 4 | 0 | SUN OF MAKFI | 7.0% | 14.27 | 2 |
| 5 | 0 | SMART PATCH | 7.0% | 14.34 | 7 |
| 6 | 0 | ROYAL CAMPBELL | 5.3% | 18.84 | 4 |
| 7 | 0 | RIGHTEOUS DOCTRINE | 4.6% | 21.53 | 3 |
| 8 | 0 | DECISIVE ACTION | 4.6% | 21.93 | 5 |
| 9 | 0 | AHEAD A HEAD | 4.2% | 23.64 | 14 |
| 10 | 0 | CROWN AVENUE | 3.8% | 25.98 | 8 |
| 11 | 0 | HANDSOME REBEL | 3.6% | 27.68 | 10 |
| 12 | 0 | GOOD BEAUTY | 3.0% | 33.01 | 11 |
| 13 | 0 | NOBODY KNOWS | 2.9% | 34.05 | 12 |
| 14 | 0 | GOLD COMET | 2.5% | 39.80 | 13 |
Model vs market
Each dot is a runner: model probability across, market-implied probability up. Dots on the dashed line mean the two agreed; the gold ring is the actual winner.
Ratings are statistical estimates for analysis, not betting advice — the backtest shows no profitable edge against the Hong Kong win market. How the model works →
Dividends
WIN
2 36
PLACE
1 25.5
2 16
5 34
QUINELLA
2,5 151
QUINELLA PLACE
1,2 58
1,5 130
2,5 53.5
FORECAST
2,5 292
TIERCE
2,5,1 1,287
TRIO
1,2,5 275
FIRST 4
1,2,3,5 691
QUARTET
2,5,1,3 12,866
All pools (2 more)
2ND DOUBLE
3/2 75.5
3/5 40.5
3 PICK 1
A1 25
A3 —
A2 —