Sha Tin · 2022-06-25 · 17:13
Race 9
Race 9 at Sha Tin on 2022-06-25 was Class 2 over 1400m, run on GOOD TO FIRM going. THE GOLDEN SCENERY, ridden by L Ferraris and trained by A S Cruz, won by N, with BEAUTY FIT second and BEAUTY LIVE third. The winner closed strongly from off the pace. The 3.0 favourite NAVAS TWO finished 4th.
Result
| Pos | No. | Horse | Jockey | Trainer | Draw | Odds | Margin |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 3 | THE GOLDEN SCENERY Closed strongly H/TT 1.21.46 ▶ Replay (opens in new tab) L Ferraris · A S Cruz | L Ferraris | A S Cruz | 5 | 14.0 | N |
| 2 | 11 | BEAUTY FIT Closed strongly B/E A Badel · J Size | A Badel | J Size | 1 | 12.0 | N |
| 3 | 8 | BEAUTY LIVE TT M F Poon · F C Lor | M F Poon | F C Lor | 9 | 10.0 | 1-1/2 |
| 4 | 6 | NAVAS TWO Closed strongly CP Z Purton · R Gibson | Z Purton | R Gibson | 4 | 3.0 | 1-3/4 |
| 5 | 1 | FANTASTIC TREASURE Closed strongly TT B Shinn · D A Hayes | B Shinn | D A Hayes | 8 | 8.4 | 3 |
| 6 | 7 | WINNER METHOD TT M Chadwick · C S Shum | M Chadwick | C S Shum | 7 | 12.0 | 3-1/4 |
| 7 | 5 | MASTER DELIGHT Closed strongly B1 C Y Ho · J Size | C Y Ho | J Size | 2 | 18.0 | 3-1/4 |
| 8 | 9 | BUZZINGA H1/TT K Teetan · A S Cruz | K Teetan | A S Cruz | 3 | 3.0 | 4 |
| 9 | 10 | TORONADO PHANTOM Closed strongly P-/TT A Hamelin · J Size | A Hamelin | J Size | 10 | 57.0 | 4-1/4 |
| 10 | 4 | GOOD LUCK FRIEND CP/TT L Hewitson · P F Yiu | L Hewitson | P F Yiu | 11 | 37.0 | 6 |
| 11 | 2 | BUDDIES Led early H K H Chan · A S Cruz | K H Chan | A S Cruz | 6 | 51.0 | 8-1/2 |
Race shape
Model ratings
| Rank | No. | Horse | Win % | Rated price | Pos |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 9 | BUZZINGA | 27.8% | 3.59 | 8 |
| 2 | 6 | NAVAS TWO | 27.1% | 3.68 | 4 |
| 3 | 8 | BEAUTY LIVE | 11.2% | 8.92 | 3 |
| 4 | 7 | WINNER METHOD | 7.8% | 12.75 | 6 |
| 5 | 1 | FANTASTIC TREASURE | 6.1% | 16.35 | 5 |
| 6 | 3 | THE GOLDEN SCENERY | 5.1% | 19.66 | 1 |
| 7 | 11 | BEAUTY FIT | 4.5% | 22.36 | 2 |
| 8 | 4 | GOOD LUCK FRIEND | 3.7% | 26.81 | 10 |
| 9 | 5 | MASTER DELIGHT | 3.7% | 27.09 | 7 |
| 10 | 10 | TORONADO PHANTOM | 1.9% | 53.70 | 9 |
| 11 | 2 | BUDDIES | 1.0% | 96.98 | 11 |
Model vs market
Each dot is a runner: model probability across, market-implied probability up. Dots on the dashed line mean the two agreed; the gold ring is the actual winner.
Ratings are statistical estimates for analysis, not betting advice — the backtest shows no profitable edge against the Hong Kong win market. How the model works →
Dividends
WIN
3 147.5
PLACE
3 35
8 31
11 30.5
QUINELLA
3,11 919.5
QUINELLA PLACE
3,8 160
3,11 214.5
8,11 180.5
FORECAST
3,11 2,021
TIERCE
3,11,8 11,242
TRIO
3,8,11 2,390
FIRST 4
3,6,8,11 1,071
QUARTET
3,11,8,6 42,860
All pools (2 more)
3 PICK 1
A1 —
A2 35.5
A3 —
8TH DOUBLE
4/3 810.5
4/11 361