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Sha Tin · 2022-06-25 · 17:13

Race 9

Class 2 GOOD TO FIRM 1400m Course B 11 runners

Result

Official · 1.21.46
Pos No. Horse Draw Odds Margin
1 0 THE GOLDEN SCENERY Closed strongly H/TT 1.21.46 ▶ Replay (opens in new tab) L Ferraris · A S Cruz 5 14.0 N
2 0 BEAUTY FIT Closed strongly B/E A Badel · J Size 1 12.0 N
3 0 BEAUTY LIVE TT M F Poon · F C Lor 9 10.0 1-1/2
4 0 NAVAS TWO Closed strongly CP Z Purton · R Gibson 4 3.0 1-3/4
5 0 FANTASTIC TREASURE Closed strongly TT B Shinn · D A Hayes 8 8.4 3
6 0 WINNER METHOD TT M Chadwick · C S Shum 7 12.0 3-1/4
7 0 MASTER DELIGHT Closed strongly B1 C Y Ho · J Size 2 18.0 3-1/4
8 0 BUZZINGA H1/TT K Teetan · A S Cruz 3 3.0 4
9 0 TORONADO PHANTOM Closed strongly P-/TT A Hamelin · J Size 10 57.0 4-1/4
10 0 GOOD LUCK FRIEND CP/TT L Hewitson · P F Yiu 11 37.0 6
11 0 BUDDIES Led early H K H Chan · A S Cruz 6 51.0 8-1/2

This site does not show odds as they change: the odds here are final prices after a race, or overnight prices before it.

Race 9 at Sha Tin on 2022-06-25 was Class 2 over 1400m, run on GOOD TO FIRM going. THE GOLDEN SCENERY, ridden by L Ferraris and trained by A S Cruz, won by N, with BEAUTY FIT second and BEAUTY LIVE third. The winner closed strongly from off the pace. The 3.0 favourite NAVAS TWO finished 4th.

Race shape

Beaten lengths
1. THE GOLDEN SCENERY—2. BEAUTY FIT+0.05L3. BEAUTY LIVE+1.5L4. NAVAS TWO+1.75L5. FANTASTIC TREASURE+3L6. WINNER METHOD+3.25L7. MASTER DELIGHT+3.25L8. BUZZINGA+4L9. TORONADO PHANTOM+4.25L10. GOOD LUCK FRIEND+6L

Model ratings

Backtest · wf-2021-22
The model's top pick BUZZINGA (27.8%) finished 8th — the winner THE GOLDEN SCENERY was rated #6. Out-of-sample backtest: this board was produced by a model trained only on seasons before this race — it never saw this result.
Rank No. Horse Win % Rated price Pos
1 0 BUZZINGA 27.8% 3.59 8
2 0 NAVAS TWO 27.1% 3.68 4
3 0 BEAUTY LIVE 11.2% 8.92 3
4 0 WINNER METHOD 7.8% 12.75 6
5 0 FANTASTIC TREASURE 6.1% 16.35 5
6 0 THE GOLDEN SCENERY 5.1% 19.66 1
7 0 BEAUTY FIT 4.5% 22.36 2
8 0 GOOD LUCK FRIEND 3.7% 26.81 10
9 0 MASTER DELIGHT 3.7% 27.09 7
10 0 TORONADO PHANTOM 1.9% 53.70 9
11 0 BUDDIES 1.0% 96.98 11
BUZZINGANAVAS TWOBEAUTY LIVEWINNER METHODFANTASTIC TREASURETHE GOLDEN SCENERY — wonBEAUTY FITGOOD LUCK FRIENDMASTER DELIGHTTORONADO PHANTOMBUDDIES

Model vs market

Each dot is a runner: model probability across, market-implied probability up. Dots on the dashed line mean the two agreed; the gold ring is the actual winner.

Ratings are statistical estimates for analysis, not betting advice — the backtest shows no profitable edge against the Hong Kong win market. How the model works →

Dividends

Per $10 unit

WIN

3 147.5

PLACE

3 35

8 31

11 30.5

QUINELLA

3,11 919.5

QUINELLA PLACE

3,8 160

3,11 214.5

8,11 180.5

FORECAST

3,11 2,021

TIERCE

3,11,8 11,242

TRIO

3,8,11 2,390

FIRST 4

3,6,8,11 1,071

QUARTET

3,11,8,6 42,860

All pools (2 more)

3 PICK 1

A1 —

A3 —

A2 35.5

8TH DOUBLE

4/3 810.5

4/11 361